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Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

Vector autoregression has been widely used for modeling and analysis of multivariate time series data. In high-dimensional settings, model parameter regularization schemes inducing sparsity yield interpretable models and achieved good…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Leo L. Duan , Zeyu Yuwen , George Michailidis , Zhengwu Zhang

In genetic studies, not only can the number of predictors obtained from microarray measurements be extremely large, there can also be multiple response variables. Motivated by such a situation, we consider semiparametric dimension reduction…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-25 Heng Lian , Shujie Ma

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used for causal discovery and forecasting in multivariate time series analysis. In the high-dimensional setting, which is increasingly common in fields such as neuroscience and econometrics,…

Covariance regression offers an effective way to model the large covariance matrix with the auxiliary similarity matrices. In this work, we propose a sparse covariance regression (SCR) approach to handle the potentially high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-17 Yuan Gao , Zhiyuan Zhang , Zhanrui Cai , Xuening Zhu , Tao Zou , Hansheng Wang

High-dimensional variable selection, with many more covariates than observations, is widely documented in standard regression models, but there are still few tools to address it in non-linear mixed-effects models where data are collected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Marion Naveau , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Renaud Rincent , Laure Sansonnet , Maud Delattre

Varying coefficient models are popular for estimating nonlinear regression functions in functional data models. Their Bayesian variants have received limited attention in large data applications, primarily due to prohibitively slow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Laura Baracaldo , Sudipto Banerjee

This paper develops a performant Bayesian approach to conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation in regression discontinuity designs (RDD), an increasingly prevalent form of quasi-experiment that facilitates causal inference.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Rafael Alcantara , P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert F. Lopes

Some applied researchers hesitate to use nonparametric methods, worrying that they will lose power in small samples or overfit the data when simpler models are sufficient. We argue that at least some of these concerns are unfounded when…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Antonio R. Linero

Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

The paper introduces a tree-based varying coefficient model (VCM) where the varying coefficients are modelled using the cyclic gradient boosting machine (CGBM) from Delong et al. (2023). Modelling the coefficient functions using a CGBM…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-17 Henning Zakrisson , Mathias Lindholm

Dimension reduction algorithms aim to discover latent variables which describe underlying structures in high-dimensional data. Methods such as factor analysis and principal component analysis have the downside of not offering much…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-23 Yong See Foo , Heejung Shim

In recent years, the success of large language models (LLMs) has driven the exploration of scaling laws in recommender systems. However, models that demonstrate scaling laws are actually challenging to deploy in industrial settings for…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Weijiang Lai , Beihong Jin , Di Zhang , Siru Chen , Jiongyan Zhang , Yuhang Gou , Jian Dong , Xingxing Wang

Motivated by recent work studying massive imaging data in the neuroimaging literature, we propose multivariate varying coefficient models (MVCM) for modeling the relation between multiple functional responses and a set of covariates. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Hongtu Zhu , Runze Li , Linglong Kong

Quantitative genetic studies that model complex, multivariate phenotypes are important for both evolutionary prediction and artificial selection. For example, changes in gene expression can provide insight into developmental and…

Applications · Statistics 2013-05-03 Daniel E Runcie , Sayan Mukherjee

Recent economic events, including the global financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic, have exposed limitations in linear Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) models for forecasting and structural analysis. Nonlinear dimension…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-07 Yiyong Luo , Brooks Paige , Jim Griffin

Prediction is a classic challenge in spatial statistics and the inclusion of spatial covariates can greatly improve predictive performance when incorporated into a model with latent spatial effects. It is desirable to develop flexible…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Alex Ziyu Jiang , Jon Wakefield

The challenges for non-intrusive methods for Polynomial Chaos modeling lie in the computational efficiency and accuracy under a limited number of model simulations. These challenges can be addressed by enforcing sparsity in the series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub , Fabio Nobile

We provide a new flexible framework for inference with the instrumental variable model. Rather than using linear specifications, functions characterizing the effects of instruments and other explanatory variables are estimated using machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Robert E. McCulloch , Rodney A. Sparapani , Brent R. Logan , Purushottam W. Laud

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) is a flexible prediction model/machine learning approach that has gained widespread popularity in recent years. As BART becomes more mainstream, there is an increased need for a paper that walks…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-18 Yaoyuan Vincent Tan , Jason Roy