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The worries expressed by Alan Greenspan that the long run economic growth of the United States will fade away due to increasing burden of entitlements motivated us to empirically investigate the impact of entitlements of key macroeconomic…

General Economics · Economics 2021-02-03 Ateeb Akhter Shah Syed , Kaneez Fatima , Riffat Arshad

The electricity industry is heavily implementing smart grid technologies to improve reliability, availability, security, and efficiency. This implementation needs technological advancements, the development of standards and regulations, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Ankitha Nandipura Prasanna , Priscila Grecov , Angela Dieyu Weng , Christoph Bergmeir

Economic agents react to signals about future tax policy changes. Consequently, estimating their macroeconomic effects requires identification of such signals. We propose a novel text analytic approach for transforming textual information…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-03 Lenard Lieb , Adam Jassem , Rui Jorge Almeida , Nalan Baştürk , Stephan Smeekes

In this study, we evaluate the effects of natural disasters on the stock (market) values of firms located in the affected counties. We are able to measure the change in stock prices of the firms affected by the 2021 Texas winter storm. To…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-01 Sherry Hu , Kose John , Balbinder Singh Gill

This article aims to propose and apply a machine learning method to analyze the direction of returns from Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) using the historical return data of its components, helping to make investment strategy decisions through…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-14 Raphael P. B. Piovezan , Pedro Paulo de Andrade Junior

By incorporating market impact and asymmetric sensitivity into the evolutionary minority game, we study the coevolutionary dynamics of stock prices and investment strategies in financial markets. Both the stock price movement and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-11 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Fei Ren , Yong-Dong Shi

What impact does import competition have on firms' production organizational choices? Existing literature has predominantly focused on the relationship between import competition and firms' global production networks, with less attention…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-27 Xin Du , Xiaoxia Shi

This research evaluates the performance of an Artificial Neural Network based prediction system that was employed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange for the period 21-Sep-2016 to 11-Oct-2016. It is a follow-up to a previous paper in which the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-09 Barack Wamkaya Wanjawa

A novel spatiotemporal framework using diverse econometric approaches is proposed in this research to analyze relationships among eight economy-wide variables in varying market conditions. Employing Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Granger…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-25 Lutfu S. Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

We introduce an interactive market setup with sequential auctions where agents receive variegated signals with a known deadline. The effects of differential information and mutual learning on the allocation of overall profit \& loss (P\&L)…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-14 N. Serhan Aydin

Since the onset of the the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries across the world have implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to contain the spread of virus, as well as economic support policies (ESPs) to save their…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-30 Siyuan Liu , Mehmet Orcun Yalcin , Hsuan Fu , Xiuyi Fan

This paper combines traditional panel econometrics with random forest machine learning to revisit the relationship between exchange rate regimes and economic growth for 27 transition economies over 1991-2019. Exploiting the Couharde-Grekou…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Marjan Petreski

By fully accounting for the distinct tariff regimes levied on imported meat, we estimate substitution elasticities of Japan's two-stage import aggregation functions for beef, chicken and pork. While the regression analysis crucially depends…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-31 Satoshi Nakano , Kazuhiko Nishimura

The stock market is a crucial component of the financial market, playing a vital role in wealth accumulation for investors, financing costs for listed companies, and the stable development of the national macroeconomy. Significant…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-28 Jiajian Zheng , Duan Xin , Qishuo Cheng , Miao Tian , Le Yang

In finance, the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis asserts that historic stock price and volume data cannot inform predictions of future prices. In this paper we show that, to the contrary, future intra-day stock prices could be…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-23 David Byrd , Tucker Hybinette Balch

In the current stock market, computer science and technology are more and more widely used to analyse stocks. Not same as most related machine learning stock price prediction work, this work study the predicting the tendency of the stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-25 Fengyu Han , Yue Wang

Predicting stock market movements has always been of great interest to investors and an active area of research. Research has proven that popularity of products is highly influenced by what people talk about. Social media like Twitter,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-07 Anubhav Sarkar , Swagata Chakraborty , Sohom Ghosh , Sudip Kumar Naskar

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

Predicting a fast and accurate model for stock price forecasting is been a challenging task and this is an active area of research where it is yet to be found which is the best way to forecast the stock price. Machine learning, deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Himanshu Gupta , Aditya Jaiswal

We introduce a new machine learning approach to detect value-relevant foreign information for both domestic and multinational companies. Candidate foreign signals include lagged returns of stock markets and individual stocks across 47…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-11 Wei Jiao
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