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Financial studies require volatility based models which provides useful insights on risks related to investments. Stochastic volatility models are one of the most popular approaches to model volatility in such studies. The asset returns…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Soham Mukherjee

Monte Carlo (MC) integration is the de facto method for approximating the predictive distribution of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). But, even with many MC samples, Gaussian-based BNNs could still yield bad predictive performance due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Agustinus Kristiadi , Runa Eschenhagen , Philipp Hennig

Variational inference with normalizing flows (NFs) is an increasingly popular alternative to MCMC methods. In particular, NFs based on coupling layers (Real NVPs) are frequently used due to their good empirical performance. In theory,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-27 Daniel Andrade

Score-based generative models (SGMs) have achieved remarkable empirical success, motivating their application to a broad range of data distributions. However, extending them to heavy-tailed targets remains a largely open problem. Although…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Tiziano Fassina , Gabriel Cardoso , Sylvan Le Corff , Thomas Romary

Real-world datasets follow an imbalanced distribution, which poses significant challenges in rare-category object detection. Recent studies tackle this problem by developing re-weighting and re-sampling methods, that utilise the class…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Konstantinos Panagiotis Alexandridis , Ismail Elezi , Jiankang Deng , Anh Nguyen , Shan Luo

We propose a novel approach for detecting change points in high-dimensional linear regression models. Unlike previous research that relied on strict Gaussian/sub-Gaussian error assumptions and had prior knowledge of change points, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Bin Liu , Zhengling Qi , Xinsheng Zhang , Yufeng Liu

Diffusion models and their variations, such as rectified flows, generate diverse and high-quality images, but they are still hindered by slow iterative sampling caused by the highly curved generative paths they learn. An important cause of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Nazir Nayal , Christopher Wewer , Jan Eric Lenssen

Bayesian deep learning counts on the quality of posterior distribution estimation. However, the posterior of deep neural networks is highly multi-modal in nature, with local modes exhibiting varying generalization performance. Given a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Bolian Li , Ruqi Zhang

In this paper, we study efficient approximate sampling for probability distributions known up to normalization constants. We specifically focus on a problem class arising in Bayesian inference for large-scale inverse problems in science and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

To ensure that real-world infrastructure is safe and durable, systems are designed to not fail for any but the most rarely occurring parameter values. By only happening deep in the tails of the parameter distribution, failure probabilities…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-27 Promit Chakroborty , Michael D. Shields

There has been much recent interest in modifying Bayesian inference for misspecified models so that it is useful for specific purposes. One popular modified Bayesian inference method is "cutting feedback" which can be used when the model…

This paper describes heavy-tailed extensions of a state-of-the-art versatile blind source separation method called fast multichannel nonnegative matrix factorization (FastMNMF) from a unified point of view. The common way of deriving such…

Sound · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Mathieu Fontaine , Kouhei Sekiguchi , Aditya Nugraha , Yoshiaki Bando , Kazuyoshi Yoshii

Bayesian shrinkage methods have generated a lot of recent interest as tools for high-dimensional regression and model selection. These methods naturally facilitate tractable uncertainty quantification and incorporation of prior information.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-17 Bala Rajaratnam , Doug Sparks , Kshitij Khare , Liyuan Zhang

Many approximate Bayesian inference methods assume a particular parametric form for approximating the posterior distribution. A multivariate Gaussian distribution provides a convenient density for such approaches; examples include the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-20 Jackson Zhou , Clara Grazian , John Ormerod

We introduce L\'evy-Flows, a class of normalizing flow models that replace the standard Gaussian base distribution with L\'evy process-based distributions, specifically Variance Gamma (VG) and Normal-Inverse Gaussian (NIG). These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Rachid Drissi

Text-to-image flow matching transformers degrade sharply in long-tail settings: tail-class outputs collapse in fidelity and diversity, limiting their value as synthetic augmentation for rare conditions. We trace this to low head-versus-tail…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Felix Nützel , Mischa Dombrowski , Bernhard Kainz

We present a simple and efficient variational finite difference method for simulating time-dependent Stokes flow in the presence of irregular free surfaces and moving solid boundaries. The method uses an embedded boundary approach on…

Computational Physics · Physics 2011-05-25 Christopher Batty , Robert Bridson

During the past decade, shrinkage priors have received much attention in Bayesian analysis of high-dimensional data. This paper establishes the posterior consistency for high-dimensional linear regression with a class of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Qifan Song , Faming Liang

We introduce in this work the normalizing field flows (NFF) for learning random fields from scattered measurements. More precisely, we construct a bijective transformation (a normalizing flow characterizing by neural networks) between a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Ling Guo , Hao Wu , Tao Zhou

Various natural phenomena exhibit spatial extremal dependence at short spatial distances. However, existing models proposed in the spatial extremes literature often assume that extremal dependence persists across the entire domain. This is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-01 Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser , David Bolin