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In auction and matching markets, estimating the welfare effects of demand-side treatments is challenging because of spillovers through the mechanism. We develop a quasi-experimental approach that avoids parametric assumptions typically…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-03 Evan Munro

This paper proposes a model-free nonparametric estimator of conditional quantile of a time series regression model where the covariate vector is repeated many times for different values of the response. This type of data is abound in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Soudeep Deb , Kaushik Jana

In the first part of this work, we develop a novel scheme for solving nonparametric regression problems. That is the approximation of possibly low regular and noised functions from the knowledge of their approximate values given at some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Asma Ben Saber , Abderrazek Karoui

We study off-policy evaluation in the setting of contextual bandits, where we aim to evaluate a new policy using historical data that consists of contexts, actions and received rewards. This historical data typically does not faithfully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Rong J. B. Zhu

We give improved estimates for the non-perturbative parameters appearing in the heavy quark expansion for inclusive decays. While the parameters appearing in low orders of this expansion can be extracted from data, the number of parameters…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2014-12-16 Johannes Heinonen , Thomas Mannel

Metacognition, understood as the monitoring and regulation of one's own cognitive processes, is inherently sequential: an agent evaluates an internal state, updates it, and may then re-evaluate under modified criteria. Order effects in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Enso O. Torres Alegre , Diana E. Mora Jimenez

Predicting scalar outcomes using functional predictors is a classic problem in functional data analysis. In many applications, however, only specific locations or time-points of the functional predictors have an impact on the outcome. Such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Dominik Poß , Dominik Liebl , Alois Kneip , Hedwig Eisenbarth , Tor D. Wager , Lisa Feldman Barrett

We propose a kernel-based nonparametric estimator for the causal effect when the cause is corrupted by error. We do so by generalizing estimation in the instrumental variable setting. Despite significant work on regression with measurement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Yuchen Zhu , Limor Gultchin , Arthur Gretton , Matt Kusner , Ricardo Silva

We consider a class of learning problems in which an agent liquidates a risky asset while creating both transient price impact driven by an unknown convolution propagator and linear temporary price impact with an unknown parameter. We…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-23 Eyal Neuman , Yufei Zhang

Nonparametric regression is a standard statistical tool with increased importance in the Big Data era. Boundary points pose additional difficulties but local polynomial regression can be used to alleviate them. Local linear regression, for…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-04 Srinjoy Das , Dimitris N. Politis

The existence and consistency of a maximum likelihood estimator for the joint probability distribution of random parameters in discrete-time abstract parabolic systems are established by taking a nonparametric approach in the context of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Lernik Asserian , Susan E. Luczak , I. G. Rosen

Motivated by normalizing DNA microarray data and by predicting the interest rates, we explore nonparametric estimation of additive models with highly correlated covariates. We introduce two novel approaches for estimating the additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Jiancheng Jiang , Yingying Fan , Jianqing Fan

We develop a new nonparametric approach for estimating the risk-neutral density of asset prices and reformulate its estimation into a double-constrained optimization problem. We evaluate our approach using the S\&P 500 market option prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-20 Liyuan Jiang , Shuang Zhou , Keren Li , Fangfang Wang , Jie Yang

Recently, Su and Cook proposed a dimension reduction technique called the inner envelope which can be substantially more efficient than the original envelope or existing dimension reduction techniques for multivariate regression. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Linquan Ma , Hyunseung Kang , Lan Liu

In this paper, a shrinkage estimator for the population mean is proposed under known quadratic loss functions with unknown covariance matrices. The new estimator is non-parametric in the sense that it does not assume a specific parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-07 Cheng Wang , Tiejun Tong , Longbing Cao , Baiqi Miao

In this paper, we develop a new and effective approach to nonparametric quantile regression that accommodates ultrahigh-dimensional data arising from spatio-temporal processes. This approach proves advantageous in staving off computational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Soudeep Deb , Claudia Neves , Subhrajyoty Roy

Over the last decade, nonparametric methods have gained increasing attention for modeling complex data structures due to their flexibility and minimal structural assumptions. In this paper, we study a general multivariate nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Kunal Rai , Archi Roy , Itai Dattner , Soudeep Deb

This paper is concerned with constructing a confidence interval for a target policy's value offline based on a pre-collected observational data in infinite horizon settings. Most of the existing works assume no unmeasured variables exist…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-07 Chengchun Shi , Jin Zhu , Ye Shen , Shikai Luo , Hongtu Zhu , Rui Song

We model the impact costs of a strategy that trades a basket of correlated instruments, by extending to the multivariate case the linear propagator model previously used for single instruments. Our specification allows us to calibrate a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-23 Iacopo Mastromatteo , Michael Benzaquen , Zoltan Eisler , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Data integration methods aim to extract low-dimensional embeddings from high-dimensional outcomes to remove unwanted variations, such as batch effects and unmeasured covariates, across heterogeneous datasets. However, multiple hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Jin-Hong Du , Kathryn Roeder , Larry Wasserman