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Consider an estimation of the Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$ and the volatility parameter $\sigma>0$ for a fractional Brownian motion with a drift term under high-frequency observations with a finite time interval. In the present paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Tetsuya Takabatake

This paper deals with the rate of convergence for the central limit theorem of estimators of the drift coefficient, denoted $\theta$, for a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X \coloneqq \{X_t,t\geq0\}$ observed at high frequency. We provide an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Fares Alazemi , Mishari Al-Foraih

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

We obtain general weak existence and stability results for stochastic convolution equations with jumps under mild regularity assumptions, allowing for non-Lipschitz coefficients and singular kernels. Our approach relies on weak convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Christa Cuchiero , Martin Larsson , Sergio Pulido

The paper considers the problem of robust estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with dependent disturbances given by a general square integrable semimartingale with unknown distribution. An example of such a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-20 Victor Konev , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

In this paper we consider an ergodic diffusion process with jumps whose drift coefficient depends on an unknown parameter $\theta$. We suppose that the process is discretely observed at the instants (t n i)i=0,...,n with $\Delta$n = sup…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

We consider parameter estimation in finite hidden state space Markov models with time-dependent inhomogeneous noise, where the inhomogeneity vanishes sufficiently fast. Based on the concept of asymptotic mean stationary processes we prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Manuel Diehn , Axel Munk , Daniel Rudolf

We study statistical inference of the drift parameters for the Volterra Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process on R in the ergodic regime. For continuous-time observations, we derive the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators and show that they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Martin Friesen , Jonas Kremer

We construct a Convolution Quadrature (CQ) scheme for the quasilinear subdiffusion equation of order $\alpha$ and supply it with the fast and oblivious implementation. In particular, we find a condition for the CQ to be admissible and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Maria López-Fernández , Łukasz Płociniczak

We consider statistical inference for a class of dynamic mixed-effect models described by stochastic differential equations whose drift and diffusion coefficients simultaneously depend on fixed- and random-effect parameters. Assuming that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Maud Delattre , Hiroki Masuda

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic processes driven by additive small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index 0<H<1/2 and 1/2<H<1. Under some assumptions on the drift coefficient, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Shohei Nakajima , Yasutaka Shimizu

The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

The transition density of a diffusion process does not admit an explicit expression in general, which prevents the full maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) based on discretely observed sample paths. A\"{\i}t-Sahalia [J. Finance 54 (1999)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-12 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen

In the setting of stochastic Volterra equations, and in particular rough volatility models, we show that conditional expectations are the unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs. The latter arise from the functional It\^o formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier , Alexandre Pannier

In this paper, we consider the problem of joint parameter estimation for drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation and for the associated system of interacting particles. The analysis is provided in a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Chiara Amorino , Akram Heidari , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Mark Podolskij

We investigate stochastic Volterra equations and their limiting laws. The stochastic Volterra equations we consider are driven by a Hilbert space valued \Levy noise and integration kernels may have non-linear dependence on the current state…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Fred Espen Benth , Nils Detering , Paul Kruehner

We propose a data-driven approach to quantify the uncertainty of models constructed by kernel methods. Our approach minimizes the needed distributional assumptions, hence, instead of working with, for example, Gaussian processes or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Krisztián Balázs Kis

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation of the mixed fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with a drift. Large sample asymptotical properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator is deduced using the Laplace transform computations or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Chunhao Cai , Min Zhang

We study an optimal control problem under uncertainty, where the target function is the solution of an elliptic partial differential equation with random coefficients, steered by a control function. The robust formulation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Philipp A. Guth , Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Claudia Schillings , Ian H. Sloan

Asymptotic properties of the local Whittle estimator in the nonstationary case (d>{1/2}) are explored. For {1/2}<d\leq 1, the estimator is shown to be consistent, and its limit distribution and the rate of convergence depend on the value of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter C. B. Phillips , Katsumi Shimotsu
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