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Recent advances in graph convolutional networks have significantly improved the performance of chemical predictions, raising a new research question: "how do we explain the predictions of graph convolutional networks?" A possible approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Hirotaka Akita , Kosuke Nakago , Tomoki Komatsu , Yohei Sugawara , Shin-ichi Maeda , Yukino Baba , Hisashi Kashima

Gene regulation involves a hierarchy of events that extend from specific protein-DNA interactions to the combinatorial assembly of nucleoprotein complexes. The effects of DNA sequence on these processes have typically been studied based…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-20 Jose M. G. Vilar

Virtual cell models aim to enable in silico experimentation by predicting how cells respond to genetic, chemical, or cytokine perturbations from single-cell measurements. In practice, however, large-scale perturbation prediction remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Shuizhou Chen , Lang Yu , Kedu Jin , Songming Zhang , Hao Wu , Wenxuan Huang , Sheng Xu , Quan Qian , Qin Chen , Lei Bai , Siqi Sun , Zhangyang Gao

Explaining predictions based on multivariate time series data carries the additional difficulty of handling not only multiple features, but also time dependencies. It matters not only what happened, but also when, and the same feature could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Joseph Enguehard

Predictive coding, once used in only a small fraction of legal and business matters, is now widely deployed to quickly cull through increasingly vast amounts of data and reduce the need for costly and inefficient human document review.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Rishi Chhatwal , Nathaniel Huber-Fliflet , Robert Keeling , Jianping Zhang , Haozhen Zhao

Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan

Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work has investigated general uncertainty estimation approaches for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

The proximal causal inference framework enables the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding by leveraging two disjoint sets of observed strong proxies: negative control treatments and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Antonio Olivas-Martinez , Peter B. Gilbert , Andrea Rotnitzky

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

Uncertainty quantification of causal effects is crucial for safety-critical applications such as personalized medicine. A powerful approach for this is conformal prediction, which has several practical benefits due to model-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Maresa Schröder , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Konstantin Heß , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

Feedback in cellular processes is typically inferred through cellular responses to experimental perturbations. Modular response analysis provides a theoretical framework for translating specific perturbations into feedback sensitivities…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-09 Seshu Iyengar , Andreas Hilfinger

Genomic studies face a vast hypothesis space, while interventions such as gene perturbations remain costly and time-consuming. To accelerate such experiments, gene perturbation models predict the transcriptional outcome of interventions.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-21 George Panagopoulos , Johannes F. Lutzeyer , Sofiane Ennadir , Michalis Vazirgiannis , Jun Pang

Revealing and analyzing the various properties of materials is an essential and critical issue in the development of materials, including batteries, semiconductors, catalysts, and pharmaceuticals. Traditionally, these properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Limin Wang , Masatoshi Hanai , Toyotaro Suzumura , Shun Takashige , Kenjiro Taura

Should prediction models always deliver a prediction? In the pursuit of maximum predictive performance, critical considerations of reliability and fairness are often overshadowed, particularly when it comes to the role of uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Anna Sokol , Nuno Moniz , Nitesh Chawla

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

Recent papers show LLMs achieve near-random accuracy in causal relation classification, raising questions about whether such failures arise from limited pretraining exposure or deeper representational gaps. We investigate this under…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Oscar Lithgow-Serrano , Vani Kanjirangat , Alessandro Antonucci

Machine learning models only provide probabilistic guarantees on the expected loss of random samples from the distribution represented by their training data. As a result, a model with high accuracy, may or may not be reliable for…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Nima Shahbazi , Abolfazl Asudeh

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza