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With approximately half of the world's population at risk of contracting dengue, this mosquito-borne disease is of global concern. International travellers significantly contribute to dengue's rapid and large-scale spread by importing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Jessica Liebig , Cassie Jansen , Dean Paini , Lauren Gardner , Raja Jurdak

Early detection and modeling of a contagious epidemic can provide important guidance about quelling the contagion, controlling its spread, or the effective design of countermeasures. A topic of recent interest has been to design social…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-03-09 Huijuan Shao , K. S. M. Tozammel Hossain , Hao Wu , Maleq Khan , Anil Vullikanti , B. Aditya Prakash , Madhav Marathe , Naren Ramakrishnan

We present Timer-XL, a causal Transformer for unified time series forecasting. To uniformly predict multidimensional time series, we generalize next token prediction, predominantly adopted for 1D token sequences, to multivariate next token…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yong Liu , Guo Qin , Xiangdong Huang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Medical statistics reveal a significant dependence of hospitalized dengue patient on the patient's age. To incorporate an age-dependence into a mathematical model, we extend the classical ODE system of disease dynamics to a PDE system. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-27 N. C. Ganegoda , T. Götz , K. P. Wijaya

Transformer-based architectures have become the dominant paradigm for Continuous-Time Dynamic Graph (CTDG) learning, yet their performance remains limited on temporally shifted datasets. In this work, we identify attention dispersion as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Jinhao Zhang , Kangfei Zhao , Qiuhao Zeng , Long-Kai Huang

Model diffing methods aim to identify how fine-tuning changes a model's internal representations. Crosscoders approach this by learning shared dictionaries of interpretable latent directions between base and fine-tuned models. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Aly Kassem , Thomas Jiralerspong , Negar Rostamzadeh , Golnoosh Farnadi

Leveraging labelled data from multiple domains to enable prediction in another domain without labels is a significant, yet challenging problem. To address this problem, we introduce the framework DAPDAG (\textbf{D}omain \textbf{A}daptation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Yanke Li , Hatt Tobias , Ioana Bica , Mihaela van der Schaar

Climate change poses complex challenges, with extreme weather events becoming increasingly frequent and difficult to model. Examples include the dynamics of Combined Sewer Systems (CSS). Overburdened CSS during heavy rainfall will overflow…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-14 Vipin Singh , Tianheng Ling , Teodor Chiaburu , Felix Biessmann

Survival analysis is a critical tool for modeling time-to-event data. Recent deep learning-based models have reduced various modeling assumptions including proportional hazard and linearity. However, a persistent challenge remains in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Maxmillan Ries , Sohan Seth

Temporal Knowledge Graph (TKG) reasoning seeks to predict future missing facts from historical evidence. While diffusion models (DM) have recently gained attention for their ability to capture complex predictive distributions, two gaps…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Yanglei Gan , Peng He , Yuxiang Cai , Run Lin , Guanyu Zhou , Qiao Liu

Inferring causal relationships in observational time series data is an important task when interventions cannot be performed. Granger causality is a popular framework to infer potential causal mechanisms between different time series. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Existing methods for graph out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization primarily rely on empirical studies on synthetic datasets. Such approaches tend to overemphasize the causal relationships between invariant sub-graphs and labels, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Can Xu , Yao Cheng , Jianxiang Yu , Haosen Wang , Jingsong Lv , Yao Liu , Xiang Li

Dengue is a life threatening disease prevalent in several developed as well as developing countries like India.In this paper we discuss various algorithm approaches of data mining that have been utilized for dengue disease prediction. Data…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-02-19 Kashish Ara Shakil , Shadma Anis , Mansaf Alam

Mathematics has played a substantial role to revolutionize the medical science. Intelligent systems based on mathematical theories have proved to be efficient in diagnosing various diseases. In this paper, we used an expert system based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Maaz Amjad , fariha Bukhari , Iqra Ameer , Alexander Gelbukh

In this study, we develop and analyze a deterministic two-strain host-vector model for dengue transmission that incorporates key immuno-epidemiological mechanisms, including temporary cross-immunity, antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE),…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Burcu Gürbüz , Aytül Gökçe , Joseph Páez Chávez , Thomas Götz

Log anomaly detection is a key component in the field of artificial intelligence for IT operations (AIOps). Considering log data of variant domains, retraining the whole network for unknown domains is inefficient in real industrial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Hongcheng Guo , Xingyu Lin , Jian Yang , Yi Zhuang , Jiaqi Bai , Tieqiao Zheng , Bo Zhang , Zhoujun Li

Fueled by recent advances of self-supervised models, pre-trained speech representations proved effective for the downstream speech emotion recognition (SER) task. Most prior works mainly focus on exploiting pre-trained representations and…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Siyuan Shen , Feng Liu , Aimin Zhou

We consider the formalism of information decomposition of target effects from multi-source interactions, i.e. the problem of defining redundant and synergistic components of the information that a set of source variables provides about a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-04-24 Daniele Marinazzo , Leonardo Angelini , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Epidemic forecasting is the key to effective control of epidemic transmission and helps the world mitigate the crisis that threatens public health. To better understand the transmission and evolution of epidemics, we propose EpiGNN, a graph…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-25 Feng Xie , Zhong Zhang , Liang Li , Bin Zhou , Yusong Tan

Emerging diseases present challenges in symptom recognition and timely clinical intervention due to limited available information. An effective prognostic model could assist physicians in making accurate diagnoses and designing personalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Zhongji Zhang , Yuhang Wang , Yinghao Zhu , Xinyu Ma , Yasha Wang , Junyi Gao , Liantao Ma , Wen Tang , Xiaoyun Zhang , Ling Wang
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