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In the last decade, machine learning techniques have gained popularity for estimating causal effects. One machine learning approach that can be used for estimating an average treatment effect is Double/debiased machine learning (DML)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-17 Daniele Ballinari , Nora Bearth

This paper proposes a versatile covariate adjustment method that directly incorporates covariate balance in regression discontinuity (RD) designs. The new empirical entropy balancing method reweights the standard local polynomial RD…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-29 Jun Ma , Zhengfei Yu

Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) is pervasive in navigation and positioning applications, where precise position and time referencing estimations are required. Conventional methods for GNSS positioning involve a two-step process,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-11 Haoqing Li , Shuo Tang , Peng Wu , Pau Closas

We present two algorithms by which a set of short, unbiased trajectories can be iteratively reweighted to obtain various observables. The first algorithm estimates the stationary (steady state) distribution of a system by iteratively…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-18 John D. Russo , Jeremy Copperman , Daniel M. Zuckerman

We consider the problem of estimating the finite population mean $\bar{Y}$ of an outcome variable $Y$ using data from a nonprobability sample and auxiliary information from a probability sample. Existing double robust (DR) estimators of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Shaun Seaman

This work aims at solving the problems with intractable sparsity-inducing norms that are often encountered in various machine learning tasks, such as multi-task learning, subspace clustering, feature selection, robust principal component…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Feiping Nie , Zhanxuan Hu , Xiaoqian Wang , Rong Wang , Xuelong Li , Heng Huang

Integrating probability and nonprobability survey samples is an important problem in modern survey sampling. Nonprobability samples often contain rich outcome information but may lack population representativeness, whereas probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Yufang Dai , Shihua Luo , Wendy Lou , Zilin Wang , Xuewen Lu

The exponential moving average (EMA) is a commonly used statistic for providing stable estimates of stochastic quantities in deep learning optimization. Recently, EMA has seen considerable use in generative models, where it is computed with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Jonathan Patsenker , Henry Li , Yuval Kluger

Multivariable Mendelian randomization (MVMR) uses genetic variants as instrumental variables to infer the direct effects of multiple exposures on an outcome. However, unlike univariable Mendelian randomization, MVMR often faces greater…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Yinxiang Wu , Hyunseung Kang , Ting Ye

Personalized intervention strategies, in particular those that modify treatment based on a participant's own response, are a core component of precision medicine approaches. Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomized Trials (SMARTs) are…

Mobile health (mHealth) leverages digital technologies, such as mobile phones, to capture objective, frequent, and real-world digital phenotypes from individuals, enabling the delivery of tailored interventions to accommodate substantial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Xingche Guo , Zexi Cai , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

Optimization-based state estimation is useful for nonlinear or constrained dynamic systems for which few general methods with established properties are available. The two fundamental forms are moving horizon estimation (MHE) which uses the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Wuhua Hu

Precision medicine aims to tailor treatment decisions according to patients' characteristics. G-estimation and dynamic weighted ordinary least squares (dWOLS) are double robust statistical methods that can be used to identify optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Denis Talbot , Erica EM Moodie , Caroline Diorio

How should researchers adjust for covariates? We show that if the propensity score is estimated using a specific covariate balancing approach, inverse probability weighting (IPW), augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW), and inverse…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-23 Tymon Słoczyński , S. Derya Uysal , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

Limiting failures of machine learning systems is of paramount importance for safety-critical applications. In order to improve the robustness of machine learning systems, Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) has been proposed as a…

Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) is widely used in empirical work in economics and other disciplines. As Gaussian approximations perform poorly in the presence of "small denominators," trimming is routinely employed as a regularization…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-05-28 Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

We introduce two uncertainty measures, say weighted past varentropy (WPVE) and weighted paired dynamic varentropy (WPDVE). Several properties of these proposed measures, including their effect under the monotone transformations are studied.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Shital Saha , Suchandan Kayal

In observational studies, treatments are typically not randomized and therefore estimated treatment effects may be subject to confounding bias. The instrumental variable (IV) design plays the role of a quasi-experimental handle since the IV…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-30 Lan Liu , Wang Miao , Baoluo Sun , James Robins , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Longitudinal data often involve heterogeneity, sparse signals, and contamination from response outliers or high-leverage observations especially in biomedical science. Existing methods usually address only part of this problem, either…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Yuyao Wang , Yu Lu , Tianni Zhang , Mengfei Ran

We study nonparametric inference for the causal dose-response (or treatment effect) curve when the treatment variable is continuous rather than binary or discrete. We do this by developing doubly robust confidence intervals for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Charles R. Doss