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Due to the dynamics of underlying physics and external influences, the uncertainty of time series often varies over time. However, existing Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) often fail to capture this non-stationary nature,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Weiwei Ye , Zhuopeng Xu , Ning Gui

Time series forecasting, which aims to predict future values based on historical data, has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications. However, real-world time series often exhibit complex non-uniform distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Emadeldeen Eldele , Dongyue Chen , Qinghua Hu , Min Wu

Systems are commonly monitored for health and security through collection and streaming of multivariate time series. Advances in time series forecasting due to adoption of multilayer recurrent neural network architectures make it possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-10 Oshri Barazani , David Tolpin

Deep Learning (DL) models can be used to tackle time series analysis tasks with great success. However, the performance of DL models can degenerate rapidly if the data are not appropriately normalized. This issue is even more apparent when…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-24 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

Existing methods for unsupervised domain adaptation often rely on minimizing some statistical distance between the source and target samples in the latent space. To avoid the sampling variability, class imbalance, and data-privacy concerns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Korawat Tanwisuth , Xinjie Fan , Huangjie Zheng , Shujian Zhang , Hao Zhang , Bo Chen , Mingyuan Zhou

We study source-free unsupervised domain adaptation (SFUDA) for semantic segmentation, which aims to adapt a source-trained model to the target domain without accessing the source data. Many works have been proposed to address this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Dong Zhao , Shuang Wang , Qi Zang , Licheng Jiao , Nicu Sebe , Zhun Zhong

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is crucial for decision-making in domains such as weather, energy, and finance. It remains challenging because real-world sequences intertwine slow trends, multi-rate seasonalities, and irregular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Shunya Nagashima , Shuntaro Suzuki , Shuitsu Koyama , Shinnosuke Hirano

Current deep learning models for dynamics forecasting struggle with generalization. They can only forecast in a specific domain and fail when applied to systems with different parameters, external forces, or boundary conditions. We propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Rui Wang , Robin Walters , Rose Yu

Time series analysis is crucial in fields like finance, transportation, and industry. However, traditional models often focus solely on temporal features, limiting their ability to capture underlying information. This paper proposes a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Shule Hao , Junpeng Bao , Chuncheng Lu

The decomposition of a time series is an essential task that helps to understand its very nature. It facilitates the analysis and forecasting of complex time series expressing various hidden components such as the trend, seasonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Grzegorz Dudek

Denoisers trained with synthetic data often fail to cope with the diversity of unknown noises, giving way to methods that can adapt to existing noise without knowing its ground truth. Previous image-based method leads to noise overfitting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Yanghao Li , Bichuan Guo , Jiangtao Wen , Zhen Xia , Shan Liu , Yuxing Han

Machine learning traditionally assumes that the training and testing data are distributed independently and identically. However, in many real-world settings, the data distribution can shift over time, leading to poor generalization of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Sepidehsadat Hosseini , Mengyao Zhai , Hossein Hajimirsadegh , Frederick Tung

The Dynamic-Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a well established data-driven method of finding temporally evolving linear-mode decompositions of nonlinear time series. Traditionally, this method presumes that all relevant dimensions are sampled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Christopher W. Curtis , Daniel Jay Alford-Lago

Accurate forecasting of sequential data streams is a cornerstone of modern Web services, supporting applications such as traffic management, user behavior modeling, and online anomaly prevention. However, in many Web environments, new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Shichao Ma , Zhengyang Zhou , Qihe Huang , Binwu Wang , Yang Wang

Time-series forecasting (TSF) finds broad applications in real-world scenarios. Due to the dynamic nature of time-series data, it is crucial to equip TSF models with out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization abilities, as historical training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Haoxin Liu , Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Lingkai Kong , Zhiyuan Zhao , Chao Zhang , B. Aditya Prakash

Time-series forecasting models often encounter abrupt changes in a given period of time which generally occur due to unexpected or unknown events. Despite their scarce occurrences in the training set, abrupt changes incur loss that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Junwoo Park , Jungsoo Lee , Youngin Cho , Woncheol Shin , Dongmin Kim , Jaegul Choo , Edward Choi

Irregular multivariate time series impose a trade-off for long-horizon forecasting: discrete methods can distort temporal structure via re-gridding, while continuous-time models often require sequential solvers prone to drift. To bridge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Zinuo You , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

Domain adaptation aims to mitigate performance degradation caused by distribution shifts between a labeled source domain and an unlabeled or sparsely labeled target domain. Most existing approaches estimate domain discrepancy either in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Xi Ding , Lei Wang , Syuan-Hao Li , Yongsheng Gao

We consider the task of predicting a response Y from a set of covariates X in settings where the conditional distribution of Y given X changes over time. For this to be feasible, assumptions on how the conditional distribution changes over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-19 Margherita Lazzaretto , Jonas Peters , Niklas Pfister

Surface defect detection is significant in industrial production. However, detecting defects with varying textures and anomaly classes during the test time is challenging. This arises due to the differences in data distributions between…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Yiran Song , Qianyu Zhou , Lizhuang Ma