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Safety evaluation of self-driving technologies has been extensively studied. One recent approach uses Monte Carlo based evaluation to estimate the occurrence probabilities of safety-critical events as safety measures. These Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Zhiyuan Huang , Mansur Arief , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

Autonomous driving systems face the formidable challenge of navigating intricate and dynamic environments with uncertainty. This study presents a unified prediction and planning framework that concurrently models short-term aleatoric…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Wenbo Shao , Jiahui Xu , Zhong Cao , Hong Wang , Jun Li

Trajectory prediction is significant for intelligent vehicles to achieve high-level autonomous driving, and a lot of relevant research achievements have been made recently. Despite the rapid development, most existing studies solely focused…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Qingfan Wang , Dongyang Xu , Gaoyuan Kuang , Chen Lv , Shengbo Eben Li , Bingbing Nie

We present an optimization-based method to plan the motion of an autonomous robot under the uncertainties associated with dynamic obstacles, such as humans. Our method bounds the marginal risk of collisions at each point in time by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-24 O. de Groot , B. Brito , L. Ferranti , D. Gavrila , J. Alonso-Mora

The ability to predict the future movements of other vehicles is a subconscious and effortless skill for humans and key to safe autonomous driving. Therefore, trajectory prediction for autonomous cars has gained a lot of attention in recent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-16 Benedikt Mersch , Thomas Höllen , Kun Zhao , Cyrill Stachniss , Ribana Roscher

To improve safety and energy efficiency, autonomous vehicles are expected to drive smoothly in most situations, while maintaining their velocity below a predetermined speed limit. However, some scenarios such as low road adherence or…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Florent Altché , Philip Polack , Arnaud de la Fortelle

Occlusion-aware prediction remains a critical challenge in autonomous driving due to the inherent uncertainty of unobserved regions. Existing approaches either overestimate risk based on reachable states or struggle to predict accurate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Jie Jia , Yaofeng Su , Zeyu Bao , Yun Hong , Bingzhao Gao , Zhongxue Gan , Wenchao Ding

Autonomous vehicles (AV) look set to become common on our roads within the next few years. However, to achieve the final breakthrough, not only functional progress is required, but also satisfactory safety assurance must be provided. Among…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Peter Popov , Lorenzo Strigini , Cornelius Buerkle , Fabian Oboril , Michael Paulitsch

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

Knowing and predicting dangerous factors within a scene are two key components during autonomous driving, especially in a crowded urban environment. To navigate safely in environments, risk assessment is needed to quantify and associate the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Ming-Yuan Yu , Ram Vasudevan , Matthew Johnson-Roberson

An accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for safe and efficient autonomous driving in complex traffic environments. In recent years, artificial intelligence has shown strong capabilities in improving prediction accuracy. However, its…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Wenbo Shao , Yanchao Xu , Jun Li , Chen Lv , Weida Wang , Hong Wang

As robots are being increasingly used in close proximity to humans and objects, it is imperative that robots operate safely and efficiently under real-world conditions. Yet, the environment is seldom known perfectly. Noisy sensors and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Antony Thomas , Fulvio Mastrogiovanni , Marco Baglietto

Conflict prediction is a vital component of path planning for autonomous vehicles. Prediction methods must be accurate for reliable navigation, but also computationally efficient to enable online path planning. Efficient prediction methods…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Christian E. Roelofse , Corné E. van Daalen

Motion Planning under uncertainty is critical for safe self-driving. In this paper, we propose a unified obstacle avoidance framework that deals with 1) uncertainty in ego-vehicle motion; and 2) prediction uncertainty of dynamic obstacles…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Shivesh Khaitan , Qin Lin , John M. Dolan

Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving, yet uncertainty in agent behavior and perception noise makes it inherently challenging. While multi-modal trajectory prediction models generate multiple plausible future…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Sajad Marvi , Christoph Rist , Julian Schmidt , Julian Jordan , Abhinav Valada

The goal of autonomous vehicles is to navigate public roads safely and comfortably. To enforce safety, traditional planning approaches rely on handcrafted rules to generate trajectories. Machine learning-based systems, on the other hand,…

Motion planning at urban intersections that accounts for the situation context, handles occlusions, and deals with measurement and prediction uncertainty is a major challenge on the way to urban automated driving. In this work, we address…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Johannes Müller , Jan Strohbeck , Martin Herrmann , Michael Buchholz

Motion prediction for intelligent vehicles typically focuses on estimating the most probable future evolutions of a traffic scenario. Estimating the gap acceptance, i.e., whether a vehicle merges or crosses before another vehicle with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Max Bastian Mertens , Jona Ruof , Jan Strohbeck , Michael Buchholz

In this paper, we investigate a predictive approach for collision risk assessment in autonomous and assisted driving. A deep predictive model is trained to anticipate imminent accidents from traditional video streams. In particular, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-04-02 Mark Strickland , Georgios Fainekos , Heni Ben Amor

In this paper, we propose an efficient and accurate method for autonomous surface vehicles to generate a smooth and collision-free trajectory considering its dynamics constraints. We decouple the trajectory planning problem as a front-end…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-02 Licheng Wen , Jiaqing Yan , Xuemeng Yang , Yong Liu , Yong Gu