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There is great potential to be explored regarding the use of agent-based modelling and simulation as an alternative paradigm to investigate early-stage cancer interactions with the immune system. It does not suffer from some limitations of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Grazziela P Figueredo , Peer-Olaf Siebers , Markus R Owen , Jenna Reps , Uwe Aickelin

We consider the problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of multiscale reaction networks. These sensitivity values are important for model analysis, and, the methods that currently exist for sensitivity estimation…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Ankit Gupta , Mustafa Khammash

We address the problem of estimating steady-state quantities associated to systems of stochastic chemical kinetics. In most cases of interest these systems are analytically intractable, and one has to resort to computational methods to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-21 Andreas Milias-Argeitis , John Lygeros , Mustafa Khammash

Recent years have witnessed significant progress in developing effective training and fast sampling techniques for diffusion models. A remarkable advancement is the use of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Defang Chen , Zhenyu Zhou , Jian-Ping Mei , Chunhua Shen , Chun Chen , Can Wang

The interpretation of numerical methods, such as finite difference methods for differential equations, as point estimators allows for formal statistical quantification of the error due to discretisation in the numerical context. Competing…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates

One of the most challenging types of ill-posedness in global optimization is the presence of insensitivity regions in design parameter space, so the identification of their shape will be crucial, if ill-posedness is irrecoverable. Such…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-20 Jakub Sawicki , Maciej Smołka , Marcin Łoś , Robert Schaefer

The interpretation of numerical methods, such as finite difference methods for differential equations, as point estimators suggests that formal uncertainty quantification can also be performed in this context. Competing statistical…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-09-24 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Chris J. Oates

Traditionally, the sensitivity analysis of a Bayesian network studies the impact of individually modifying the entries of its conditional probability tables in a one-at-a-time (OAT) fashion. However, this approach fails to give a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Rafael Ballester-Ripoll , Manuele Leonelli

The macroscopic (population-level) dynamics of chemotactic cell movement -- arising from underlying microscopic (individual-based) models -- are often described by parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) governing the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-16 Radek Erban

Estimating parameters of dynamic models from experimental data is a challenging, and often computationally-demanding task. It requires a large number of model simulations and objective function gradient computations, if gradient-based…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-28 Polina Lakrisenko , Dilan Pathirana , Daniel Weindl , Jan Hasenauer

We discuss the role and merits of symmetry methods for the analysis of biological systems. In particular, we consider systems of first order ordinary differential equations and provide a comprehensive review of the geometrical foundations…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-11 Johannes Borgqvist , Fredrik Ohlsson , Ruth E. Baker

We develop new unbiased estimators of a number of quantities defined for functions of conditional moments, like conditional expectations and variances, of functions of two independent random variables given the first variable, including…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-03 Tomasz Badowski

We describe a method for the identification of models for dynamical systems from observational data. The method is based on the concept of symbolic regression and uses genetic programming to evolve a system of ordinary differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Gabriel Kronberger , Lukas Kammerer , Michael Kommenda

We present a numerical approximation technique for the analysis of continuous-time Markov chains that describe networks of biochemical reactions and play an important role in the stochastic modeling of biological systems. Our approach is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-06 Thomas A. Henzinger , Maria Mateescu , Linar Mikeev , Verena Wolf

Enhancement of the predictive power and robustness of nonlinear population dynamics models allows ecologists to make more reliable forecasts about species' long term survival. However, the limited availability of detailed ecological data,…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2025-04-18 Indrajyoti Gaine , Malay Banerjee

Understanding the dynamics and evolution of climate change and associated uncertainties is key for designing robust policy actions. Computer models are key tools in this scientific effort, which have now reached a high level of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Matteo Fontana , Massimo Tavoni , Simone Vantini

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) represent a significant advancement at the intersection of machine learning and dynamical systems, offering a continuous-time analog to discrete neural networks. Despite their promise, deploying…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Matteo Caldana , Jan S. Hesthaven

Motivated by the pressing challenges in the digital twin development for biomanufacturing systems, we introduce an adjoint sensitivity analysis (SA) approach to expedite the learning of mechanistic model parameters. In this paper, we…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-02 Keilung Choy , Wei Xie

Moment approximation methods are gaining increasing attention for their use in the approximation of the stochastic kinetics of chemical reaction systems. In this paper we derive a general moment expansion method for any type of propensities…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-15 Angelique Ale , Paul Kirk , Michael P. P. Stumpf

We present a novel and simple method to numerically calculate Fisher Information Matrices for stochastic chemical kinetics models. The linear noise approximation is used to derive model equations and a likelihood function which leads to an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-27 Michal Komorowski , Maria J. Costa , David A. Rand , Michael Stumpf