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We investigate the problem of estimating the causal effect of a treatment on individual subjects from observational data, this is a central problem in various application domains, including healthcare, social sciences, and online…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-30 Ahmed M. Alaa , Mihaela van der Schaar

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a versatile method that enables different approaches towards learning for dynamics and control. Gaussianity assumptions appear in two dimensions in GPs: The positive semi-definite kernel of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 T. Faulwasser , O. Molodchyk

Various methods in statistical learning build on kernels considered in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. In applications, the kernel is often selected based on characteristics of the problem and the data. This kernel is then employed to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-12 Paul Dommel , Alois Pichler

This work is concerned with the convergence of Gaussian process regression. A particular focus is on hierarchical Gaussian process regression, where hyper-parameters appearing in the mean and covariance structure of the Gaussian process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Aretha L Teckentrup

Gaussian process regression (GPR) has been a well-known machine learning method for various applications such as uncertainty quantifications (UQ). However, GPR is inherently a data-driven method, which requires sufficiently large dataset.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Cheng Chang , Tieyong Zeng

Experimental design is crucial for inference where limitations in the data collection procedure are present due to cost or other restrictions. Optimal experimental designs determine parameters that in some appropriate sense make the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-11 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Roger G. Ghanem , Paris Hajali

We consider the estimation of a signal from the knowledge of its noisy linear random Gaussian projections. A few examples where this problem is relevant are compressed sensing, sparse superposition codes, and code division multiple access.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Jean Barbier , Nicolas Macris , Mohamad Dia , Florent Krzakala

The kernel function and its hyperparameters are the central model selection choice in a Gaussian proces (Rasmussen and Williams, 2006). Typically, the hyperparameters of the kernel are chosen by maximising the marginal likelihood, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Carl E. Rasmussen

Reliable prediction of protein variant effects is crucial for both protein optimization and for advancing biological understanding. For practical use in protein engineering, it is important that we can also provide reliable uncertainty…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-01 Peter Mørch Groth , Mads Herbert Kerrn , Lars Olsen , Jesper Salomon , Wouter Boomsma

We perform a study on kernel regression for large-dimensional data (where the sample size $n$ is polynomially depending on the dimension $d$ of the samples, i.e., $n\asymp d^{\gamma}$ for some $\gamma >0$ ). We first build a general tool to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-01 Weihao Lu , Haobo Zhang , Yicheng Li , Manyun Xu , Qian Lin

We propose a lower bound on the log marginal likelihood of Gaussian process regression models that can be computed without matrix factorisation of the full kernel matrix. We show that approximate maximum likelihood learning of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-17 Artem Artemev , David R. Burt , Mark van der Wilk

We derive an information-theoretic lower bound for sample complexity in sparse recovery problems where inputs can be chosen sequentially and adaptively. This lower bound is in terms of a simple mutual information expression and unifies many…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-30 Cem Aksoylar , Venkatesh Saligrama

We are interested in a framework of online learning with kernels for low-dimensional but large-scale and potentially adversarial datasets. We study the computational and theoretical performance of online variations of kernel Ridge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Rémi Jézéquel , Pierre Gaillard , Alessandro Rudi

Gaussian Process Regression is a popular nonparametric regression method based on Bayesian principles that provides uncertainty estimates for its predictions. However, these estimates are of a Bayesian nature, whereas for some important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Christian Fiedler , Carsten W. Scherer , Sebastian Trimpe

Gaussian process regression is a classical kernel method for function estimation and data interpolation. In large data applications, computational costs can be reduced using low-rank or sparse approximations of the kernel. This paper…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

We derive expressions for the predicitive information rate (PIR) for the class of autoregressive Gaussian processes AR(N), both in terms of the prediction coefficients and in terms of the power spectral density. The latter result suggests a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-15 Samer A. Abdallah , Mark D. Plumbley

Most machine learning methods require tuning of hyper-parameters. For kernel ridge regression with the Gaussian kernel, the hyper-parameter is the bandwidth. The bandwidth specifies the length scale of the kernel and has to be carefully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Oskar Allerbo , Rebecka Jörnsten

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

This paper focuses on parameter estimation and introduces a new method for lower bounding the Bayesian risk. The method allows for the use of virtually \emph{any} information measure, including R\'enyi's $\alpha$, $\varphi$-Divergences, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Adrien Vandenbroucque , Michael Gastpar

Reconstruction of a function from noisy data is often formulated as a regularized optimization problem over an infinite-dimensional reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). The solution describes the observed data and has a small RKHS norm.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-18 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Bradley M. Bell , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto