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There are many web-based visualization systems available to date, each having its strengths and limitations. The goals these systems set out to accomplish influence design decisions and determine how reusable and scalable they are. Weave is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-09-01 Andrew Dufilie , Georges Grinstein

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in multiple linear regression models. In particular, we present a hierarchical setting which allows for direct specification of a-priori beliefs about the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-14 Konstantin Posch , Maximilian Arbeiter , Jürgen Pilz

Many Bayesian model selection problems, such as variable selection or cluster analysis, start by setting prior model probabilities on a structured model space. Based on a chosen loss function between models, model selection is often…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Changwoo J. Lee

Leveraging concepts from state machine refinement proofs, we use prophecy variables, which predict information about the future program execution, to enable forward reasoning for backward dataflow analyses. Drawing prophecy and history…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-07-24 Martin Rinard , Austin Gadient

Existing Bayesian treatments of neural networks are typically characterized by weak prior and approximate posterior distributions according to which all the weights are drawn independently. Here, we consider a richer prior distribution in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-02 Theofanis Karaletsos , Peter Dayan , Zoubin Ghahramani

Bayesian inference provides a powerful tool for leveraging observational data to inform model predictions and uncertainties. However, when such data is limited, Bayesian inference may not adequately constrain uncertainty without the use of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Rebekah D. White , John D. Jakeman , Tim Wildey , Troy Butler

We study the stability of posterior predictive inferences to the specification of the likelihood model and perturbations of the data generating process. In modern big data analyses, useful broad structural judgements may be elicited from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Jack Jewson , Jim Q. Smith , Chris Holmes

Sample selection models are a widely used approach for correcting bias caused by data that are missing not at random. Their formulation requires specifying the variables that influence the outcome and those that drive the selection process.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-25 Adam J. Iqbal , Emmanuel O. Ogundimu , F. Javier Rubio

Video reasoning constitutes a comprehensive assessment of a model's capabilities, as it demands robust perceptual and interpretive skills, thereby serving as a means to explore the boundaries of model performance. While recent research has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Yudi Shi , Shangzhe Di , Qirui Chen , Qinian Wang , Jiayin Cai , Xiaolong Jiang , Yao Hu , Weidi Xie

Predictive Process Analytics is becoming an essential aid for organizations, providing online operational support of their processes. However, process stakeholders need to be provided with an explanation of the reasons why a given process…

Prediction for very large data sets is typically carried out in two stages, variable selection and pattern recognition. Ordinarily variable selection involves seeing how well individual explanatory variables are correlated with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-12 Herman Chernoff , Shaw-Hwa Lo , Tian Zheng , Adeline Lo

We develop a Bayesian approach called Bayesian projected calibration to address the problem of calibrating an imperfect computer model using observational data from a complex physical system. The calibration parameter and the physical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-08 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

Updating $\textit{a priori}$ information given some observed data is the core tenet of Bayesian inference. Bayesian transfer learning extends this idea by incorporating information from a related dataset to improve the inference on the…

Label bias occurs when the outcome of interest is not directly observable and instead, modeling is performed with proxy labels. When the difference between the true outcome and the proxy label is correlated with predictors, this can yield…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jonas Mikhaeil , Andrew Gelman , Philip Greengard

Bayesian analyses are often performed using so-called noninformative priors, with a view to achieving objective inference about unknown parameters on which available data depends. Noninformative priors depend on the relationship of the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-14 Nicholas Lewis

Empirical Bayes is a versatile approach to `learn from a lot' in two ways: first, from a large number of variables and second, from a potentially large amount of prior information, e.g. stored in public repositories. We review applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-19 Mark A. van de Wiel , Dennis E. te Beest , Magnus Münch

The advent of Scientific Machine Learning has heralded a transformative era in scientific discovery, driving progress across diverse domains. Central to this progress is uncovering scientific laws from experimental data through symbolic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Somjit Roy , Pritam Dey , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

The application of Bayesian inference for the purpose of model selection is very popular nowadays. In this framework, models are compared through their marginal likelihoods, or their quotients, called Bayes factors. However, marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 F. Llorente , L. Martino , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , D. Delgado

We argue that the Bayesian paradigm, of a prior which represents the beliefs of the statistician before observing the data, is not feasible in ultra-high-dimensional models. We claim that natural priors that represent the a priori beliefs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Ya'acov Ritov

This paper proposes a method for the automatic creation of variables (in the case of regression) that complement the information contained in the initial input vector. The method works as a pre-processing step in which the continuous values…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Colin Troisemaine , Vincent Lemaire