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The widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) has been used as a model selection criterion for Bayesian statistics in recent years. It is an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the Kullback-Leibler divergence between a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

In the problem of selecting variables in a multivariate linear regression model, we derive new Bayesian information criteria based on a prior mixing a smooth distribution and a delta distribution. Each of them can be interpreted as a fusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Haruki Kono , Tatsuya Kubokawa

For predictive evaluation based on quasi-posterior distributions, we develop a new information criterion, the posterior covariance information criterion (PCIC. PCIC generalises the widely applicable information criterion WAIC so as to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-26 Yukito Iba , Keisuke Yano

While the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) are powerful tools for model selection in linear regression, they are built on different prior assumptions and thereby apply to different data generation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 MB de Kock , HC Eggers

Information criteria, such as Akaike's information criterion and Bayesian information criterion are often applied in model selection. However, their asymptotic behaviors for selecting geostatistical regression models have not been well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

The use of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in the model selection procedure is under the assumption that the observations are independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). However, in practice, we do not always have i.i.d. samples.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Nan Shen , Bárbara González

Bayesian model averaging is a practical method for dealing with uncertainty due to model specification. Use of this technique requires the estimation of model probability weights. In this work, we revisit the derivation of estimators for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Ethan T. Neil , Jacob W. Sitison

Bayesian diagnostic classification models (Bayesian DCMs) are effective for diagnosing students' skills. Research on the evaluation of relative model fit indices for DCMs using Bayesian estimation, however, is deficient. This study…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-07 Ae Kyong Jung , Jonathan Templin

In this work, we propose a modified Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) specifically designed for mixture models and hierarchical structures. This criterion incorporates the determinant of the Hessian matrix of the log-likelihood function,…

Spatial regression models have a variety of applications in several fields ranging from economics to public health. Typically, it is of interest to select important exogenous predictors of the spatially autocorrelated response variable. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Sagar Pandhare , Divya Kappara , Siuli Mukhopadhyay

For linear models with a diverging number of parameters, it has recently been shown that modified versions of Bayesian information criterion (BIC) can identify the true model consistently. However, in many cases there is little…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-26 Heng Lian

For propensity score analysis and sparse estimation, we develop an information criterion for determining the regularization parameters needed in variable selection. First, for Gaussian distribution-based causal inference models, we extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-22 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO) and the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC) are methods for estimating pointwise out-of-sample prediction accuracy from a fitted Bayesian model using the log-likelihood evaluated at the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-18 Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman , Jonah Gabry

We propose information criteria that measure the prediction risk of a predictive density based on the Bayesian marginal likelihood from a frequentist point of view. We derive criteria for selecting variables in linear regression models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-20 Yuki Kawakubo , Tatsuya Kubokawa , Muni S. Srivastava

The widely applicable Bayesian information criterion (WBIC) is a simple and fast approximation to the model evidence that has received little practical consideration. WBIC uses the fact that the log evidence can be written as an…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-29 N. Friel , J. P. McKeone , C. J. Oates , A. N. Pettitt

This paper introduces and develops a theoretical extension of the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC), called the Covariance-Corrected WAIC (CC-WAIC), that applied for Bayesian sequential data models. The CC-WAIC accounts for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Safaa K. Kadhem

In statistical learning, models are classified as regular or singular depending on whether the mapping from parameters to probability distributions is injective. Most models with hierarchical structures or latent variables are singular, for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-26 Naoki Hayashi , Takuro Kutsuna , Sawa Takamuku

In the information-based paradigm of inference, model selection is performed by selecting the candidate model with the best estimated predictive performance. The success of this approach depends on the accuracy of the estimate of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-11 Colin H. LaMont , Paul A. Wiggins

Model selection in linear regression models is a major challenge when dealing with high-dimensional data where the number of available measurements (sample size) is much smaller than the dimension of the parameter space. Traditional methods…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-05 Prakash B. Gohain , Magnus Jansson

We consider the use of Bayesian information criteria for selection of the graph underlying an Ising model. In an Ising model, the full conditional distributions of each variable form logistic regression models, and variable selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-09 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton
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