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The stock market is a crucial component of the financial system, but predicting the movement of stock prices is challenging due to the dynamic and intricate relations arising from various aspects such as economic indicators, financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-13 Hao Qian , Hongting Zhou , Qian Zhao , Hao Chen , Hongxiang Yao , Jingwei Wang , Ziqi Liu , Fei Yu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou

Predicting stock prices from textual information is a challenging task due to the uncertainty of the market and the difficulty understanding the natural language from a machine's perspective. Previous researches focus mostly on sentiment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Qinkai Chen , Christian-Yann Robert

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

Accurate multivariate time series forecasting hinges on inter-series correlations, which often evolve in complex ways across different temporal scales. Existing methods are limited in modeling these multi-scale dependencies and struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Shaoxun Wang , Xingjun Zhang , Qianyang Li , Jiawei Cao , Zhendong Tan

Accurately predicting stock market movements remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent volatility and complex interdependencies among stocks. Although multi-scale Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) hold potential for modeling these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Xiaosha Xue , Peibo Duan , Zhipeng Liu , Qi Chu , Changsheng Zhang , Bin zhang

Stock price prediction is a challenging problem in the field of finance and receives widespread attention. In recent years, with the rapid development of technologies such as deep learning and graph neural networks, more research methods…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Peng Zhu , Yuante Li , Yifan Hu , Qinyuan Liu , Dawei Cheng , Yuqi Liang

Advances in deep neural network (DNN) architectures have enabled new prediction techniques for stock market data. Unlike other multivariate time-series data, stock markets show two unique characteristics: (i) \emph{multi-order dynamics}, as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-28 Thanh Trung Huynh , Minh Hieu Nguyen , Thanh Tam Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Matthias Weidlich , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Karl Aberer

This paper introduces a novel approach to stock data analysis by employing a Hierarchical Graph Neural Network (HGNN) model that captures multi-level information and relational structures in the stock market. The HGNN model integrates stock…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Jianhua Yao , Yuxin Dong , Jiajing Wang , Bingxing Wang , Hongye Zheng , Honglin Qin

Time series forecasting is crucial for decision-making across various domains, particularly in financial markets where stock prices exhibit complex and non-linear behaviors. Accurately predicting future price movements is challenging due to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-29 Tiantian Tu

Forecasting future stock trends remains challenging for academia and industry due to stochastic inter-stock dynamics and hierarchical intra-stock dynamics influencing stock prices. In recent years, graph neural networks have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Zinuo You , Zijian Shi , Hongbo Bo , John Cartlidge , Li Zhang , Yan Ge

Stock prediction aims to predict the future trends of a stock in order to help investors to make good investment decisions. Traditional solutions for stock prediction are based on time-series models. With the recent success of deep neural…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Fuli Feng , Xiangnan He , Xiang Wang , Cheng Luo , Yiqun Liu , Tat-Seng Chua

Stock price prediction is of significant importance in quantitative investment. Existing approaches encounter two primary issues: First, they often overlook the crucial role of capturing short-term stock fluctuations for predicting…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Chengqi Dong , Zhiyuan Cao , S Kevin Zhou , Jia Liu

Applying machine learning methods to forecast stock prices has been one of the research topics of interest in recent years. Almost few studies have been reported based on generative adversarial networks (GANs) in this area, but their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-21 Fateme Shahabi Nejad , Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh

Accurate predictions of spatio-temporal systems are crucial for tasks such as system management, control, and crisis prevention. However, the inherent time variance of many spatio-temporal systems poses challenges to achieving accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-14 Xiaobei Zou , Luolin Xiong , Kexuan Zhang , Cesare Alippi , Yang Tang

Stock market forecasting is a lucrative field of interest with promising profits but not without its difficulties and for some people could be even causes of failure. Financial markets by their nature are complex, non-linear and chaotic,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Ivan Letteri , Giuseppe Della Penna , Giovanni De Gasperis , Abeer Dyoub

Stock price movement prediction is commonly accepted as a very challenging task due to the volatile nature of financial markets. Previous works typically predict the stock price mainly based on its own information, neglecting the cross…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-16 Jiexia Ye , Juanjuan Zhao , Kejiang Ye , Chengzhong Xu

Stock trend classification remains a fundamental yet challenging task, owing to the intricate time-evolving dynamics between and within stocks. To tackle these two challenges, we propose a graph-based representation learning approach aimed…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-17 Zinuo You , Pengju Zhang , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

We propose a model that forecasts market correlation structure from link- and node-based financial network features using machine learning. For such, market structure is modeled as a dynamic asset network by quantifying time-dependent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-25 Douglas Castilho , Tharsis T. P. Souza , Soong Moon Kang , João Gama , André C. P. L. F. de Carvalho

Predicting the future price trends of stocks is a challenging yet intriguing problem given its critical role to help investors make profitable decisions. In this paper, we present a collaborative temporal-relational modeling framework for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Chaoran Cui , Xiaojie Li , Juan Du , Chunyun Zhang , Xiushan Nie , Meng Wang , Yilong Yin

Accurate and robust stock trend forecasting has been a crucial and challenging task, as stock price changes are influenced by multiple factors. Graph neural network-based methods have recently achieved remarkable success in this domain by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Yingjie Niu , Lanxin Lu , Rian Dolphin , Valerio Poti , Ruihai Dong
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