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Related papers: A General Framework for Joint Multi-State Models

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Within-individual variability of health indicators measured over time is becoming commonly used to inform about disease progression. Simple summary statistics (e.g. the standard deviation for each individual) are often used but they are not…

We present a non-parametric prognostic framework for individualized event prediction based on joint modeling of both longitudinal and time-to-event data. Our approach exploits a multivariate Gaussian convolution process (MGCP) to model the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Xubo Yue , Raed Kontar

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are increasingly used in health research to characterize the association between biomarker trajectories and the risk of clinical events. However, these models usually assume a linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Denis Rustand , Håvard Rue , Lisa Le Gall , Karen Leffondre

We propose a flexible joint longitudinal-survival framework to examine the association between longitudinally collected biomarkers and a time-to-event endpoint. More specifically, we use our method for analyzing the survival outcome of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-09 Sepehr Akhavan Masouleh , Tracy Holsclaw , Babak Shahbaba , Daniel L. Gillen

The joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is an active area of statistics research that has received a lot of attention in the recent years. More recently, a new and attractive application of this type of models has been to…

Many relevant statistical and econometric models for the analysis of longitudinal data include a latent process to account for the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in a dynamic fashion. Such a process may be continuous (typically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-09 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Bacci , Fulvia Pennoni

In many clinical and epidemiological studies, collecting longitudinal measurements together with time-to-event outcomes is essential. Accurately estimating the association between longitudinal markers and event risks, as well as identifying…

We consider first the mixed discrete-continuous scheme of observation in multistate models; this is a classical pattern in epidemiology because very often clinical status is assessed at discrete visit times while times of death or other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Daniel Commenges , Anne Gégout-Petit

Predicting cancer-associated clinical events is challenging in oncology. In Multiple Myeloma (MM), a cancer of plasma cells, disease progression is determined by changes in biomarkers, such as serum concentration of the paraprotein secreted…

In studies of recurrent events, joint modeling approaches are often needed to allow for potential dependent censoring by a terminal event such as death. Joint frailty models for recurrent events and death with an additional dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Marie Böhnstedt , Jutta Gampe , Monique A. A. Caljouw , Hein Putter

Typical causal effects are defined based on the marginal distribution of potential outcomes. However, many real-world applications require causal estimands involving the joint distribution of potential outcomes to enable more nuanced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Peng Wu , Xiaojie Mao

The problem of dynamic prediction with time-dependent covariates, given by biomarkers, repeatedly measured over time, has received much attention over the last decades. Two contrasting approaches have become in widespread use. The first is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Hein Putter , Hans C. van Houwelingen

In this paper, we demonstrate through the use of matrix calculus a transparent analysis of fractional inhomogeneous Markov models for life insurance where transition matrices commute. The resulting formulae are intuitive matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Martin Bladt

Many applications in medical statistics as well as in other fields can be described by transitions between multiple states (e.g. from health to disease) experienced by individuals over time. In this context, multi-state models are a popular…

Multistate dynamical processes on networks, where nodes can occupy one of a multitude of discrete states, are gaining widespread use because of their ability to recreate realistic, complex behaviour that cannot be adequately captured by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-29 Peter G. Fennell , James P. Gleeson

In this paper, we consider statistical estimation of time-inhomogeneous aggregate Markov models. Unaggregated models, which corresponds to Markov chains, are commonly used in multi-state life insurance to model the biometric states of an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Jamaal Ahmad , Mogens Bladt

Not only does mobile health technology enable researchers to track changes in multiple longitudinal outcomes of interest and to record the occurrence of health-related events over time, but it also allows for the delivery of repeated…

Joint Models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have gained a lot of attention in the last few years as they are a helpful technique to approach common a data structure in clinical studies where longitudinal outcomes are recorded…

In longitudinal studies, time-varying covariates are often endogenous, meaning their values depend on both their own history and that of the outcome variable. This violates key assumptions of Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Models (GLMMs),…

Dynamic prediction of future clinical outcomes based on longitudinally measured predictors plays a crucial role in disease management and patient counseling, particularly when conventional static models are inadequate. Joint modeling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Wenhao Li , Shikun Wang , Zhe Yin , Brad C. Astor , Wei Yang , Tom H. Greene , Liang Li