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The goal of sequential event prediction is to estimate the next event based on a sequence of historical events, with applications to sequential recommendation, user behavior analysis and clinical treatment. In practice, the next-event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Chenxiao Yang , Qitian Wu , Qingsong Wen , Zhiqiang Zhou , Liang Sun , Junchi Yan

High capacity end-to-end approaches for human motion (behavior) prediction have the ability to represent subtle nuances in human behavior, but struggle with robustness to out of distribution inputs and tail events. Planning-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Liting Sun , Xiaogang Jia , Anca D. Dragan

Long-term human trajectory prediction is a challenging yet critical task in robotics and autonomous systems. Prior work that studied how to predict accurate short-term human trajectories with only unimodal features often failed in long-term…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Zhitian Zhang , Anjian Li , Angelica Lim , Mo Chen

This work presents a methodology for modeling and predicting human behavior in settings with N humans interacting in highly multimodal scenarios (i.e. where there are many possible highly-distinct futures). A motivating example includes…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Boris Ivanovic , Edward Schmerling , Karen Leung , Marco Pavone

This paper presents an approach to modeling progressive event-history data when the overall objective is prediction based on time-dependent covariates. This approach does not model the hazard function directly. Instead, it models the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-09-07 Song Cai , James V. Zidek , Nathaniel Newlands

Numerous powerful point process models have been developed to understand temporal patterns in sequential data from fields such as health-care, electronic commerce, social networks, and natural disaster forecasting. In this paper, we develop…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Yatao Zhong , Bicheng Xu , Guang-Tong Zhou , Luke Bornn , Greg Mori

The modeling of human motion using machine learning methods has been widely studied. In essence it is a time-series modeling problem involving predicting how a person will move in the future given how they moved in the past. Existing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-29 Yan Zhang , Michael J. Black , Siyu Tang

With growing numbers of intelligent autonomous systems in human environments, the ability of such systems to perceive, understand and anticipate human behavior becomes increasingly important. Specifically, predicting future positions of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Andrey Rudenko , Luigi Palmieri , Michael Herman , Kris M. Kitani , Dariu M. Gavrila , Kai O. Arras

Queuing models provide insight into the temporal inhomogeneity of human dynamics, characterized by the broad distribution of waiting times of individuals performing tasks. We study the queuing model of an agent trying to execute a task of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-05 Hang-Hyun Jo , Raj Kumar Pan , Kimmo Kaski

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

We study the problem of predicting the future, though only in the probabilistic sense of estimating a future state of a time-varying probability distribution. This is not only an interesting academic problem, but solving this extrapolation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-21 Christoph H. Lampert

Process analytics is an umbrella of data-driven techniques which includes making predictions for individual process instances or overall process models. At the instance level, various novel techniques have been recently devised, tackling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Johannes De Smedt , Anton Yeshchenko , Artem Polyvyanyy , Jochen De Weerdt , Jan Mendling

This paper describes prediction methods for the number of future events from a population of units associated with an on-going time-to-event process. Examples include the prediction of warranty returns and the prediction of the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-10 Qinglong Tian , Fanqi Meng , Daniel J. Nordman , William Q. Meeker

Successful Human-Robot collaboration requires a predictive model of human behavior. The robot needs to be able to recognize current goals and actions and to predict future activities in a given context. However, the spatio-temporal sequence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Judith Bütepage , Danica Kragic

This article analyzes the problem of estimating the time until an event occurs, also known as survival modeling. We observe through substantial experiments on large real-world datasets and use-cases that populations are largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 David Hubbard , Benoit Rostykus , Yves Raimond , Tony Jebara

Human trajectory forecasting is a critical challenge in fields such as robotics and autonomous driving. Due to the inherent uncertainty of human actions and intentions in real-world scenarios, various unexpected occurrences may arise. To…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Yuxin Yang , Pengfei Zhu , Mengshi Qi , Huadong Ma

This technical report describes a dynamic causal model of the spread of coronavirus through a population. The model is based upon ensemble or population dynamics that generate outcomes, like new cases and deaths over time. The purpose of…

The ability to design and optimize biological sequences with specific functionalities would unlock enormous value in technology and healthcare. In recent years, machine learning-guided sequence design has progressed this goal significantly,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-21 Lauren Berk Wheelock , Stephen Malina , Jeffrey Gerold , Sam Sinai

Human behavior has the nature of indeterminacy, which requires the pedestrian trajectory prediction system to model the multi-modality of future motion states. Unlike existing stochastic trajectory prediction methods which usually use a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Tianpei Gu , Guangyi Chen , Junlong Li , Chunze Lin , Yongming Rao , Jie Zhou , Jiwen Lu

Human motion and behaviour in crowded spaces is influenced by several factors, such as the dynamics of other moving agents in the scene, as well as the static elements that might be perceived as points of attraction or obstacles. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-05-09 Federico Bartoli , Giuseppe Lisanti , Lamberto Ballan , Alberto Del Bimbo
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