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We present an optimization-based framework to construct confidence intervals for functionals in constrained inverse problems, ensuring valid one-at-a-time frequentist coverage guarantees. Our approach builds upon the now-called strict…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-18 Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Michael Stanley , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

We address functional uncertainty quantification for ill-posed inverse problems where it is possible to evaluate a possibly rank-deficient forward model, the observation noise distribution is known, and there are known parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Michael Stanley , Pau Batlle , Pratik Patil , Houman Owhadi , Mikael Kuusela

Band-limited functions are fundamental objects that are widely used in systems theory and signal processing. In this paper we refine a recent nonparametric, nonasymptotic method for constructing simultaneous confidence regions for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

We propose a new inferential framework for constructing confidence regions and testing hypotheses in statistical models specified by a system of high dimensional estimating equations. We construct an influence function by projecting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Matey Neykov , Yang Ning , Jun S. Liu , Han Liu

In many longitudinal settings, time-varying covariates may not be measured at the same time as responses and are often prone to measurement error. Naive last-observation-carried-forward methods incur estimation biases, and existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-10 Xinyue Chang , Yehua Li , Yi Li

Quantifying uncertainty using confidence regions is a central goal of statistical inference. Despite this, methodologies for confidence bands in Functional Data Analysis are still underdeveloped compared to estimation and hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-14 Dominik Liebl , Matthew Reimherr

In this paper we develop procedures to construct simultaneous confidence bands for $\tilde p$ potentially infinite-dimensional parameters after model selection for general moment condition models where $\tilde p$ is potentially much larger…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Ying Wei

We introduce Joint Coverage Regions (JCRs), which unify confidence intervals and prediction regions in frequentist statistics. Specifically, joint coverage regions aim to cover a pair formed by an unknown fixed parameter (such as the mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Edgar Dobriban , Zhanran Lin

Motivated by the questions of risk assessment in climatology (temperature change in North America) and medicine (impact of statin usage and COVID-19 on hospitalized patients), we address the problem of estimating the set in the domain of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Junting Ren , Fabian J. E. Telschow , Armin Schwartzman

Data with multiple functional recordings at each observational unit are increasingly common in various fields including medical imaging and environmental sciences. To conduct inference for such observations, we develop a paired two-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Colin Decker , Dehan Kong , Stanislav Volgushev

We consider the nonparametric multivariate isotonic regression problem, where the regression function is assumed to be nondecreasing with respect to each predictor. Our goal is to construct a Bayesian credible interval for the function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

Constructing valid confidence sets is a crucial task in statistical inference, yet traditional methods often face challenges when dealing with complex models or limited observed sample sizes. These challenges are frequently encountered in…

Precision matrices play important roles in many practical applications. Motivated by temporally dependent multivariate data in modern social and scientific studies, we consider the statistical inference of precision matrices for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-21 Jinyuan Chang , Yumou Qiu , Qiwei Yao , Tao Zou

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

A new method is proposed for the correction of confidence intervals when the original interval does not have the correct nominal coverage probabilities in the frequentist sense. The proposed method is general and does not require any…

Computation · Statistics 2013-08-30 P. Menendez , Y. Fan , P. H. Garthwaite , S. A. Sisson

Depth measures have gained popularity in the statistical literature for defining level sets in complex data structures like multivariate data, functional data, and graphs. Despite their versatility, integrating depth measures into…

Bayesian statistics has gained popularity in psychological research due to its intuitive uncertainty quantification and convenient information-updating rules. In many applications, however, prior distributions are introduced merely as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yang Liu , Jonathan P. Williams , Jan Hannig

We present a new framework to address the non-convex robust hypothesis testing problem, wherein the goal is to seek the optimal detector that minimizes the maximum of worst-case type-I and type-II risk functions. The distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-25 Jie Wang , Rui Gao , Yao Xie

In ill-posed imaging inverse problems, uncertainty quantification remains a fundamental challenge, especially in safety-critical applications. Recently, conformal prediction has been used to quantify the uncertainty that the inverse problem…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Jeffrey Wen , Rizwan Ahmad , Philip Schniter

High-dimensional statistical inference deals with models in which the the number of parameters p is comparable to or larger than the sample size n. Since it is usually impossible to obtain consistent procedures unless $p/n\rightarrow0$, a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Sahand N. Negahban , Pradeep Ravikumar , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu
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