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Industrial processes generate a massive amount of monitoring data that can be exploited to uncover hidden time losses in the system. This can be used to enhance the accuracy of maintenance policies and increase the effectiveness of the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-27 Fernando Miguelez , Josu Doncel , Maria Dolores Ugarte

Sequential data modeling and analysis have become indispensable tools for analyzing sequential data, such as time-series data, because larger amounts of sensed event data have become available. These methods capture the sequential structure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Hiromi Narimatsu , Hiroyuki Kasai

When analyzing animal movement, it is important to account for interactions between individuals. However, statistical models for incorporating interaction behavior in movement models are limited. We propose an approach that models dependent…

Applications · Statistics 2015-08-04 James C. Russell , Ephraim M. Hanks , Murali Haran

Hikers and hillwalkers typically use the gradient in the direction of travel (walking slope) as the main variable in established methods for predicting walking time (via the walking speed) along a route. Research into fell-running has…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-27 Andrew Wood , William Mackaness , T. Ian Simpson , J. Douglas Armstrong

State Space Models (SSMs) and Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are foundational frameworks for modeling sequential data with latent variables and are widely used in signal processing, control theory, and machine learning. Despite their shared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Aydin Ghojogh , M. Hadi Sepanj , Benyamin Ghojogh

Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMMs) can be thought of as quantum probabilistic graphical models that can model sequential data. We extend previous work on HQMMs with three contributions: (1) we show how classical hidden Markov models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Siddarth Srinivasan , Geoff Gordon , Byron Boots

The formalism of state estimation and hidden Markov models (HMMs) can simplify and clarify the discussion of stochastic thermodynamics in the presence of feedback and measurement errors. After reviewing the basic formalism, we use it to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-13 John Bechhoefer

Environmental time series data observed at high frequencies can be studied with approaches such as hidden Markov and semi-Markov models (HMM and HSMM). HSMMs extend the HMM by explicitly modeling the time spent in each state. In a…

Animal behavior is not driven simply by its current observations, but is strongly influenced by internal states. Estimating the structure of these internal states is crucial for understanding the neural basis of behavior. In principle,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Arun Kumar , Zhengwei Wu , Xaq Pitkow , Paul Schrater

In this work, we propose a model that can be used to infer the behavior of multiple animals. Our proposal is defined as a set of hidden Markov models that are based on the sticky hierarchical Dirichlet process, with a shared base-measure,…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio

Human action recognition has been one of the most active fields of research in computer vision for last years. Two dimensional action recognition methods are facing serious challenges such as occlusion and missing the third dimension of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Mozhgan Mokari , Hoda Mohammadzade , Benyamin Ghojogh

We investigate the potential occurrence of change points - commonly referred to as "momentum shifts" - in the dynamics of football matches. For that purpose, we model minute-by-minute in-game statistics of Bundesliga matches using hidden…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-22 Marius Ötting , Roland Langrock , Antonello Maruotti

We consider the task of learning mappings from sequential data to real-valued responses. We present and evaluate an approach to learning a type of hidden Markov model (HMM) for regression. The learning process involves inferring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Keith Noto , Mark Craven

Group-based social dominance hierarchies are of essential interest in animal behavior research. Studies often record aggressive interactions observed over time, and models that can capture such dynamic hierarchy are therefore crucial.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-19 Owen G. Ward , Jing Wu , Tian Zheng , Anna L. Smith , James P. Curley

The paper investigates the problems of quickest change detection in Markov models and hidden Markov models (HMMs). Sequential observations are taken from a (hidden) Markov model. At some unknown time, an event occurs in the system and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-09 Qi Zhang , Zhongchang Sun , Luis C. Herrera , Shaofeng Zou

It is of some interest to understand how statistically based mechanisms for signal processing might be integrated with biologically motivated mechanisms such as neural networks. This paper explores a novel hybrid approach for classifying…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Amirhossein Tavanaei , Anthony S Maida

We describe a generalization of the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) which is able to encode prior information that state transitions are more likely between "nearby" states. This is accomplished by defining a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-24 Colin Reimer Dawson , Chaofan Huang , Clayton T. Morrison

Multivariate Hawkes Processes (MHPs) are an important class of temporal point processes that have enabled key advances in understanding and predicting social information systems. However, due to their complex modeling of temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-02 Maximilian Nickel , Matthew Le

We study the problem of modeling human mobility from semantic trace data, wherein each GPS record in a trace is associated with a text message that describes the user's activity. Existing methods fall short in unveiling human movement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Wanzheng Zhu , Chao Zhang , Shuochao Yao , Xiaobin Gao , Jiawei Han

A Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is a common statistical model which is widely used for analysis of biological sequence data and other sequential phenomena. In the present paper we show how HMMs can be extended with side-constraints and present…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-08-02 Henning Christiansen , Christian Theil Have , Ole Torp Lassen , Matthieu Petit