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We investigate the predictive power of different machine learning algorithms to nowcast Madagascar's gross domestic product (GDP). We trained popular regression models, including linear regularized regression (Ridge, Lasso, Elastic-net),…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-22 Franck Ramaharo , Gerzhino Rasolofomanana

Using optimal detection techniques with climate model simulations, most of the observed increase of near surface temperatures over the second half of the twentieth century is attributed to anthropogenic influences. However, the partitioning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-08-03 Gareth S. Jones , Peter A. Stott , John F. B. Mitchell

Air quality is closely related to public health. Health issues such as cardiovascular diseases and respiratory diseases, may have connection with long exposure to highly polluted environment. Therefore, accurate air quality forecasts are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-17 Haolin Fei , Xiaofeng Wu , Chunbo Luo

As the world shifts towards utilizing natural resources for electricity generation, there is need to enhance forecasting systems to guarantee a stable electricity provision and to incorporate the generated power into the network systems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-24 Ismum Ul Hossain , Mohammad Nahidul Islam

Air pollution, especially the particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5), has become a growing concern in recent years, primarily in urban areas. Being exposed to air pollution is linked to developing numerous health problems, like the aggravation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Dragoş-Andrei Şerban , Răzvan-Alexandru Smădu , Dumitru-Clementin Cercel

Forecast ensembles are typically employed to account for prediction uncertainties in numerical weather prediction models. However, ensembles often exhibit biases and dispersion errors, thus they require statistical post-processing to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-09 Sándor Baran , Annette Möller

Ambient air pollution poses significant health and environmental challenges. Exposure to high concentrations of PM$_{2.5}$ have been linked to increased respiratory and cardiovascular hospital admissions, more emergency department visits…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-27 Zeinab Mohamed , Wenlong Gong

Statistical postprocessing is routinely applied to correct systematic errors of numerical weather prediction models (NWP) and to automatically produce calibrated local forecasts for end-users. Postprocessing is particularly relevant in…

It is of utmost importance to have a clear understanding of the status of air pollution and to provide forecasts and insights about the air quality to the general public and researchers in environmental studies. Previous studies of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Soudeep Deb , Ruey S. Tsay

We develop a time series model to forecast weekly peak power demand for three main states of Australia for a yearly time-scale, and show the crucial role of environmental factors in improving the forecasts. More precisely, we construct a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-30 Ali Eshragh , Benjamin Ganim , Terry Perkins , Kasun Bandara

Sustainability became the most important component of world development, as countries worldwide fight the battle against the climate change. To understand the effects of climate change, the ecological footprint, along with the biocapacity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-28 Radmila Janković , Ivan Mihajlović , Alessia Amelio

Motivated by applications to 3D printing, this paper presents two algorithms for calculating an ensemble of solutions to heat conduction problems. The ensemble average is the most likely temperature distribution and its variance gives an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-04 Joseph A. Fiordilino

Tropospheric ozone is one of six criteria pollutants regulated by the US EPA, and has been linked to respiratory and cardiovascular endpoints and adverse effects on vegetation and ecosystems. Regional photochemical models have been…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-09 Brian Reich , Daniel Cooley , Kristen Foley , Sergey Napelenok , Benjamin Shaby

Reliable long-term forecasting of PM2.5 concentrations is critical for public health early-warning systems, yet existing deep learning approaches struggle to maintain prediction stability beyond 48 hours, especially in cities with sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Amirali Ataee Naeini , Arshia Ataee Naeini , Fatemeh Karami Mohammadi , Omid Ghaffarpasand

Two networks are available to monitor PM$_{2.5}$ in Taiwan, including the Taiwan Air Quality Monitoring Network (TAQMN) and the AirBox network. The TAQMN, managed by Taiwan's Environmental Protection Administration (EPA), provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 ShengLi Tzeng , Chi-Wei Lai , Hsin-Cheng Huang

Bitumen extraction for the production of synthetic crude oil in Canada's Athabasca Oil Sands industry has recently come under spotlight for being a significant source of greenhouse gas emission. A major cause of concern is methane, a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-07 Esha Saha , Oscar Wang , Amit K. Chakraborty , Pablo Venegas Garcia , Russell Milne , Hao Wang

Timely alerts about hazardous air pollutants are crucial for public health. However, existing forecasting models often overlook key factors like baseline parameters and missing data, limiting their accuracy. This study introduces a hybrid…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Parviz Ghafariasl , Masoomeh Zeinalnezhad , Amir Ahmadishokooh

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Urban congestions cause inefficient movement of vehicles and exacerbate greenhouse gas emissions and urban air pollution. Macroscopic emission fundamental diagram (eMFD)captures an orderly relationship among emission and aggregated traffic…

Cloud processes are the largest source of uncertainty in quantifying the global temperature response to carbon dioxide rise. Still, the role of precipitation efficiency (PE) -- surface rain per unit column -- integrated condensation -- is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-22 Ryan Li , Joshua Studholme , Alexey Fedorov , Trude Storelvmo