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In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator of a stationary GARCH process with heavy-tailed innovations. This means that the innovations are regularly varying with index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas Mikosch , Daniel Straumann

We find a sufficient condition under which a central limit theorem for a stationary linear process is quenched. We find a stationary linear process szatisfying the Maxwell-Woodroofe condition for which the variances of partial sums are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-22 Dalibor Volny , Michael Woodroofe

Suppose $B_i:= B(p,r_i)$ are nested balls of radius $r_i$ about a point $p$ in a dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$. The question of whether $T^i x\in B_i$ infinitely often (i. o.) for $\mu$ a.e.\ $x$ is often called the shrinking target problem.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-16 Nicolai Haydn , Matthew Nicol , Sandro Vaienti , Licheng Zhang

We present a central limit theorem for stationary random fields that are short-range dependent and asymptotically independent. As an application, we present a central limit theorem for an infinite family of interacting It\^o-type diffusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Le Chen , Davar Khoshnevisan , David Nualart , Fei Pu

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal models (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Motivated by problems from statistical analysis for discretely sampled SPDEs, first we derive central limit theorems for higher order finite differences applied to stochastic process with arbitrary finitely regular paths. These results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Igor Cialenco , Hyun-Jung Kim , Gregor Pasemann

We show that a substantial portion of stochastic calculus can be developed along similar lines to ordinary calculus, with derivative-based concepts driving the development. We define a notion of stopping derivative, which is a form of right…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Alex Simpson

A recent result by Barrera and Peligrad shows that the quenched Central Limit Theorem holds for the discrete Fourier transforms (DFT) of a stationary process in $L^2$ if a "random" centering is used. In this note we show that this is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-12 David Barrera

The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Peter Nandori , Domokos Szasz , Tamas Varju

Causal inference from observational data following the restricted structural causal model (SCM) framework hinges largely on the asymmetry between cause and effect from the data generating mechanisms, such as non-Gaussianity or nonlinearity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-06 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Fr\'echet means of samples from a probability measure $\mu$ on any smoothly stratified metric space M with curvature bounded above are shown to satisfy a central limit theorem (CLT). The methods and results proceed by introducing and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-17 Jonathan C. Mattingly , Ezra Miller , Do Tran

We prove, for any $\beta >0$, a central limit theorem for the fluctuations of linear statistics in the Sine-$\beta$ process, which is the infinite volume limit of the random microscopic behavior in the bulk of one-dimensional log-gases at…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-11 Thomas Leblé

We revisited the central limit theorem (CLT) for stochastic gradient descent (SGD) type methods, including the vanilla SGD, momentum SGD and Nesterov accelerated SGD methods with constant or vanishing damping parameters. By taking advantage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-12 Tiejun Li , Tiannan Xiao , Guoguo Yang

Under the high-dimensional setting that data dimension and sample size tend to infinity proportionally, we derive the central limit theorem (CLT) for linear spectral statistics (LSS) of large-dimensional sample covariance matrix. Different…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-21 Liu Zhijun , Bai Zhidong , Hu Jiang , Song Haiyan

We establish central limit theorems (CLTs) for the linear spectral statistics of the adjacency matrix of inhomogeneous random graphs across all sparsity regimes, providing explicit covariance formulas under the assumption that the variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Xiangyi Zhu , Yizhe Zhu

The typical central limit theorems in high-frequency asymptotics for semimartingales are results on stable convergence to a mixed normal limit with an unknown conditional variance. Estimating this conditional variance usually is a hard…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Mathias Vetter

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has emerged as the quintessential method in a data scientist's toolbox. Using SGD for high-stakes applications requires, however, careful quantification of the associated uncertainty. Towards that end, in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Bhavya Agrawalla , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Promit Ghosal

In this work, we show that uniform integrability is not a necessary condition for central limit theorems (CLT) to hold for normalized multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimators and we provide near optimal weaker conditions under which the CLT…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Håkon Hoel , Sebastian Krumscheid

This paper investigates the central limit theorem for linear spectral statistics of high dimensional sample covariance matrices of the form $\mathbf{B}_n=n^{-1}\sum_{j=1}^{n}\mathbf{Q}\mathbf{x}_j\mathbf{x}_j^{*}\mathbf{Q}^{*}$ where…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Shurong Zheng , Zhidong Bai , Jianfeng Yao , Hongtu Zhu

This paper is concerned with the Stein's method associated with a (possibly) asymmetric $\alpha$-stable distribution $Z$, in dimension one. More precisely, its goal is twofold. In the first part, we exhibit a genuine bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-12 Peng Chen , Ivan Nourdin , Lihu Xu
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