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With rapid adoption of deep learning in critical applications, the question of when and how much to trust these models often arises, which drives the need to quantify the inherent uncertainties. While identifying all sources that account…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-22 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Prasanna Sattigeri , Peer-Timo Bremer

In medical image segmentation, uncertainty estimates are often reported but rarely used to guide decisions. We study the missing step: how uncertainty maps are converted into actionable policies such as accepting, flagging, or deferring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Saket Maganti

The Linear Parameter-Varying (LPV) framework enables the construction of surrogate models of complex nonlinear and high-dimensional systems, facilitating efficient stability and performance analysis together with controller design. Despite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 E. Javier Olucha , Valentin Preda , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

We present a novel machine learning based surrogate modeling method for predicting spatially resolved 3D microstructure evolution of polycrystalline materials under uniaxial tensile loading. Our approach is orders of magnitude faster than…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-05-05 Anup Pandey , Reeju Pokharel

Data-based optimization (DBO) offers a promising approach for efficiently optimizing shape for better aerodynamic performance by leveraging a pretrained surrogate model for offline evaluations during iterations. However, DBO heavily relies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Yunjia Yang , Runze Li , Yufei Zhang , Haixin Chen

Monte Carlo simulation is often used for the reliability assessment of power systems, but it converges slowly when the system is complex. Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) can be applied to speed up computation without compromises on model…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-12 Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon Tindemans

Sample efficiency in the face of computationally expensive simulations is a common concern in surrogate modeling. Current strategies to minimize the number of samples needed are not as effective in simulated environments with wide state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Julen Cestero , Marco Quartulli , Marcello Restelli

This paper considers the design of structures made of engineered materials, accounting for uncertainty in material properties. We present a topology optimization approach that optimizes the structural shape and topology at the macroscale…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Subhayan De , Kurt Maute , Alireza Doostan

The need to rapidly solve PDEs in engineering design workflows has spurred the rise of neural surrogate models. In particular, neural operator models provide a discretization-invariant surrogate by retaining the infinite-dimensional,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Yash Patel , Ambuj Tewari

Scenario-based optimization problems can be solved via Benders decomposition, which separates first-stage (master problem) decisions from second-stage (subproblem) recourse actions and iteratively refines the master problem with Benders…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Tim Donkiewicz

Stochastic collocation (SC) is a well-known non-intrusive method of constructing surrogate models for uncertainty quantification. In dynamical systems, SC is especially suited for full-field uncertainty propagation that characterizes the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-18 Saibal De , Reese E. Jones , Hemanth Kolla

Production optimization in stress-sensitive unconventional reservoirs is governed by a nonlinear trade-off between pressure-driven flow and stress-induced degradation of fracture conductivity and matrix permeability. While higher drawdown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Mahammad Valiyev , Jodel Cornelio , Behnam Jafarpour

Multistage stochastic programming is a powerful tool allowing decision-makers to revise their decisions at each stage based on the realized uncertainty. However, in practice, organizations are not able to be fully flexible, as decisions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Sezen Ece Kayacık , Beste Basciftci , Albert H Schrotenboer , Evrim Ursavas

In this paper, we focus on developing efficient sensitivity analysis methods for a computationally expensive objective function $f(x)$ in the case that the minimization of it has just been performed. Here "computationally expensive" means…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-24 Yilun Wang , Christine A. Shoemaker

Problem decomposition plays a vital role when applying cooperative coevolution (CC) to large scale global optimization problems. However, most learning-based decomposition algorithms either only apply to additively separable problems or…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-01-20 An Chen , Zhigang Ren , Muyi Wang , Yongsheng Liang , Hanqing Liu , Wenhao Du

A multi-fidelity surrogate model for highly nonlinear multiscale problems is proposed. It is based on the introduction of two different surrogate models and an adaptive on-the-fly switching. The two concurrent surrogates are built…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-05-03 Felix Fritzen , Mauricio Fernández , Fredrik Larsson

Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

Many subsurface engineering applications involve tight-coupling between fluid flow, solid deformation, fracturing, and similar processes. To better understand the complex interplay of different governing equations, and therefore design…

We study single-stage decision problems in which a subset of items with minimum total cost has to be selected at once from a given set of items, subject to two costs of each item -fixed and uncertain -and cardinality constraints for each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Antoine Lhomme , Nadia Brauner , Evgeny Gurevsky , Mikhail Kovalyov , Erwin Pesch

We propose a multi-level method to increase the accuracy of machine learning algorithms for approximating observables in scientific computing, particularly those that arise in systems modeled by differential equations. The algorithm relies…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Kjetil O. Lye , Siddhartha Mishra , Roberto Molinaro