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Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Reservoir computers (RC) are a form of recurrent neural network (RNN) used for forecasting timeseries data. As with all RNNs, selecting the hyperparameters presents a challenge when training onnew inputs. We present a method based on…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Jason A. Platt , Adrian S. Wong , Randall Clark , Stephen G. Penny , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sakhinana Sagar Srinivas , Chidaksh Ravuru , Geethan Sannidhi , Venkataramana Runkana

Time series forecasting is widely used in the fields of equipment life cycle forecasting, weather forecasting, traffic flow forecasting, and other fields. Recently, some scholars have tried to apply Transformer to time series forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Benhan Li , Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li

We propose the Gaussian Gated Linear Network (G-GLN), an extension to the recently proposed GLN family of deep neural networks. Instead of using backpropagation to learn features, GLNs have a distributed and local credit assignment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-22 David Budden , Adam Marblestone , Eren Sezener , Tor Lattimore , Greg Wayne , Joel Veness

Multivariate time series forecasting is a challenging task because the data involves a mixture of long- and short-term patterns, with dynamic spatio-temporal dependencies among variables. Existing graph neural networks (GNN) typically model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Zhuoling Li , Gaowei Zhang , Lingyu Xu , Jie Yu

With the process of urbanization and the rapid growth of population, the issue of traffic congestion has become an increasingly critical concern. Intelligent transportation systems heavily rely on real-time and precise prediction algorithms…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Zihao Jing

We generalize the concept of local states (LS) for the prediction of high-dimensional, potentially mixed chaotic systems. The construction of generalized local states (GLS) relies on defining distances between time series on the basis of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-09-07 Sebastian Baur , Christoph Räth

This paper presents a comprehensive study on stock price prediction, leveragingadvanced machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to improve financial forecasting accuracy. The research evaluates the performance of various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-25 Daksh Dave , Gauransh Sawhney , Vikhyat Chauhan

Long-term forecasting of multivariate urban data poses a significant challenge due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in such datasets. This paper presents DST, a novel multivariate time-series forecasting model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Amirhossein Sohrabbeig , Omid Ardakanian , Petr Musilek

In this paper, we present a transformer architecture for predicting student performance on standardized tests. Specifically, we leverage students historical data, including their past test scores, study habits, and other relevant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Tong Zhou

The generalized Langevin equation (GLE), derived by projection from a general many-body Hamiltonian, exactly describes the dynamics of an arbitrary coarse-grained variable in a complex environment. However, analysis and prediction of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-25 Henrik Kiefer , Denis Furtel , Cihan Ayaz , Anton Klimek , Jan O. Daldrop , Roland R. Netz

State-space models (SSM) are central to describe time-varying complex systems in countless signal processing applications such as remote sensing, networks, biomedicine, and finance to name a few. Inference and prediction in SSMs are…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Víctor Elvira , Émilie Chouzenoux

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

Dynamic graph representation learning has emerged as a crucial research area, driven by the growing need for analyzing time-evolving graph data in real-world applications. While recent approaches leveraging recurrent neural networks (RNNs)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Shengxiang Hu , Guobing Zou , Song Yang , Shiyi Lin , Yanglan Gan , Bofeng Zhang

Transformers have recently gained prominence in long time series forecasting by elevating accuracies in a variety of use cases. Regrettably, in the race for better predictive performance the overhead of model architectures has grown…

The objective of this work is to improve the accuracy of building demand forecasting. This is a more challenging task than grid level forecasting. For the said purpose, we develop a new technique called recurrent transform learning (RTL).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Megha Gupta , Angshul Majumdar

Recently, there has been a growing interest in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), which involves predicting long-term future values by analyzing a large amount of historical time-series data to identify patterns and trends. There…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Aitian Ma , Dongsheng Luo , Mo Sha

Recent advances in graph learning have paved the way for innovative retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) systems that leverage the inherent relational structures in graph data. However, many existing approaches suffer from rigid, fixed…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Yuan Li , Jun Hu , Jiaxin Jiang , Zemin Liu , Bryan Hooi , Bingsheng He

Time series forecasting is an important problem, with many real world applications. Ensembles of deep neural networks have recently achieved impressive forecasting accuracy, but such large ensembles are impractical in many real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Espen Haugsdal , Erlend Aune , Massimiliano Ruocco