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Devising and analyzing learning models for spatiotemporal network data is of importance for tasks including forecasting, anomaly detection, and multi-agent coordination, among others. Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNNs) are an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Mohammad Sabbaqi , Elvin Isufi

Accurate prediction of molecular properties is essential in drug discovery and related fields. However, existing graph neural networks (GNNs) often struggle to simultaneously capture both local and global molecular structures. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 XiaYu Liu , Chao Fan , Yang Liu , Hou-biao Li

Portfolio management aims at maximizing the return on investment while minimizing risk by continuously reallocating the assets forming the portfolio. These assets are not independent but correlated during a short time period. A graph…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-19 Farzan Soleymani , Eric Paquet

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

We study dynamic visual representations as a proxy for investor sentiment about the stock market. Our sentiment index, GIFsentiment, is constructed from millions of posts in the Graphics Interchange Format (GIF) on a leading investment…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-24 Ming Gu , David Hirshleifer , Siew Hong Teoh , Shijia Wu

Recent studies have shown great promise in applying graph neural networks for multivariate time series forecasting, where the interactions of time series are described as a graph structure and the variables are represented as the graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Junchen Ye , Zihan Liu , Bowen Du , Leilei Sun , Weimiao Li , Yanjie Fu , Hui Xiong

Many real-world ubiquitous applications, such as parking recommendations and air pollution monitoring, benefit significantly from accurate long-term spatio-temporal forecasting (LSTF). LSTF makes use of long-term dependency between spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-02 Wei Shao , Zhiling Jin , Shuo Wang , Yufan Kang , Xiao Xiao , Hamid Menouar , Zhaofeng Zhang , Junshan Zhang , Flora Salim

We examine whether and how granular, real-time predictive models should be integrated into central banks' macroprudential toolkit. First, we develop a tractable framework that formalizes the tradeoff regulators face when choosing between…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-28 Christopher Clayton , Antonio Coppola

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Session-based recommendations which predict the next action by understanding a user's interaction behavior with items within a relatively short ongoing session have recently gained increasing popularity. Previous research has focused on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Eunkyu Oh , Taehun Kim

How to obtain informative representations of transactions and then perform the identification of fraudulent transactions is a crucial part of ensuring financial security. Recent studies apply Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to the transaction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Yue Tian , Guanjun Liu

Financial transaction fraud prevention faces challenges such as complex relationship structures, concealed behavioral patterns, and dynamically changing data distribution. Discrimination models relying solely on independent sample features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Yunfei Nie , Jiawei Wang , Ruobing Yan , Yuhan Wang , Zouxiaowei Ma , Yilun Wu

Spatiotemporal data is ubiquitous, and forecasting it has important applications in many domains. However, its complex cross-component dependencies and non-linear temporal dynamics can be challenging for traditional techniques. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Hao Yuan Bai , Xue Liu

This paper proposes a new algorithm -- Trading Graph Neural Network (TGNN) that can structurally estimate the impact of asset features, dealer features and relationship features on asset prices in trading networks. It combines the strength…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-11 Xian Wu

Graphs are a commonly used construct for representing relationships between elements in complex high dimensional datasets. Many real-world phenomenon are dynamic in nature, meaning that any graph used to represent them is inherently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Stephen Bonner , John Brennan , Ibad Kureshi , Georgios Theodoropoulos , Andrew Stephen McGough , Boguslaw Obara

Traffic forecasting influences various intelligent transportation system (ITS) services and is of great significance for user experience as well as urban traffic control. It is challenging due to the fact that the road network contains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Yiwen Sun , Yulu Wang , Kun Fu , Zheng Wang , Changshui Zhang , Jieping Ye

Graph generation is a critical task in numerous domains, including molecular design and social network analysis, due to its ability to model complex relationships and structured data. While most modern graph generative models utilize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Xiaohui Chen , Yinkai Wang , Jiaxing He , Yuanqi Du , Soha Hassoun , Xiaolin Xu , Li-Ping Liu

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

Graphs are a powerful data structure to represent relational data and are widely used to describe complex real-world data structures. Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) have been well-developed in the past years to mathematically model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Chenqing Hua , Sitao Luan , Qian Zhang , Jie Fu

Traffic forecasting is important for the success of intelligent transportation systems. Deep learning models, including convolution neural networks and recurrent neural networks, have been extensively applied in traffic forecasting problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo