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District Heating Systems are essential infrastructure for delivering heat to consumers across a geographic region sustainably, yet efficient management relies on optimizing diverse energy sources, such as wood, gas, electricity, and solar,…

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Most environmental data come from a minority of well-monitored sites. An ongoing challenge in the environmental sciences is transferring knowledge from monitored sites to unmonitored sites. Here, we demonstrate a novel transfer learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-11 Jared D. Willard , Jordan S. Read , Alison P. Appling , Samantha K. Oliver , Xiaowei Jia , Vipin Kumar

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

Advances in data assimilation (DA) methods have greatly improved the accuracy of Earth system predictions. To fuse multi-source data and reconstruct the nonlinear evolution missing from observations, geoscientists are developing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-19 Qingyu Zheng , Guijun Han , Wei Li , Lige Cao , Gongfu Zhou , Haowen Wu , Qi Shao , Ru Wang , Xiaobo Wu , Xudong Cui , Hong Li , Xuan Wang

Accurate long-horizon prediction of spatiotemporal fields on complex geometries is a fundamental challenge in scientific machine learning, with applications such as additive manufacturing where temperature histories govern defect formation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Lionel Salesses , Larbi Arbaoui , Tariq Benamara , Arnaud Francois , Caroline Sainvitu

Typical deep learning approaches to modeling high-dimensional data often result in complex models that do not easily reveal a new understanding of the data. Research in the deep learning field is very actively pursuing new methods to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Charles Anderson , Jason Stock , David Anderson

A purposely built deep learning algorithm for the Verification of Earth-System ParametERisation (VESPER) is used to assess recent upgrades of the global physiographic datasets underpinning the quality of the Integrated Forecasting System…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Tom Kimpson , Margarita Choulga , Matthew Chantry , Gianpaolo Balsamo , Souhail Boussetta , Peter Dueben , Tim Palmer

Combining strengths from deep learning and extreme value theory can help describe complex relationships between variables where extreme events have significant impacts (e.g., environmental or financial applications). Neural networks learn…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-06 Mitchell L. Krock , Julie Bessac , Michael L. Stein

The stable operation of autonomous off-grid photovoltaic systems requires solar forecasting algorithms that respect atmospheric thermodynamics. Contemporary deep learning models consistently exhibit critical anomalies, primarily severe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Mohammed Ezzaldin Babiker Abdullah

Current models for spatial extremes are concerned with the joint upper (or lower) tail of the distribution at two or more locations. Such models cannot account for teleconnection patterns of two-meter surface air temperature ($T_{2m}$) in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-12 Mitchell L. Krock , Adam H. Monahan , Michael L. Stein

Accurate prediction of global sea surface temperature at sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescale is critical for drought and flood forecasting, as well as for improving disaster preparedness in human society. Government departments or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-10 Longhao Wang , Xuanze Zhang , L. Ruby Leung , Francis H. S. Chiew , Amir AghaKouchak , Kairan Ying , Yongqiang Zhang

Rapid changes and increasing climatic variability across the widely varied Koppen-Geiger regions of northern Europe generate significant needs for adaptation. Regional planning needs high-resolution projected temperatures. This work…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-11-07 Parthiban Loganathan , Elias Zea , Ricardo Vinuesa , Evelyn Otero

Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which are among the most important for climate impacts. Physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Francesco Ragone , Pierre Borgnat , Patrice Abry , Freddy Bouchet

Monitoring remote forests is a global challenge central to climate mitigation and biodiversity conservation, yet satellite observations are frequently limited by weather, dense canopies, and solar dependency. Here we show that passive…

The Alaskan landscape has undergone substantial changes in recent decades, most notably the expansion of shrubs and trees across the Arctic. We developed a dynamic statistical model to quantify the impact of climate change on the structural…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-17 Xinyi Lu , Mevin B. Hooten , Ann M. Raiho , David K. Swanson , Carl A. Roland , Sarah E. Stehn

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly important, affecting agriculture, energy management, environmental protection, and daily life. This study introduces a hybrid model combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yuhao Gong , Yuchen Zhang , Fei Wang , Chi-Han Lee

With climate change-related extreme events on the rise, high dimensional Earth observation data presents a unique opportunity for forecasting and understanding impacts on ecosystems. This is, however, impeded by the complexity of…

We propose a novel inverse-modelling approach which estimates the parameters of a simple land-surface model (LSM) by assimilating data into a differentiable physics-based forward model. The governing equations are expressed within a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-17 Ruiyue Huang , Claire E. Heaney , Maarten van Reeuwijk

Thermal dynamics modeling has been a critical issue in building heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems, which can significantly affect the control and maintenance strategies. Due to the uniqueness of each specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-11 Zhanhong Jiang , Young M. Lee