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As offered by the World Health Organisation (WHO), close to half of the population in the world's resides in dengue-risk zones. Dengue viruses are transmitted to individuals by Aedes mosquito species infected bite (Ae. Albopictus of Ae.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-12 Burcu Gürbüz , Aytül Gökçe , Segun I. Oke , Michael O. Adeniyi , Mayowa M. Ojo

Timely and robust influenza incidence forecasting is critical for public health decision-making. This paper presents MAESTRO (Multi-modal Adaptive Estimation for Temporal Respiratory Disease Outbreak), a novel, unified framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Hong Liu , Kerui Cen , Yanxing Chen , Zige Liu , Dong Chen , Zifeng Yang , Chitin Hon

The stationary sampling distribution of a neutral decoupled Moran or Wright-Fisher diffusion with neutral mutations is known to first order for a general rate matrix with small but otherwise unconstrained mutation rates. Using this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-07 Claus Vogl , Lynette C. Mikula , Conrad J. Burden

In contrast to the many theoretical studies on the transmission of human-mosquitoes malaria infection, few studies have considered a multiple structure model formulations including (i) the chronological age of humans and mosquitoes…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Quentin Richard , Marc Choisy , Thierry Lefèvre , Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse

Wolbachia infection in Anopheles albimanus mosquitoes can render mosquitoes less capable of spreading malaria. We develop and analyze an ordinary differential equation model to evaluate the effectiveness of Wolbachia-based vector control…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-10 Daniela Florez , Alyssa Young , Kerlly J. Bernabe , James M. Hyman , Zhuolin Qu

Background Elimination of malaria can only be achieved through removal of all vectors or complete depletion of the infectious reservoir in humans. Mechanistic models can be built to synthesize diverse observations from the field collected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-13 Jaline Gerardin , Andre Lin Ouedraogo , Kevin A. McCarthy , Bocar Kouyate , Philip A. Eckhoff , Edward A. Wenger

One of the central questions in control theory is achieving stability through feedback control. This paper introduces a novel approach that combines Reinforcement Learning (RL) with mathematical analysis to address this challenge, with a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Kala Agbo Bidi , Jean-Michel Coron , Amaury Hayat , Nathan Lichtlé

In this paper, we present a novel approach to the development and deployment of an autonomous mosquito breeding place detector rover with the object and obstacle detection capabilities to control mosquitoes. Mosquito-borne diseases continue…

A nonlinear cross-diffusion epidemic with a time-dependent Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Died system is proposed in this paper. This system is derived from kinetic theory model by multiscale approach, which leads to an equivalent system…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-01 Mohamed Zagour

This work examines the discrete-time networked SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) epidemic model, where the infection and recovery parameters may be time-varying. We provide a sufficient condition for the SIR model to converge to the set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-01 Ciyuan Zhang , Humphrey Leung , Brooks Butler , Philip. E. Paré

Dengue fever is increasing in geographical range, spread by invasion of its vector mosquitoes. The trade in second-hand tires has been implicated as a factor in this process as they act as mobile reservoirs of mosquito eggs and larvae.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-23 Emilene Pliego Pliego , Jorge Velázquez-Castro , Markus P. Eichhorn , Andrés Fraguela Collar

Obtaining reliable and precise estimates of wildlife species abundance and distribution is essential for the conservation and management of animal populations and natural reserves. Spatial capture-recapture (SCR) models provide estimates of…

This paper focuses on the feedback global stabilization and observer construction for a sterile insect technique model. The Sterile Insect Technique (SIT) is one of the most ecological methods for controlling insect pests responsible for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Kala Agbo Bidi

We present a method to learn mean residence time and escape probability from data modeled by stochastic differential equations. This method is a combination of machine learning from data (to extract stochastic differential equations as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Dengfeng Wu , Miaomiao Fu , Jinqiao Duan

Mosquitoes are a major vector for malaria, causing hundreds of thousands of deaths in the developing world each year. Not only is the prevention of mosquito bites of paramount importance to the reduction of malaria transmission cases, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-07 Yunpeng Li , Davide Zilli , Henry Chan , Ivan Kiskin , Marianne Sinka , Stephen Roberts , Kathy Willis

Recently proposed generative models for discrete data, such as Masked Diffusion Models (MDMs), exploit conditional independence approximations to reduce the computational cost of popular Auto-Regressive Models (ARMs), at the price of some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-18 Hugo Lavenant , Giacomo Zanella

Accurate estimation of the distance between the transmitter (TX) and the receiver (RX) in molecular communication (MC) systems can provide faster and more reliable communication. Existing theoretical models in the literature are not…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-20 Fatih Gulec , Baris Atakan

We have designed a computational model of a virus spread near the outbreak threshold. Using computer simulation we studied the Susceptible - Infected - Recovered (SIR) process where in consequence of a force of habit that is manifested by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-23 Jozef Černák

We investigate a stochastic process consisting of a two-dimensional particle with anisotropic diffusion, mortality rate and a drift velocity, in the presence of an absorbing boundary. After the particle has encountered the boundary, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-14 Javier Quetzalcóatl Toledo-Marín , Isaac Pérez Castillo

Mosquitoes are vectors of many human diseases. In particular, Aedes \ae gypti (Linnaeus) is the main vector for Chikungunya, Dengue, and Zika viruses in Latin America and it represents a global threat. Public health policies that aim at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-08 J. M. Scavuzzo , F. Trucco , M. Espinosa , C. B. Tauro , M. Abril , C. M. Scavuzzo , A. C. Frery