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We propose a novel change-point detection method based on online Dynamic Mode Decomposition with control (ODMDwC). Leveraging ODMDwC's ability to find and track linear approximation of a non-linear system while incorporating control…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Marek Wadinger , Michal Kvasnica , Yoshinobu Kawahara

The problem of anomaly detection has been studied for a long time. In short, anomalies are abnormal or unlikely things. In financial networks, thieves and illegal activities are often anomalous in nature. Members of a network want to detect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-28 Thai Pham , Steven Lee

Change Point Detection (CPD) methods identify the times associated with changes in the trends and properties of time series data in order to describe the underlying behaviour of the system. For instance, detecting the changes and anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Shohreh Deldari , Daniel V. Smith , Hao Xue , Flora D. Salim

In this paper, we introduce two robust, nonparametric methods for multiple change-point detection in the variability of a multivariate sequence of observations. We demonstrate that changes in ranks generated from data depth functions can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Kelly Ramsay , Shoja'eddin Chenouri

In many real-world problems of real-time monitoring high-dimensional streaming data, one wants to detect an undesired event or change quickly once it occurs, but under the sampling control constraint in the sense that one might be able to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Wanrong Zhang , Yajun Mei

A change point problem occurs in many statistical applications. If there exist change points in a model, it is harmful to make a statistical analysis without any consideration of the existence of the change points and the results derived…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-24 Xiaoping Shi , Yuehua Wu , Baisuo Jin

We consider the problem of sequential graph topology change-point detection from graph signals. We assume that signals on the nodes of the graph are regularized by the underlying graph structure via a graph filtering model, which we then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Chiraag Kaushik , T. Mitchell Roddenberry , Santiago Segarra

We consider sequential change-point detection in parallel data streams, where each stream has its own change point. Once a change is detected in a data stream, this stream is deactivated permanently. The goal is to maximize the normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

Change-point detection (CPD) aims to detect abrupt changes over time series data. Intuitively, effective CPD over multivariate time series should require explicit modeling of the dependencies across input variables. However, existing CPD…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Ruohong Zhang , Yu Hao , Donghan Yu , Wei-Cheng Chang , Guokun Lai , Yiming Yang

We propose an online detection procedure for cascading failures in the network from sequential data, which can be modeled as multiple correlated change-points happening during a short period. We consider a temporal diffusion network model…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-02-09 Rui Zhang , Yao Xie , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

We study the problem of online network change point detection. In this setting, a collection of independent Bernoulli networks is collected sequentially, and the underlying distributions change when a change point occurs. The goal is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-15 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Inspired by Bitcoin, many different kinds of cryptocurrencies based on blockchain technology have turned up on the market. Due to the special structure of the blockchain, it has been deemed impossible to directly trade between traditional…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-05-08 Hangyu Tian , Kaiping Xue , Shaohua Li , Jie Xu , Jianqing Liu , Jun Zhao

As algorithmic trading and electronic markets continue to transform the landscape of financial markets, detecting and deterring rogue agents to maintain a fair and efficient marketplace is crucial. The explosion of large datasets and the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-21 Kaushalya Kularatnam , Tania Stathaki

Cryptocoins (i.e., Bitcoin, Ether, Litecoin) are tradable digital assets. Ownerships of cryptocoins are registered on distributed ledgers (i.e., blockchains). Secure encryption techniques guarantee the security of the transactions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Pasquale De Rosa , Pascal Felber , Valerio Schiavoni

This paper explores the utilization of Temporal Graph Networks (TGN) for financial anomaly detection, a pressing need in the era of fintech and digitized financial transactions. We present a comprehensive framework that leverages TGN,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-02 Yejin Kim , Youngbin Lee , Minyoung Choe , Sungju Oh , Yongjae Lee

We analyze the time series of four major cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin, and Ripple) before the digital market crash at the end of 2017 - beginning 2018. We introduce a methodology that combines topological data analysis with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-05 Marian Gidea , Daniel Goldsmith , Yuri Katz , Pablo Roldan , Yonah Shmalo

Subsequence clustering of time series is an essential task in data mining, and interpreting the resulting clusters is also crucial since we generally do not have prior knowledge of the data. Thus, given a large collection of tensor time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-23 Kohei Obata , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Change point detection (CPD) aims to locate abrupt property changes in time series data. Recent CPD methods demonstrated the potential of using deep learning techniques, but often lack the ability to identify more subtle changes in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Tim De Ryck , Maarten De Vos , Alexander Bertrand

A smart Ponzi scheme is a new form of economic crime that uses Ethereum smart contract account and cryptocurrency to implement Ponzi scheme. The smart Ponzi scheme has harmed the interests of many investors, but researches on smart Ponzi…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Yuzhi Liang , Weijing Wu , Kai Lei , Feiyang Wang

Complex networks have now become integral parts of modern information infrastructures. This paper proposes a user-centric method for detecting anomalies in heterogeneous information networks, in which nodes and/or edges might be from…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-10-22 Vahid Ranjbar , Mostafa Salehi , Pegah Jandaghi , Mahdi Jalili