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The task of modelling and forecasting a dynamical system is one of the oldest problems, and it remains challenging. Broadly, this task has two subtasks - extracting the full dynamical information from a partial observation; and then…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-16 Tyrus Berry , Suddhasattwa Das

This paper addresses variational data assimilation from a learning point of view. Data assimilation aims to reconstruct the time evolution of some state given a series of observations, possibly noisy and irregularly-sampled. Using automatic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-11-10 Ronan Fablet , Bertrand Chapron , Lucas. Drumetz , Etienne Memin , Olivier Pannekoucke , Francois Rousseau

Educational policymakers often lack data on student outcomes where standardized tests were not administered. Machine learning can predict unobserved outcomes in target populations using source population data. However, covariate…

Climate change exacerbates extreme weather events like heavy rainfall and flooding. As these events cause severe socioeconomic damage, accurate high-resolution simulation of precipitation is imperative. However, existing Earth System Models…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-02-03 Michael Aich , Philipp Hess , Baoxiang Pan , Sebastian Bathiany , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Data-driven techniques are increasingly used to replace electronic-structure calculations of matter. In this context, a relevant question is whether machine learning (ML) should be applied directly to predict the desired properties or be…

Recent years have seen a surge in data-driven surrogates for dynamical systems that can be orders of magnitude faster than numerical solvers. However, many machine learning-based models such as neural operators exhibit spectral bias,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Xuesong Wang , Michael Groom , Rafael Oliveira , He Zhao , Terence O'Kane , Edwin V. Bonilla

We propose a hybrid meta-learning framework for forecasting and anomaly detection in nonlinear dynamical systems characterized by nonstationary and stochastic behavior. The approach integrates a physics-inspired simulator that captures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Abdullah Burkan Bereketoglu

Urban flow prediction is a spatio-temporal modeling task that estimates the throughput of transportation services like buses, taxis, and ride-sharing, where data-driven models have become the most popular solution in the past decade.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Guanhua Ye , Wentao Zhang , Lizhen Cui , Zi Huang , Hongzhi Yin

Accurate models are essential for design, performance prediction, control, and diagnostics in complex engineering systems. Physics-based models excel during the design phase but often become outdated during system deployment due to changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zihan Liu , Prashant N. Kambali , C. Nataraj

The representations of the Earth's surface vary from one geographic region to another. For instance, the appearance of urban areas differs between continents, and seasonality influences the appearance of vegetation. To capture the diversity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Marc Rußwurm , Sherrie Wang , Marco Körner , David Lobell

Non-neural Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) models are often used to predict system failures in the context of industrial maintenance. However, only a few researches jointly assess the effect of varying the amount of past data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Nicolò Oreste Pinciroli Vago , Francesca Forbicini , Piero Fraternali

Machine learning methods have been shown to be effective for weather forecasting, based on the speed and accuracy compared to traditional numerical models. While early efforts primarily concentrated on deterministic predictions, the field…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Erik Larsson , Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Fredrik Lindsten

The long-timescale behavior of complex dynamical systems can be described by linear Markov or Koopman models in a suitable latent space. Recent variational approaches allow the latent space representation and the linear dynamical model to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-12-17 Andreas Mardt , Luca Pasquali , Frank Noé , Hao Wu

Deep Metric Learning (DML) models often require strong local and global representations, however, effective integration of local and global features in DML model training is a challenge. DML models are often trained with specific loss…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Mohammad K. Ebrahimpour , Gang Qian , Allison Beach

We apply reinforcement learning (RL) to robotics tasks. One of the drawbacks of traditional RL algorithms has been their poor sample efficiency. One approach to improve the sample efficiency is model-based RL. In our model-based RL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Adithya Ramesh , Balaraman Ravindran

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sakhinana Sagar Srinivas , Chidaksh Ravuru , Geethan Sannidhi , Venkataramana Runkana

Analysing learning in Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) environments is challenging, in particular with respect to \textit{individual} decision-making. Practitioners frequently struggle to compare training runs due to the inherent…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-29 James Rudd-Jones , María Pérez-Ortiz , Mirco Musolesi

Rainfall-induced landslides pose a growing risk worldwide as climate change intensifies extreme rainfall events. To provide sufficient evacuation time, landslide early warning systems (LEWS) for real-time disaster monitoring must estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Ren Ozeki , Hamada Rizk , Hirozumi Yamaguchi