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We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

This paper focuses on the randomized Milstein scheme for approximating solutions to stochastic Volterra integral equations with weakly singular kernels, where the drift coefficients are non-differentiable. An essential component of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Zhaohang Wang , Zhuoqi Liu , Shuaibin Gao , Junhao Hu

A novel adaptive filtering method called $q$-Volterra least mean square ($q$-VLMS) is presented in this paper. The $q$-VLMS is a nonlinear extension of conventional LMS and it is based on Jackson's derivative also known as $q$-calculus. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-08 Muhammad Usman , Muhammad Sohail Ibrahim , Jawwad Ahmad , Syed Saiq Hussain , Muhammad Moinuddin

Our study aims to specify the asymptotic error distribution in the discretization of a stochastic Volterra equation with a fractional kernel. It is well-known that for a standard stochastic differential equation, the discretization error,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Masaaki Fukasawa , Takuto Ugai

We consider drift parameter estimation in a model driven by the sum of two independent fractional Brownian motions with different Hurst indices. Although the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for this model is known theoretically, its…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-06 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Mykyta Yakovliev

We investigate the properties of the solutions of scaled Volterra equations (i.e. with an affine mean-reverting drift) in terms of stationarity at both a finite horizon and on the long run. In particular we prove that such an equation never…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Gilles Pagès

A one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X_t, 0\leq t \leq T\}$, with drift $b(x)$ and diffusion coefficient $\sigma(\theta, x)=\sqrt{\theta} \sigma(x)$ known up to $\theta>0$, is supposed to switch volatility regime at some point $t^*\in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-20 A. De Gregorio , S. M. Iacus

In this work, we establish a comparison principle for stochastic Volterra equations with respect to the initial condition and the drift $b$ applicable to a wide class of Volterra kernels and input curves $g$ that may be singular at zero.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-26 Ole Cañadas , Martin Friesen

When the output of an atomistic simulation (such as the Gillespie stochastic simulation algorithm, SSA) can be approximated as a diffusion process, we may be interested in the dynamic features of the deterministic (drift) component of this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. P. Calderon , G. A. Tsekouras , A. Provata , I. G. Kevrekidis

This paper studies the quasi-maximum-likelihood estimator (QMLE) in a general conditionally heteroscedastic time series model of multiplicative form $X_t=\sigma_tZ_t$, where the unobservable volatility $\sigma_t$ is a parametric function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Daniel Straumann , Thomas Mikosch

We consider quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for general non-Gaussian discrete-ime linear state space models and equidistantly observed multivariate L\'evy-driven continuoustime autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Eckhard Schlemm , Robert Stelzer

This paper provides a Feller's test for explosions of one-dimensional continuous stochastic Volterra processes of convolution type. The study focuses on dynamics governed by nonsingular kernels, which preserve the semimartingale property of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Alessandro Bondi , Sergio Pulido

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Under some assumptions on drift and diffusion coefficients, we construct maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Shohei Nakajima

We consider the problem of efficient estimation of the drift parameter of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'{e}vy process when high-frequency observations are given. The estimator is constructed from the time-continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Hilmar Mai

For a fixed $T$ and $k \geq 2$, a $k$-dimensional vector stochastic differential equation $dX_t=\mu(X_t, \theta)dt+\nu(X_t)dW_t,$ is studied over a time interval $[0,T]$. Vector of drift parameters $\theta$ is unknown. The dependence in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Miljenko Huzak , Snježana Lubura Strunjak , Andreja Vlahek Štrok

The maximum likelihood approach is adapted to the problem of estimation of drift and diffusion functions of stochastic processes from measured time series. We reconcile a previously devised iterative procedure [Kleinhans et al., Physics…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

The almost sure rate of exponential-polynomial growth or decay of affine stochastic Volterra and affine stochastic finite-delay equations is investigated. These results are achieved under suitable smallness conditions on the intensities of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-10-10 John A. D. Appleby , John A. Daniels

In this paper we present the asymptotic analysis of the realised quadratic variation for multivariate symmetric $\beta$-stable L\'evy processes, $\beta \in (0,2)$, and certain pure jump semimartingales. The main focus is on derivation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Johannes Heiny , Mark Podolskij

We first revisit the problem of estimating the spot volatility of an It\^o semimartingale using a kernel estimator. We prove a Central Limit Theorem with optimal convergence rate for a general two-sided kernel. Next, we introduce a new…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 José E. Figueroa-López , Bei Wu