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The stock market is a crucial component of the financial system, but predicting the movement of stock prices is challenging due to the dynamic and intricate relations arising from various aspects such as economic indicators, financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Hao Qian , Hongting Zhou , Qian Zhao , Hao Chen , Hongxiang Yao , Jingwei Wang , Ziqi Liu , Fei Yu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are widely used as surrogates for costly experiments and first-principles simulations to study the behavior of compounds at atomistic scale, and their architectural complexity is constantly increasing to enable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Arindam Chowdhury , Massimiliano Lupo Pasini

Volatility forecasting is essential for risk management and decision-making in financial markets. Traditional models like Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) effectively capture volatility clustering but often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Pulikandala Nithish Kumar , Nneka Umeorah , Alex Alochukwu

This paper introduces a novel approach to stock data analysis by employing a Hierarchical Graph Neural Network (HGNN) model that captures multi-level information and relational structures in the stock market. The HGNN model integrates stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jianhua Yao , Yuxin Dong , Jiajing Wang , Bingxing Wang , Hongye Zheng , Honglin Qin

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) set the state-of-the-art in representation learning for graph-structured data. They are used in many domains, from online social networks to complex molecules. Most GNNs leverage the message-passing paradigm and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Tuğrul Hasan Karabulut , İnci M. Baytaş

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Managing microservice architectures in distributed systems is complex and resource intensive due to the high frequency and dynamic nature of inter service interactions. Accurate prediction of these future interactions can enhance adaptive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Ghazal Khodabandeh , Alireza Ezaz , Majid Babaei , Naser Ezzati-Jivan

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are routinely used in molecular physics, social sciences, and economics to model many-body interactions in graph-like systems. However, GNNs are inherently local and can suffer from information flow bottlenecks.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-02-21 Alessandro Caruso , Jacopo Venturin , Lorenzo Giambagli , Edoardo Rolando , Frank Noé , Cecilia Clementi

The stock market is characterized by a complex relationship between companies and the market. This study combines a sequential graph structure with attention mechanisms to learn global and local information within temporal time.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-25 Tzu-Ya Lai , Wen Jung Cheng , Jun-En Ding

In the field of deep learning, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and Graph Transformer models, with their outstanding performance and flexible architectural designs, have become leading technologies for processing structured data, especially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Jiawei E , Yinglong Zhang , Xuewen Xia , Xing Xu

Accurately predicting stock market movements remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent volatility and complex interdependencies among stocks. Although multi-scale Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) hold potential for modeling these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Xiaosha Xue , Peibo Duan , Zhipeng Liu , Qi Chu , Changsheng Zhang , Bin zhang

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as the de facto standard for modeling graph data, with attention mechanisms and transformers significantly enhancing their performance on graph-based tasks. Despite these advancements, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Nikhil Shivakumar Nayak

This paper addresses the limitations of multi-node perception and delayed scheduling response in distributed systems by proposing a GNN-based multi-node collaborative perception mechanism. The system is modeled as a graph structure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Wenxuan Zhu , Qiyuan Wu , Tengda Tang , Renzi Meng , Sheng Chai , Xuehui Quan

Graph neural networks (GNNs) can learn effective node representations that significantly improve link prediction accuracy. However, most GNN-based link prediction algorithms are incompetent to predict weak ties connecting different…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Weiwei Gu , Linbi Lv , Gang Lu , Ruiqi Li

Stock selection is important for investors to construct profitable portfolios. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are increasingly attracting researchers for stock prediction due to their strong ability of relation modelling and generalisation.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-28 Yang Qiao , Yiping Xia , Xiang Li , Zheng Li , Yan Ge

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

Predicting stock prices from textual information is a challenging task due to the uncertainty of the market and the difficulty understanding the natural language from a machine's perspective. Previous researches focus mostly on sentiment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Qinkai Chen , Christian-Yann Robert

The era of data deluge has sparked the interest in graph-based learning methods in a number of disciplines such as sociology, biology, neuroscience, or engineering. In this paper, we introduce a graph recurrent neural network (GRNN) for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Vassilis N. Ioannidis , Antonio G. Marques , Georgios B. Giannakis

Predicting the future price trends of stocks is a challenging yet intriguing problem given its critical role to help investors make profitable decisions. In this paper, we present a collaborative temporal-relational modeling framework for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Chaoran Cui , Xiaojie Li , Juan Du , Chunyun Zhang , Xiushan Nie , Meng Wang , Yilong Yin

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have led to state-of-the-art performance on a variety of machine learning tasks such as recommendation, node classification and link prediction. Graph neural network models generate node embeddings by merging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Yunpeng Weng , Xu Chen , Liang Chen , Wei Liu
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