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Background. Alzheimer's disease and related dementia (ADRD) are characterized by multiple and progressive anatomo clinical changes. Yet, modeling changes over disease course from cohort data is challenging as the usual timescales are…

Background: Most people with any long-term condition have multiple long-term conditions, but our understanding of how conditions cluster is limited. Many clustering studies identify clusters in the whole population, but the clusters that…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-19 Anirban Chakraborty , Bruce Guthrie , Sohan Seth

Disease progression modeling provides a robust framework to identify long-term disease trajectories from short-term biomarker data. It is a valuable tool to gain a deeper understanding of diseases with a long disease trajectory, such as…

Muscular Dystrophy is a group of genetic disorders that progressively affect the strength and functioning of muscles, thereby affecting millions of people worldwide. The lifetime nature of MD requires continuous follow-up care due to its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Mohammed Akkaoui

Many applications in medical statistics as well as in other fields can be described by transitions between multiple states (e.g. from health to disease) experienced by individuals over time. In this context, multi-state models are a popular…

Treatment of cancer involves heterogeneous, complex care pathways. The relationship between these longitudinal trajectories, baseline mental health, and prognostic outcomes remains poorly understood. We introduce an interpretable…

How long people live depends on their health, and how it changes with age. Individual health can be tracked by the accumulation of age-related health deficits. The fraction of age-related deficits is a simple quantitative measure of human…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-23 Swadhin Taneja , Arnold B. Mitnitski , Kenneth Rockwood , Andrew D. Rutenberg

Multiple sclerosis is a disease that affects the brain and spinal cord, it can lead to severe disability and has no known cure. The majority of prior work in machine learning for multiple sclerosis has been centered around using Magnetic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Alexander Norcliffe , Lev Proleev , Diana Mincu , Fletcher Lee Hartsell , Katherine Heller , Subhrajit Roy

The last two centuries have seen a significant increase in life expectancy. Although past trends suggest that mortality will continue to decline in the future, uncertainty and instability about the development is greatly increased due to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-28 Asmik Nalmpatian , Christian Heumann , Stefan Pilz

In Fall 2020, several European countries reported rapid increases in COVID-19 cases along with growing estimates of the effective reproduction rates. Such an acceleration in epidemic spread is usually attributed to time-dependent effects,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-30 Nazmi Burak Budanur , Björn Hof

The description of complex human mobility patterns is at the core of many important applications ranging from urbanism and transportation to epidemics containment. Data about collective human movements, once scarce, has become widely…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-21 Riccardo Gallotti , Davide Maniscalco , Marc Barthelemy , Manlio De Domenico

Healthcare professionals have long envisioned using the enormous processing powers of computers to discover new facts and medical knowledge locked inside electronic health records. These vast medical archives contain time-resolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-15 Ahmed Allam , Matthias Dittberner , Anna Sintsova , Dominique Brodbeck , Michael Krauthammer

A multistate cure model is a statistical framework used to analyze and represent the transitions individuals undergo between different states over time, accounting for the possibility of being cured by initial treatment. This model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Yilin Jiang , Harm van Tinteren , Marta Fiocco

Human life expectancy has dramatically improved over the course of the last century. Although this reflects a global improvement in sanitation and medical care, this also implies that more people suffer from diseases that typically manifest…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2022-07-11 Alexis Rapin , Maroun Bou Sleiman , Johan Auwerx

News media often report that the trend of some public health outcome has changed. These statements are frequently based on longitudinal data, and the change in trend is typically found to have occurred at the most recent data collection…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-06 Andreas Kryger Jensen , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm

In this study, we introduce a novel and comprehensive extension of a Bayesian spatio-temporal disease mapping model that explicitly accounts for gender-specific effects of meteorological exposures. Leveraging fine-scale weekly mortality and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Corinna Perchtold , Julia Eisenberg , Philipp Otto

It is well-known that mood and pain interact with each other, however individual-level variability in this relationship has been less well quantified than overall associations between low mood and pain. Here, we leverage the possibilities…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-02 Rajenki Das , Mark Muldoon , Mark Lunt , John McBeth , Belay Birlie Yimer , Thomas House

Finite mixture models that allow for a broad range of potentially non-elliptical cluster distributions is an emerging methodological field. Such methods allow for the shape of the clusters to match the natural heterogeneity of the data,…

There have been significant efforts devoted to solving the longevity risk given that a continuous growth in population ageing has become a severe issue for many developed countries over the past few decades. The Cairns-Blake-Dowd (CBD)…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Background: A wide range of diseases show some degree of clustering in families; family history is therefore an important aspect for clinicians when making risk predictions. Familial aggregation is often quantified in terms of a familial…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-31 Morten Valberg , Mats Julius Stensrud , Odd O. Aalen