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Linear shrinkage estimators of a covariance matrix --- defined by a weighted average of the sample covariance matrix and a pre-specified shrinkage target matrix --- are popular when analysing high-throughput molecular data. However, their…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Harry Gray , Gwenaël G. R. Leday , Catalina A. Vallejos , Sylvia Richardson

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) are popular Bayesian ensemble models used in regression and classification analysis. Under this modeling framework, the regression function is approximated by an ensemble of decision trees,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-26 Marco Battiston , Yu Luo

Prior distributions for high-dimensional linear regression require specifying a joint distribution for the unobserved regression coefficients, which is inherently difficult. We instead propose a new class of shrinkage priors for linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yan Dora Zhang , Brian P. Naughton , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

This paper develops a slice sampler for Bayesian linear regression models with arbitrary priors. The new sampler has two advantages over current approaches. One, it is faster than many custom implementations that rely on auxiliary latent…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-18 P. Richard Hahn , Jingyu He , Hedibert Lopes

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

Marginalising out uncertain quantities within the internal representations or parameters of neural networks is of central importance for a wide range of learning techniques, such as empirical, variational or full Bayesian methods. We set…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-21 Justin Bayer , Maximilian Karl , Daniela Korhammer , Patrick van der Smagt

We propose a new Bayesian Neural Net formulation that affords variational inference for which the evidence lower bound is analytically tractable subject to a tight approximation. We achieve this tractability by (i) decomposing ReLU…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-13 Manuel Haussmann , Fred A. Hamprecht , Melih Kandemir

This paper develops a novel stochastic tree ensemble method for nonlinear regression, which we refer to as XBART, short for Accelerated Bayesian Additive Regression Trees. By combining regularization and stochastic search strategies from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-04 Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

Drawing on theoretical insights, we advocate an error-based thresholding (EBT) mechanism for learned ISTA (LISTA), which utilizes a function of the layer-wise reconstruction error to suggest a specific threshold for each observation in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Ziang Li , Kailun Wu , Yiwen Guo , Changshui Zhang

Robust correlation estimation is essential in high-dimensional settings, particularly when data are contaminated by outliers or exhibit heavy-tailed behavior. Many robust loss functions of practical interest-such as those involving…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-19 Priyam Das

Bayesian learning is a powerful learning framework which combines the external information of the data (background information) with the internal information (training data) in a logically consistent way in inference and prediction. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Erdong Guo , David Draper

Incorporation of external information into high-dimensional modeling for gene expression data has been shown, both theoretically and empirically, to substantially enhance performance. Such external information, sometimes referred to as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Fuzhi Xu , Weijuan Liang , Shuangge Ma , Qingzhao Zhang

In dynamic decision-making scenarios across business and healthcare, leveraging sample trajectories from diverse populations can significantly enhance reinforcement learning (RL) performance for specific target populations, especially when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-15 Jinhang Chai , Elynn Chen , Jianqing Fan

This work invokes the notion of $f$-divergence to introduce a novel upper bound on the Bayes error rate of a general classification task. We show that the proposed bound can be computed by sampling from the output of a parameterized model.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Mohammadreza Tavasoli Naeini , Ali Bereyhi , Morteza Noshad , Ben Liang , Alfred O. Hero

We apply Bayesian Additive Regression Tree (BART) principles to training an ensemble of small neural networks for regression tasks. Using Markov Chain Monte Carlo, we sample from the posterior distribution of neural networks that have a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-09 Danielle Van Boxel

Compared to point estimates calculated by standard neural networks, Bayesian neural networks (BNN) provide probability distributions over the output predictions and model parameters, i.e., the weights. Training the weight distribution of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Philipp Wagner , Xinyang Wu , Marco F. Huber

Machine learning models in practical settings are typically confronted with changes to the distribution of the incoming data. Such changes can severely affect the model performance, leading for example to misclassifications of data. This is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-26 Benjamin Paaßen , Alexander Schulz , Janne Hahne , Barbara Hammer

In this paper we propose a new sampling-free approach to solve Bayesian model inversion problems that is an extension of the previously proposed spectral likelihood expansions (SLE) method. Our approach, called stochastic spectral…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-21 P. -R. Wagner , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

The new field of adaptive data analysis seeks to provide algorithms and provable guarantees for models of machine learning that allow researchers to reuse their data, which normally falls outside of the usual statistical paradigm of static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-22 Sam Elder

This paper extends the idea of decoupling shrinkage and sparsity for continuous priors to Bayesian Quantile Regression (BQR). The procedure follows two steps: In the first step, we shrink the quantile regression posterior through state of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-20 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei
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