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Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

The Gaussian copula is a powerful tool that has been widely used to model spatial and/or temporal correlated data with arbitrary marginal distributions. However, this kind of model can potentially be too restrictive since it expresses a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Moreno Bevilacqua , Eloy Alvarado , Christian Caamaño-Carrillo

The challenges posed by complex stochastic models used in computational ecology, biology and genetics have stimulated the development of approximate approaches to statistical inference. Here we focus on Synthetic Likelihood (SL), a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-09 Matteo Fasiolo , Simon N. Wood , Florian Hartig , Mark V. Bravington

This paper proposes a novel computationally efficient dynamic bi-orthogonality based approach for calibration of a computer simulator with high dimensional parametric and model structure uncertainty. The proposed method is based on a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-14 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

We develop a class of non-Gaussian translation processes that extend classical stochastic differential equations (SDEs) by prescribing arbitrary absolutely continuous marginal distributions. Our approach uses a copula-based transformation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Robert Richardson , H. Dennis Tolley , Kenneth Kuttler

In this work, we introduce a spatio-temporal kernel for Gaussian process (GP) regression-based sound field estimation. Notably, GPs have the attractive property that the sound field is a linear function of the measurements, allowing the…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-08 David Sundström , Shoichi Koyama , Andreas Jakobsson

Operator learning offers a powerful paradigm for solving parametric partial differential equations (PDEs), but scaling probabilistic neural operators such as the recently proposed Gaussian Processes Operators (GPOs) to high-dimensional,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Sawan Kumar , Tapas Tripura , Rajdip Nayek , Souvik Chakraborty

Many engineering systems are subject to spatially distributed uncertainty, i.e. uncertainty that can be modeled as a random field. Altering the mean or covariance of this uncertainty will in general change the statistical distribution of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-09 Eric Dow , Qiqi Wang

We study the $L_1$-regularized maximum likelihood estimator/estimation (MLE) problem for discrete Markov random fields (MRFs), where efficient and scalable learning requires both sparse regularization and approximate inference. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-14 Sinong Geng , Zhaobin Kuang , Jie Liu , Stephen Wright , David Page

We propose a generic spatiotemporal event forecasting method, which we developed for the National Institute of Justice's (NIJ) Real-Time Crime Forecasting Challenge. Our method is a spatiotemporal forecasting model combining scalable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-25 Seth Flaxman , Michael Chirico , Pau Pereira , Charles Loeffler

Laplacian-P-splines (LPS) associate the P-splines smoother and the Laplace approximation in a unifying framework for fast and flexible inference under the Bayesian paradigm. Gaussian Markov field priors imposed on penalized latent variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Philippe Lambert , Oswaldo Gressani

Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) is pivotal in robotics, with photorealistic scene reconstruction emerging as a key challenge. To address this, we introduce Computational Alignment for Real-Time Gaussian Splatting SLAM (CaRtGS),…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Dapeng Feng , Zhiqiang Chen , Yizhen Yin , Shipeng Zhong , Yuhua Qi , Hongbo Chen

Deterministic models of vegetation often summarize, at a macroscopic scale, a multitude of intrinsically random events occurring at a microscopic scale. We bridge the gap between these scales by demonstrating convergence to a mean-field…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Denis D. Patterson , Simon A. Levin , A. Carla Staver , Jonathan D. Touboul

This paper introduces a new method for performing computational inference on log-Gaussian Cox processes. The likelihood is approximated directly by making novel use of a continuously specified Gaussian random field. We show that for…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-02 Daniel Simpson , Janine Illian , Finn Lindgren , Sigrunn Sørbye , Håvard Rue

A key challenge in spatial statistics is the analysis for massive spatially-referenced data sets. Such analyses often proceed from Gaussian process specifications that can produce rich and robust inference, but involve dense covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Andrew O. Finley , Bruce D. Cook , Sudipto Banerjee

Geophysical and other natural processes often exhibit non-stationary covariances and this feature is important to take into account for statistical models that attempt to emulate the physical process. A convolution-based model is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-23 Douglas Nychka , Dorit Hammerling , Mitchell Krock , Ashton Wiens

Gaussian processes provide a flexible framework for spatial prediction, but their computational cost limits applicability to large-scale data with large sample size $n$. Predictive processes (PPs), a popular low-rank approximation, mitigate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Nicolas Bianco , Nadja Klein

This paper studies numerical methods for the approximation of elliptic PDEs with lognormal coefficients of the form $-{\rm div}(a\nabla u)=f$ where $a=\exp(b)$ and $b$ is a Gaussian random field. The approximant of the solution $u$ is an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Albert Cohen , Giovanni Migliorati

It is known that standard stochastic Galerkin methods face challenges when solving partial differential equations (PDEs) with random inputs. These challenges are typically attributed to the large number of required physical basis functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-27 Guanjie Wang , Qifeng Liao

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri