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Adaptive model predictive control (MPC) robustly ensures safety while reducing uncertainty during operation. In this paper, a distributed version is proposed to deal with network systems featuring multiple agents and limited communication.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-17 Anilkumar Parsi , Ahmed Aboudonia , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros , Roy S. Smith

We propose a multiple imputation method based on principal component analysis (PCA) to deal with incomplete continuous data. To reflect the uncertainty of the parameters from one imputation to the next, we use a Bayesian treatment of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-20 Vincent Audigier , François Husson , Julie Josse

This paper proposes a novel robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems affected by model uncertainty described by interval matrices. The key feature of the proposed method is a bound on the uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

In Europe, balance responsible parties can deliberately take out-of-balance positions to support transmission system operators (TSOs) in maintaining grid stability and earn profit, a practice called implicit balancing. Model predictive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 Seyed Soroush Karimi Madahi , Kenneth Bruninx , Bert Claessens , Chris Develder

Model-based policy optimization is a well-established framework for designing reliable and high-performance controllers across a wide range of control applications. Recently, this approach has been extended to model predictive control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-15 Riccardo Zuliani , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros

Bayesian modelling allows for the quantification of predictive uncertainty which is crucial in safety-critical applications. Yet for many machine learning (ML) algorithms, it is difficult to construct or implement their Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Ziyu Wang , Chris Holmes

Model predictive control allows to provide high performance and safety guarantees in the form of constraint satisfaction. These properties, however, can be satisfied only if the underlying model, used for prediction, of the controlled…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-25 Michael Maiworm , Daniel Limon , Rolf Findeisen

We present a Bayesian nonparametric system reliability model which scales well and provides a great deal of flexibility in modeling. The Bayesian approach naturally handles the disparate amounts of component and subsystem data that may…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Richard L. Warr , Jeremy M. Meyer , Jackson T. Curtis

Quantifying the uncertainty of supervised learning models plays an important role in making more reliable predictions. Epistemic uncertainty, which usually is due to insufficient knowledge about the model, can be reduced by collecting more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-27 Xinlei Zhou , Han Liu , Farhad Pourpanah , Tieyong Zeng , Xizhao Wang

Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-22 Katharine Fisher , Youssef Marzouk

Bayesian inference is a popular approach to calibrating uncertainties, but it can underpredict such uncertainties when model misspecification is present, impacting its reliability to inform decision making. Recently, the statistics and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Rebekah White , Rileigh Bandy , Teresa Portone

Model mismatch often poses challenges in model-based controller design. This paper investigates model predictive control (MPC) of uncertain linear systems with input constraints, focusing on stability and closed-loop infinite-horizon…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Changrui Liu , Shengling Shi , Bart De Schutter

Model predictive control (MPC) has proven useful in enabling safe and optimal motion planning for autonomous vehicles. In this paper, we investigate how to achieve MPC-based motion planning when a neural state-space model represents the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Iman Askari , Ali Vaziri , Xuemin Tu , Shen Zeng , Huazhen Fang

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is the principal control technique used in industrial applications. Although it offers distinguishable qualities that make it ideal for industrial applications, it can be questioned its robustness regarding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Alberto Zenere , Mattia Zorzi

Learning-based control aims to construct models of a system to use for planning or trajectory optimization, e.g. in model-based reinforcement learning. In order to obtain guarantees of safety in this context, uncertainty must be accurately…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-08 David D. Fan , Ali-akbar Agha-mohammadi , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Reliable uncertainty quantification is a first step towards building explainable, transparent, and accountable artificial intelligent systems. Recent progress in Bayesian deep learning has made such quantification realizable. In this paper,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Yijun Xiao , William Yang Wang

Nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) is one of the few control methods that can handle multivariable nonlinear controlsystems with constraints. Gaussian processes (GPs) present a powerful tool to identify the required plant model and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-26 E. Bradford , L. Imsland , D. Zhang , E. A. del Rio-Chanona

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik

Model predictive control (MPC) is one of the most successful modern control methods. It relies on repeatedly solving a finite-horizon optimal control problem and applying the beginning piece of the optimal input. In this paper, we develop a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Eya Guizani , Julian Berberich

In the realm of control systems, model predictive control (MPC) has exhibited remarkable potential; however, its reliance on accurate models and substantial computational resources has hindered its broader application, especially within…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-14 Amin Vahidi-Moghaddam , Kaian Chen , Kaixiang Zhang , Zhaojian Li , Yan Wang , Kai Wu