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Bankruptcy is a legal procedure that claims a person or organization as a debtor. It is essential to ascertain the risk of bankruptcy at initial stages to prevent financial losses. In this perspective, different soft computing techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-13 Kalyan Nagaraj , Amulyashree Sridhar

Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

Bankruptcy prediction is an important research area that heavily relies on data science. It aims to help investors, managers, and regulators better understand the operational status of corporations and predict potential financial risks in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Xinlin Wang , Zsófia Kräussl , Mats Brorsson

Academics and practitioners have studied over the years models for predicting firms bankruptcy, using statistical and machine-learning approaches. An earlier sign that a company has financial difficulties and may eventually bankrupt is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-27 Tesi Aliaj , Aris Anagnostopoulos , Stefano Piersanti

There has been intensive research regarding machine learning models for predicting bankruptcy in recent years. However, the lack of interpretability limits their growth and practical implementation. This study proposes a data-driven…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Wei Li , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Stefan Lessmann

Using standard financial ratios as variables in statistical analyses has been related to several serious problems, such as extreme outliers, asymmetry, non-normality, and non-linearity. The compositional-data methodology has been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-20 Fatemeh Keivani , Germà Coenders , Geòrgia Escaramís

Using a comprehensive sample of 2,585 bankruptcies from 1990 to 2019, we benchmark the performance of various machine learning models in predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms. We find that gradient boosted trees…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-26 Emmanuel Alanis , Sudheer Chava , Agam Shah

Credit risk assessment of a company is commonly conducted by utilizing financial ratios that are derived from its financial statements. However, this approach may not fully encompass other significant aspects of a company. We propose the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Xinlin Wang , Mats Brorsson

The primary aim of this research was to find a model that best predicts which fallen angel bonds would either potentially rise up back to investment grade bonds and which ones would fall into bankruptcy. To implement the solution, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-12 Harrison Mateika , Juannan Jia , Linda Lillard , Noah Cronbaugh , Will Shin

Credit estimation and bankruptcy prediction methods have been utilizing Altman's $z$ score method for the last several years. It is reported in many studies that $z$ score is sensitive to changes in accounting figures. Researches have…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-04 M. Naresh Kumar , V. Sree Hari Rao

Banks are important for the development of economies in any financial ecosystem through consumer and business loans. Lending, however, presents risks; thus, banks have to determine the applicant's financial position to reduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 F M Ahosanul Haque , Md. Mahedi Hassan

Today in every organization financial analysis provides the basis for understanding and evaluating the results of business operations and delivering how well a business is doing. This means that the organizations can control the operational…

Databases · Computer Science 2011-09-07 A. Martin , M. Manjula , Dr. V. Prasanna Venkatesan

Bankruptcy prediction is very important for all the organization since it affects the economy and rise many social problems with high costs. There are large number of techniques have been developed to predict the bankruptcy, which helps the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2011-03-11 A. Martin , V. Gayathri , G. Saranya , P. Gayathri , Prasanna Venkatesan

In recent years, bankruptcy forecasting has gained lot of attention from researchers as well as practitioners in the field of financial risk management. For bankruptcy prediction, various approaches proposed in the past and currently in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-05 Amir Mukeri , Habibullah Shaikh , D. P. Gaikwad

It is widely speculated that auditors' public forecasts of bankruptcy are, at least in part, self-fulfilling prophecies in the sense that they might actually cause bankruptcies that would not have otherwise occurred. This conjecture is hard…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-24 Demetrios Papakostas , P. Richard Hahn , Jared Murray , Frank Zhou , Joseph Gerakos

In bankruptcy prediction, the proportion of events is very low, which is often oversampled to eliminate this bias. In this paper, we study the influence of the event rate on discrimination abilities of bankruptcy prediction models. First…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-14 Lili Zhang , Jennifer Priestley , Xuelei Ni

In the area of credit risk analytics, current Bankruptcy Prediction Models (BPMs) struggle with (a) the availability of comprehensive and real-world data sets and (b) the presence of extreme class imbalance in the data (i.e., very few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Sheikh Rabiul Islam , William Eberle , Sheikh K. Ghafoor , Sid C. Bundy , Douglas A. Talbert , Ambareen Siraj

Foundation models have shown promise across various financial applications, yet their effectiveness for corporate bankruptcy prediction remains systematically unevaluated against established methods. We study bankruptcy forecasting using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Marcin Kostrzewa , Oleksii Furman , Roman Furman , Sebastian Tomczak , Maciej Zięba

Corporate bankruptcy impacts the functioning of the economy as it impacts its various stakeholders: Shareholders, financial and operational lenders, and the government. This paper aims to study the impact of a wide array of profitability,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-12 Adit Chopra , Abhi Bansal , Aryaman Wadhwa

The use of credit cards has recently increased, creating an essential need for credit card assessment methods to minimize potential risks. This study investigates the utilization of machine learning (ML) models for credit card default…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Anas Arram , Masri Ayob , Musatafa Abbas Abbood Albadr , Alaa Sulaiman , Dheeb Albashish
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