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Pakistan experienced an unusually severe flood season between June and December 2025, with cascading impacts on population, infrastructure, and agriculture. Existing operational flood products (e.g., UNOSAT) provide valuable episode-level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 Usman Nazir , Disha Gomathinayagam , Muhammad Kamran , Sara Khalid

Despite marked progress over the past several decades, convective storm nowcasting remains a challenge because most nowcasting systems are based on linear extrapolation of radar reflectivity without much consideration for other…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-11-01 Lei Han , Juanzhen Sun , Wei Zhang , Yuanyuan Xiu , Hailei Feng , Yinjing Lin

Machine-based prediction of real-world events is garnering attention due to its potential for informed decision-making. Whereas traditional forecasting predominantly hinges on structured data like time-series, recent breakthroughs in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Qi Yan , Raihan Seraj , Jiawei He , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Convective storm nowcasting has attracted substantial attention in various fields. Existing methods under a deep learning framework rely primarily on radar data. Although they perform nowcast storm advection well, it is still challenging to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Wei Zhang , Lei Han , Juanzhen Sun , Hanyang Guo , Jie Dai

Short-range prediction of convective precipitation from weather radar observations is essential for severe weather warnings. However, deep learning models trained with pixel-wise error metrics tend to produce overly smooth forecasts that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Haofei Cui , Guangxin He , Juanzhen Sun , Jingjia Luo , Haonan Chen , Xiaoran Zhuang , Mingxuan Chen , Xian Xiao

Reliable precipitation nowcasting is critical for weather-sensitive decision-making, yet neural weather models (NWMs) can produce poorly calibrated probabilistic forecasts. Standard calibration metrics such as the expected calibration error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Lauri Kurki , Yaniel Cabrera , Samu Karanko

Data-driven hourly weather forecasting models often face the challenge of error accumulation in long-term predictions. The problem is exacerbated by non-physical temporal discontinuities present in widely-used training datasets such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Shuangshuang He , Yuanting Zhang , Hongli Liang , Qingye Meng , Xingyuan Yuan , Shuo Wang

Accurate long-range weather forecasting remains a major challenge for AI models, both because errors accumulate over autoregressive rollouts and because reanalysis datasets used for training offer a limited sample of the slow modes of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Scott A. Martin , Noah Brenowitz , Dale Durran , Michael Pritchard

Resource-constrained perception systems such as edge computing and vision-for-robotics require vision models to be both accurate and lightweight in computation and memory usage. While knowledge distillation is a proven strategy to enhance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Shengcao Cao , Mengtian Li , James Hays , Deva Ramanan , Yi-Xiong Wang , Liang-Yan Gui

Recently, radar-camera fusion algorithms have gained significant attention as radar sensors provide geometric information that complements the limitations of cameras. However, most existing radar-camera depth estimation algorithms focus…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Huawei Sun , Nastassia Vysotskaya , Tobias Sukianto , Hao Feng , Julius Ott , Xiangyuan Peng , Lorenzo Servadei , Robert Wille

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Climate change exacerbates extreme weather events like heavy rainfall and flooding. As these events cause severe socioeconomic damage, accurate high-resolution simulation of precipitation is imperative. However, existing Earth System Models…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-03 Michael Aich , Philipp Hess , Baoxiang Pan , Sebastian Bathiany , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Soil moisture is critical component of crop health and monitoring it can enable further actions for increasing yield or preventing catastrophic die off. As climate change increases the likelihood of extreme weather events and reduces the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-28 Conrad James Foley , Sagar Vaze , Mohamed El Amine Seddiq , Alexey Unagaev , Natalia Efremova

Operational weather prediction at kilometer scales remains computationally prohibitive for traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, limiting forecast access for applications in energy, agriculture, and disaster management that…

AI-based weather forecasting now rivals traditional physics-based ensembles, but state-of-the-art (SOTA) models rely on specialized architectures and massive computational budgets, creating a high barrier to entry. We demonstrate that such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Salva Rühling Cachay , Duncan Watson-Parris , Rose Yu

Urban flow forecasting is a challenging task, given the inherent periodic characteristics of urban flow patterns. To capture the periodicity, existing urban flow prediction approaches are often designed with closeness, period, and trend…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Hao Xue , Flora D Salim

Financial time-series forecasting is critical for maintaining economic stability, guiding informed policymaking, and promoting sustainable investment practices. However, it remains challenging due to various underlying pattern shifts. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Zhuohang Zhu , Haodong Chen , Qiang Qu , Vera Chung

Knowledge distillation facilitates the training of a compact student network by using a deep teacher one. While this has achieved great success in many tasks, it remains completely unstudied for image-based 6D object pose estimation. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Shuxuan Guo , Yinlin Hu , Jose M. Alvarez , Mathieu Salzmann

Weather nowcasting consists of predicting meteorological components in the short term at high spatial resolutions. Due to its influence in many human activities, accurate nowcasting has recently gained plenty of attention. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Jesus Garcia Fernandez , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Weather forecasts are fundamentally uncertain, so predicting the range of probable weather scenarios is crucial for important decisions, from warning the public about hazardous weather, to planning renewable energy use. Here, we introduce…