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The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Model predictive control (MPC) is a powerful tool for controlling complex nonlinear systems under constraints, but often struggles with model uncertainties and the design of suitable cost functions. To address these challenges, we discuss…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-08 Sebastian Hirt , Andreas Höhl , Johannes Pohlodek , Joachim Schaeffer , Maik Pfefferkorn , Richard D. Braatz , Rolf Findeisen

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Control algorithms such as model predictive control (MPC) and state estimators rely on a number of different parameters. The performance of the closed loop usually depends on the correct setting of these parameters. Tuning is often done…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-15 David Stenger , Muzaffer Ay , Dirk Abel

This paper presents a sample-efficient data-driven method to design model predictive control (MPC) for cable-actuated soft robotics using Bayesian optimization. Instead of modeling the complex dynamics of the soft robots, the proposed…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Anuj Pal , Tianyi He , Wenpeng Wei

Bayesian modeling helps applied researchers articulate assumptions about their data and develop models tailored for specific applications. Thanks to good methods for approximate posterior inference, researchers can now easily build, use,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-22 Gemma E. Moran , David M. Blei , Rajesh Ranganath

Model predictive control (MPC) for linear systems with quadratic costs and linear constraints is shown to admit an exact representation as an implicit neural network. A method to "unravel" the implicit neural network of MPC into an explicit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-19 Ross Drummond , Pablo R Baldivieso-Monasterios , Giorgio Valmorbida

Model Predictive Control (MPC) of an unknown system that is modelled by Gaussian Process (GP) techniques is studied in this paper. Using GP, the variances computed during the modelling and inference processes allow us to take model…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Gang Cao , Edmund M-K Lai , Fakhrul Alam

In the present paper, we propose an extension of the Deep Planning Network (PlaNet), also referred to as PlaNet of the Bayesians (PlaNet-Bayes). There has been a growing demand in model predictive control (MPC) in partially observable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Masashi Okada , Norio Kosaka , Tadahiro Taniguchi

There is a growing debate on whether the future of feedback control systems will be dominated by data-driven or model-driven approaches. Each of these two approaches has their own complimentary set of advantages and disadvantages, however,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-14 Ross Drummond , Stephen R. Duncan , Matthew C. Turner , Patricia Pauli , Frank Allgöwer

This paper presents a model predictive control (MPC) for dynamic systems whose nonlinearity and uncertainty are modelled by deep neural networks (NNs), under input and state constraints. Since the NN output contains a high-order complex…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-20 Jianglin Lan

Robotic tasks which involve uncertainty--due to variation in goal, environment configuration, or confidence in task model--may require human input to instruct or adapt the robot. In tasks with physical contact, several existing methods for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Kevin Haninger , Christian Hegeler , Luka Peternel

Model uncertainty quantification involves measuring and evaluating the uncertainty linked to a model's predictions, helping assess their reliability and confidence. Noise injection is a technique used to enhance the robustness of neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-25 Xueqiong Yuan , Jipeng Li , Ercan Engin Kuruoglu

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Model predictive control (MPC) achieves stability and constraint satisfaction for general nonlinear systems, but requires computationally expensive online optimization. This paper studies approximations of such MPC controllers via neural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-07 Henrik Hose , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Sebastian Trimpe

The accuracy of the underlying model predictions is crucial for the success of model predictive control (MPC) applications. If the model is unable to accurately analyze the dynamics of the controlled system, the performance and stability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Qi Zhang , Lei Wang , Weihua Xu , Hongye Su , Lei Xie

This paper presents a Bayesian optimization framework for the automatic tuning of shared controllers which are defined as a Model Predictive Control (MPC) problem. The proposed framework includes the design of performance metrics as well as…

In recent studies on model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL), incorporating uncertainty in forward dynamics is a state-of-the-art strategy to enhance learning performance, making MBRLs competitive to cutting-edge model free methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Masashi Okada , Tadahiro Taniguchi

A comprehensive approach addressing identification and control for learningbased Model Predictive Control (MPC) for linear systems is presented. The design technique yields a data-driven MPC law, based on a dataset collected from the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Enrico Terzi , Lorenzo Fagiano , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini