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We conduct modeling of the price dynamics following order flow imbalance in market microstructure and apply the model to the analysis of Chinese CSI 300 Index Futures. There are three findings. The first is that the order flow imbalance is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-26 Chen Hu , Kouxiao Zhang

Conventional models of matching markets assume that monetary transfers can clear markets by compensating for utility differentials. However, empirical patterns show that such transfers often fail to close structural preference gaps. This…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-27 Yao Wu

We provide an explicit characterization of the optimal market making strategy in a discrete-time Limit Order Book (LOB). In our model, the number of filled orders during each period depends linearly on the distance between the fundamental…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Agostino Capponi , José E. Figueroa-López , Chuyi Yu

We propose a class of stochastic models for a dynamics of limit order book with different type of liquidities. Within this class of models we study the one where a spread decreases uniformly, belonging to the class of processes known as a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-07 Helder Rojas , Artem Logachov , Anatoly Yambartsev

We propose an analytically tractable class of models for the dynamics of a limit order book, described through a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with multiplicative noise for the order book centered at the mid-price, along…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-19 Rama Cont , Marvin S. Mueller

We propose an actionable calibration procedure for general Quadratic Hawkes models of order book events (market orders, limit orders, cancellations). One of the main features of such models is to encode not only the influence of past events…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-13 Antoine Fosset , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Michael Benzaquen

We propose a general non-linear order book model that is built from the individual behaviours of the agents. Our framework encompasses Markovian and Hawkes based models. Under mild assumptions, we prove original results on the ergodicity…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-14 Othmane Mounjid , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Pamela Saliba

We examine optimal execution models that take into account both market microstructure impact and informational costs. Informational footprint is related to order flow and is represented by the trader's influence on the flow imbalance…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-21 Kyle Bechler , Mike Ludkovski

The hierarchical token bucket (HTB) algorithm allows to specify per-flow bitrate guarantees and enables excess bandwidth sharing between flows of the same class. Additionally, it provides capabilities to prioritize the traffic of specific…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Marcin Bosk , Marija Gajić , Susanna Schwarzmann , Stanislav Lange , Thomas Zinner

We analyze the stability of general nonlinear discrete-time stochastic systems controlled by optimal inputs that minimize an infinite-horizon discounted cost. Under a novel stochastic formulation of cost-controllability and detectability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Robert H. Moldenhauer , Dragan Nešić , Mathieu Granzotto , Romain Postoyan , Andrew R. Teel

The ability to construct a realistic simulator of financial exchanges, including reproducing the dynamics of the limit order book, can give insight into many counterfactual scenarios, such as a flash crash, a margin call, or changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Namid R. Stillman , Rory Baggott , Justin Lyon , Jianfei Zhang , Dingqiu Zhu , Tao Chen , Perukrishnen Vytelingum

This paper focuses on an extension of the Limit Order Book (LOB) model with general shape introduced by Alfonsi, Fruth and Schied. Here, the additional feature allows a time-varying LOB depth. We solve the optimal execution problem in this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-16 Aurélien Alfonsi , José Infante Acevedo

We study the optimal execution of market and limit orders with permanent and temporary price impacts as well as uncertainty in the filling of limit orders. Our continuous-time model incorporates a trade speed limiter and a trader director…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-13 Brian Bulthuis , Julio Concha , Tim Leung , Brian Ward

We consider a stochastic model for the dynamics of the two-sided limit order book (LOB). Our model is flexible enough to allow for a dependence of the price dynamics on volumes. For the joint dynamics of best bid and ask prices and the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-04 Christian Bayer , Ulrich Horst , Jinniao Qiu

We propose a static equilibrium model for limit order book where profit-maximizing investors receive an information signal regarding the liquidation value of the asset and execute via a competitive dealer with random initial inventory, who…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-11 Umut Çetin , Henri Waelbroeck

In financial markets, the order flow, defined as the process assuming value one for buy market orders and minus one for sell market orders, displays a very slowly decaying autocorrelation function. Since orders impact prices, reconciling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-19 Damian Eduardo Taranto , Giacomo Bormetti , Fabrizio Lillo

We present a simple order book mechanism that regulates an artificial financial market with self-organized criticality dynamics and fat tails of returns distribution. The model shows the role played by individual imitation in determining…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-29 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

We present a modified version of the non parametric Hawkes kernel estimation procedure studied in arXiv:1401.0903 that is adapted to slowly decreasing kernels. We show on numerical simulations involving a reasonable number of events that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-30 Emmanuel Bacry , Thibault Jaisson , Jean-Francois Muzy

A micro-scale model is proposed for the evolution of the limit order book. Within this model, the flows of orders (claims) are described by doubly stochastic Poisson processes taking account of the stochastic character of intensities of bid…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Chertok , A. Yu. Korchagin , A. I. Zeifman

Long-horizon language-model agents are dominated, in lines of code and in operational complexity, not by their underlying model but by the harness that wraps it: context compaction, tool caching, semantic memory, trajectory reuse,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Biswa Sengupta , Jinhua Wang