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The nonequilibrium dynamic phase transition, in the kinetic Ising model in presence of an oscillating magnetic field, has been studied by Monte Carlo simulation. The fluctuation of dynamic order parameter has been studied as a function of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-30 Muktish Acharyya

Model uncertainty obtained by variational Bayesian inference with Monte Carlo dropout is prone to miscalibration. The uncertainty does not represent the model error well. In this paper, temperature scaling is extended to dropout variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-19 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Karl-Philipp Kortmann , Tobias Ortmaier

A protein's function depends critically on its conformational ensemble, a collection of energy weighted structures whose balance depends on temperature and environment. Though recent deep learning (DL) methods have substantially advanced…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-09 Myeongsang Lee , Lauren L. Porter

In the context of computer models, calibration is the process of estimating unknown simulator parameters from observational data. Calibration is variously referred to as model fitting, parameter estimation/inference, an inverse problem, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Richard D. Wilkinson , Christopher W. Lanyon

Classifying phases of matter is a central problem in physics. For quantum mechanical systems, this task can be daunting owing to the exponentially large Hilbert space. Thanks to the available computing power and access to ever larger data…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2017-02-16 Evert P. L. van Nieuwenburg , Ye-Hua Liu , Sebastian D. Huber

The prediction reliability of neural networks is important in many applications. Specifically, in safety-critical domains, such as cancer prediction or autonomous driving, a reliable confidence of model's prediction is critical for the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Byeongmoon Ji , Hyemin Jung , Jihyeun Yoon , Kyungyul Kim , Younghak Shin

The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these events using standard forecast modeling techniques is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-07 Daniel Dylewsky , Timothy M. Lenton , Marten Scheffer , Thomas M. Bury , Christopher G. Fletcher , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

Machine learning has been successfully used to study phase transitions. One of the most popular approaches to identifying critical points from data without prior knowledge of the underlying phases is the learning-by-confusion scheme. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Julian Arnold , Frank Schäfer , Niels Lörch

Bounce-averaged theories provide a framework for simulating relatively slow processes, such as collisional transport and quasilinear diffusion, by averaging these processes over the fast periodic motions of a particle on a closed orbit.…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2025-07-02 I. E. Ochs

Bayesian estimation approaches, which are capable of combining the information of experimental data from different likelihood functions to achieve high precisions, have been widely used in phase estimation via introducing a controllable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-07-02 Yuxiang Qiu , Min Zhuang , Jiahao Huang , Chaohong Lee

Neural networks (NNs) usually hinder any insight into the reasoning behind their predictions. We demonstrate how influence functions can unravel the black box of NN when trained to predict the phases of the one-dimensional extended spinless…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-11-18 Anna Dawid , Patrick Huembeli , Michał Tomza , Maciej Lewenstein , Alexandre Dauphin

Time-series forecasting is crucial for numerous real-world applications including weather prediction and financial market modeling. While temporal-domain methods remain prevalent, frequency-domain approaches can effectively capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Zhixuan Li , Naipeng Chen , Seonghwa Choi , Sanghoon Lee , Weisi Lin

We propose an iterative proposal to estimate critical points for statistical models based on configurations by combing machine-learning tools. Firstly, phase scenarios and preliminary boundaries of phases are obtained by…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-10-23 X. L. Zhao , L. B. Fu

A human action can be seen as transitions between one's body poses over time, where the transition depicts a temporal relation between two poses. Recognizing actions thus involves learning a classifier sensitive to these pose transitions as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-03 Guillermo Garcia-Hernando , Tae-Kyun Kim

A physics-informed neural network is developed to solve conductive heat transfer partial differential equation (PDE), along with convective heat transfer PDEs as boundary conditions (BCs), in manufacturing and engineering applications where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Navid Zobeiry , Keith D. Humfeld

We consider the problem of estimating a temperature-dependent thermal conductivity model (curve) from temperature measurements. We apply a Bayesian estimation approach that takes into account measurement errors and limited prior information…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Clemens Verhoosel , Erik Quaeghebeur

This paper introduces a probabilistic graphical model for continuous action recognition with two novel components: substructure transition model and discriminative boundary model. The first component encodes the sparse and global temporal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-03-12 Zhaowen Wang , Jinjun Wang , Jing Xiao , Kai-Hsiang Lin , Thomas Huang

We present BubbleProfiler, a C++ software package for finding field profiles in bubble walls and calculating the bounce action during phase transitions involving multiple scalar fields. Our code uses a recently proposed perturbative method…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-09-04 Peter Athron , Csaba Balázs , Michael Bardsley , Andrew Fowlie , Dylan Harries , Graham White

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Recently, there have been many works on the deep learning of statistical ensembles to determine the critical temperature of a possible phase transition. We analyze the detailed structure of an optimized deep learning machine and prove the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-23 Ken-Ichi Aoki , Tatsuhiro Fujita , Tamao Kobayashi