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In minimum trace (MinT) forecast reconciliation, the covariance matrix of the base forecasts errors plays a crucial role. Typically, this matrix is estimated and then treated as known. This can lead to underestimation of the variance of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Chiara Carrara , Dario Azzimonti , Giorgio Corani , Lorenzo Zambon

Estimating the potential behavior of the surrounding human-driven vehicles is crucial for the safety of autonomous vehicles in a mixed traffic flow. Recent state-of-the-art achieved accurate prediction using deep neural networks. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Juanwu Lu , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Yeping Hu

Most applications of Bayesian Inference for parameter estimation and model selection in astrophysics involve the use of Monte Carlo techniques such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling. However, these techniques are time…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-26 Geetakrishnasai Gunapati , Anirudh Jain , P. K. Srijith , Shantanu Desai

Sparse models are desirable for many applications across diverse domains as they can perform automatic variable selection, aid interpretability, and provide regularization. When fitting sparse models in a Bayesian framework, however,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Jeffrey P. Spence

We present tree extraction in 3D images as a graph refinement task, of obtaining a subgraph from an over-complete input graph. To this end, we formulate an approximate Bayesian inference framework on undirected graphs using mean field…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-04-11 Raghavendra Selvan , Max Welling , Jesper H. Pedersen , Jens Petersen , Marleen de Bruijne

Variational inference (VI) is a technique to approximate difficult to compute posteriors by optimization. In contrast to MCMC, VI scales to many observations. In the case of complex posteriors, however, state-of-the-art VI approaches often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Oliver Dürr , Stephan Hörling , Daniel Dold , Ivonne Kovylov , Beate Sick

Appearance-based gaze estimation has been actively studied in recent years. However, its generalization performance for unseen head poses is still a significant limitation for existing methods. This work proposes a generalizable multi-view…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Yoichiro Hisadome , Tianyi Wu , Jiawei Qin , Yusuke Sugano

Automatic image rotation estimation is a key preprocessing step in many vision pipelines. This task is challenging because angles have circular topology, creating boundary discontinuities that hinder standard regression methods. We present…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Maximilian Woehrer

The core principle of Variational Inference (VI) is to convert the statistical inference problem of computing complex posterior probability densities into a tractable optimization problem. This property enables VI to be faster than several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Ankush Ganguly , Sanjana Jain , Ukrit Watchareeruetai

Variational Inference (VI) is a method that approximates a difficult-to-compute posterior density using better behaved distributional families. VI is an alternative to the already well-studied Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method of…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-25 Neil Dey , Emmett B. Kendall

Multi-fidelity modelling arises in many situations in computational science and engineering world. It enables accurate inference even when only a small set of accurate data is available. Those data often come from a high-fidelity model,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-12 Jiahao Zhang , Shiqi Zhang , Guang Lin

Reconstructing a 3D scene from unordered images is pivotal in computer vision and robotics, with applications spanning crowd-sourced mapping and beyond. While global Structure-from-Motion (SfM) techniques are scalable and fast, they often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Linfei Pan , Marc Pollefeys , Dániel Baráth

Sharpness-aware minimization (SAM) aims to improve the generalisation of gradient-based learning by seeking out flat minima. In this work, we establish connections between SAM and Mean-Field Variational Inference (MFVI) of neural network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-20 Szilvia Ujváry , Zsigmond Telek , Anna Kerekes , Anna Mészáros , Ferenc Huszár

Variational methods are employed in situations where exact Bayesian inference becomes intractable due to the difficulty in performing certain integrals. Typically, variational methods postulate a tractable posterior and formulate a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-12 Nikolaos Gianniotis , Christoph Schnörr , Christian Molkenthin , Sanjay Singh Bora

We introduce multi-frequency vector diffusion maps (MFVDM), a new framework for organizing and analyzing high dimensional datasets. The new method is a mathematical and algorithmic generalization of vector diffusion maps (VDM) and other…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-07 Yifeng Fan , Zhizhen Zhao

We consider Bayesian inference for large scale inverse problems, where computational challenges arise from the need for repeated evaluations of an expensive forward model. This renders most Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches infeasible,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

Semi-implicit variational inference (SIVI) is introduced to expand the commonly used analytic variational distribution family, by mixing the variational parameter with a flexible distribution. This mixing distribution can assume any density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou

Balancing computational efficiency with robust predictive performance is crucial in supervised learning, especially for critical applications. Standard deep learning models, while accurate and scalable, often lack probabilistic features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Conor Heins , Hao Wu , Dimitrije Markovic , Alexander Tschantz , Jeff Beck , Christopher Buckley

Riemannian metrics on the position-orientation space M(3) that are roto-translation group SE(3) invariant play a key role in image analysis tasks like enhancement, denoising, and segmentation. These metrics enable roto-translation…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-07-04 Gijs Bellaard , Bart M. N. Smets

This paper presents a new approach to detecting road boundaries based on sparse radar signals. We model the roadway using a homogeneous model and derive its conditional predictive model under known radar motion. Using the conditional…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Aaron Kingery , Dezhen Song