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Sequential (online) change-point detection involves continuously monitoring time-series data and triggering an alarm when shifts in the data distribution are detected. We propose an algorithm for real-time identification of alterations in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Yuhan Tian , Abolfazl Safikhani

Trajectory prediction models often fail in real-world automated driving due to distributional shifts between training and test conditions. Such distributional shifts, whether behavioural or environmental, pose a critical risk by causing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Michele De Vita , Julian Wiederer , Vasileios Belagiannis

Non-parametric and distribution-free two-sample tests have been the foundation of many change point detection algorithms. However, randomness in the test statistic as a function of time makes them susceptible to false positives and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-29 Kevin C. Cheng , Eric L. Miller , Michael C. Hughes , Shuchin Aeron

This paper introduces a method for efficiently approximating the inverse of the Fisher information matrix, a crucial step in achieving effective variational Bayes inference. A notable aspect of our approach is the avoidance of analytically…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-29 A. Godichon-Baggioni , D. Nguyen , M-N Tran

Non-stationarity of the rate or variance of events is a well-known problem in the description and analysis of time series of events, such as neuronal spike trains. A multiple filter test (MFT) for rate homogeneity has been proposed earlier…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-03 Stefan Albert , Michael Messer , Julia Schiemann , Jochen Roeper , Gaby Schneider

Sequential change-point detection seeks to rapidly identify distributional changes in streaming data while controlling false alarms. Existing multi-stream detection methods typically rely on non-private access to raw observations or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Lixing Zhang , Liyan Xie , Ruizhi Zhang

For estimating the unknown parameters in an unstable autoregressive AR(p), the paper proposes sequential least squares estimates with a special stopping time defined by the trace of the observed Fisher information matrix. The limiting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-07 Leonid Galtchouk , Victor Konev

There is a lack of methodological results for continuous time change detection due to the challenges of noninformative prior specification and efficient posterior inference in this setting. Most methodologies to date assume data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Dan Cunha , Mark Friedl , Luis Carvalho

A novel sequential change detection problem is proposed, in which the goal is to not only detect but also accelerate the change. Specifically, it is assumed that the sequentially collected observations are responses to treatments selected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

A martingale framework for concept change detection based on testing data exchangeability was recently proposed (Ho, 2005). In this paper, we describe the proposed change-detection test based on the Doob's Maximal Inequality and show that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Shen-Shyang Ho , Harry Wechsler

Natural gradient descent, which preconditions a gradient descent update with the Fisher information matrix of the underlying statistical model, is a way to capture partial second-order information. Several highly visible works have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Frederik Kunstner , Lukas Balles , Philipp Hennig

We consider the problem of distributed estimation of a Gaussian vector with linear observation model. Each sensor makes a scalar noisy observation of the unknown vector, quantizes its observation, maps it to a digitally modulated symbol,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Mojtaba Shirazi , Azadeh Vosoughi

Classical quickest change detection algorithms require modeling pre-change and post-change distributions. Such an approach may not be feasible for various machine learning models because of the complexity of computing the explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Suya Wu , Enmao Diao , Taposh Banerjee , Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh

This paper deals with state estimation of stochastic models with linear state dynamics, continuous or discrete in time. The emphasis is laid on a numerical solution to the state prediction by the time-update step of the grid-point-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-18 Jakub Matousek , Jindrich Dunik , Marek Brandner , Chan Gook Park , Yeongkwon Choe

Time-varying stochastic optimization problems frequently arise in machine learning practice (e.g. gradual domain shift, object tracking, strategic classification). Although most problems are solved in discrete time, the underlying process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Subha Maity , Debarghya Mukherjee , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

In this paper a new algorithm for adaptive dynamic channel estimation for frequency selective time varying fading OFDM channels is proposed. The new algorithm adopts a new strategy that successfully increases OFDM symbol rate. Instead of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-23 Wessam M. Afifi , Hassan M. Elkamchouchi

Diffusion models often degrade when trained in latent spaces (e.g., VAEs), yet the formal causes remain poorly understood. We quantify latent-space diffusability through the rate of change of the Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) along the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Jing Gu , Morteza Mardani , Wonjun Lee , Dongmian Zou , Gilad Lerman

The focus of this paper is a key component of a methodology for understanding, interpolating, and predicting fish movement patterns based on spatiotemporal data recorded by spatially static acoustic receivers. Unlike GPS trackers which emit…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-20 Mahshid Ahmadian , Edward L. Boone , Grace S. Chiu

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

In many real-world scenarios, distribution shifts exist in the streaming data across time steps. Many complex sequential data can be effectively divided into distinct regimes that exhibit persistent dynamics. Discovering the shifted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Weijieying Ren , Tianxiang Zhao , Wei Qin , Kunpeng Liu
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