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Trustworthy decision making in networked, dynamic environments calls for innovative uncertainty quantification substrates in predictive models for graph time series. Existing conformal prediction (CP) methods have been applied separately to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sonakshi Dua , Gonzalo Mateos , Sundeep Prabhakar Chepuri

Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) enhance interpretability by explaining predictions through human-understandable concepts but typically assume that training and test data share the same distribution. This assumption often fails under domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Xinyue Xu , Yueying Hu , Hui Tang , Yi Qin , Lu Mi , Hao Wang , Xiaomeng Li

Conformal prediction (CP) is a method for constructing a prediction interval around the output of a fitted model, whose validity does not rely on the model being correct--the CP interval offers a coverage guarantee that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Rina Foygel Barber

Recent progress of self-supervised visual representation learning has achieved remarkable success on many challenging computer vision benchmarks. However, whether these techniques can be used for domain adaptation has not been explored. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Jiaolong Xu , Liang Xiao , Antonio M. Lopez

We address the problem of uncertainty calibration. While standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, calibrated confidence scores that are representative of the true likelihood of a prediction can be achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Christian Tomani , Sebastian Gruber , Muhammed Ebrar Erdem , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Deep learning (DL) has been the primary approach used in various computer vision tasks due to its relevant results achieved on many tasks. However, on real-world scenarios with partially or no labeled data, DL methods are also prone to the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Lucas Fernando Alvarenga e Silva , Daniel Carlos Guimarães Pedronette , Fábio Augusto Faria , João Paulo Papa , Jurandy Almeida

To ensure reliable object detection in autonomous systems, the detector must be able to adapt to changes in appearance caused by environmental factors such as time of day, weather, and seasons. Continually adapting the detector to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Anh-Dzung Doan , Bach Long Nguyen , Surabhi Gupta , Ian Reid , Markus Wagner , Tat-Jun Chin

The rapid advancement of large language models has raised significant concerns regarding their potential misuse by malicious actors. As a result, developing effective detectors to mitigate these risks has become a critical priority.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Xiaowei Zhu , Yubing Ren , Yanan Cao , Xixun Lin , Fang Fang , Yangxi Li

Recent deep learning methods for object detection rely on a large amount of bounding box annotations. Collecting these annotations is laborious and costly, yet supervised models do not generalize well when testing on images from a different…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-25 Han-Kai Hsu , Chun-Han Yao , Yi-Hsuan Tsai , Wei-Chih Hung , Hung-Yu Tseng , Maneesh Singh , Ming-Hsuan Yang

Existing methods of cross-modal domain adaptation for 3D semantic segmentation predict results only via 2D-3D complementarity that is obtained by cross-modal feature matching. However, as lacking supervision in the target domain, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Boxiang Zhang , Zunran Wang , Yonggen Ling , Yuanyuan Guan , Shenghao Zhang , Wenhui Li

Conformal prediction offers a powerful framework for building distribution-free prediction intervals for exchangeable data. Existing methods that extend conformal prediction to sequential data rely on fitting a relatively complex model to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Roberto Neglia , Andrea Cini , Michael M. Bronstein , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Conformal Prediction (CP) provides distribution-free uncertainty quantification by constructing prediction sets that guarantee coverage of the true labels. This reliability makes CP valuable for high-stakes federated learning scenarios such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Rui Xu , Xingyuan Chen , Wenxing Huang , Minxuan Huang , Yun Xie , Weiyan Chen , Sihong Xie

When one observes a sequence of variables $(x_1, y_1), \ldots, (x_n, y_n)$, Conformal Prediction (CP) is a methodology that allows to estimate a confidence set for $y_{n+1}$ given $x_{n+1}$ by merely assuming that the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye

Deploying large language models (LLMs) in high-stakes domains requires rigorous uncertainty quantification, yet standard softmax probabilities are often poorly calibrated. We present a systematic study of Adaptive Prediction Sets (APS)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yoshith Roy Kotla , Varshith Roy Kotla

We propose a multi-scale extension of conformal prediction, an approach that constructs prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees under minimal statistical assumptions. Classic conformal prediction relies on a single notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Ali Baheri , Marzieh Amiri Shahbazi

Deep learning models have achieved great success on various vision challenges, but a well-trained model would face drastic performance degradation when applied to unseen data. Since the model is sensitive to domain shift, unsupervised…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Ziyu Ye , Chen Ju , Chaofan Ma , Xiaoyun Zhang

Learning guarantees often rely on assumptions of i.i.d. data, which will likely be violated in practice once predictors are deployed to perform real-world tasks. Domain adaptation approaches thus appeared as a useful framework yielding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Joao Monteiro , Xavier Gibert , Jianqiao Feng , Vincent Dumoulin , Dar-Shyang Lee

Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) aims to solve the problem of knowledge transfer from labeled source domain to unlabeled target domain. Recently, many domain adaptation (DA) methods use centroid to align the local distribution of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Huihuang Chen , Li Li , Jie Chen , Kuo-Yi Lin

Deep domain adaption has emerged as a new learning technique to address the lack of massive amounts of labeled data. Compared to conventional methods, which learn shared feature subspaces or reuse important source instances with shallow…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Mei Wang , Weihong Deng

Unsupervised domain adaptation aims to generalize the supervised model trained on a source domain to an unlabeled target domain. Marginal distribution alignment of feature spaces is widely used to reduce the domain discrepancy between the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Pengfei Ge , Chuan-Xian Ren , Dao-Qing Dai , Hong Yan