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Aspirations to slow down the spread of Novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV2) resulted in unprecedented restrictions on personal and work-related travels in various nations across the globe. As a consequence, economic activities within and across…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-03 Raviraj Dave , Tushar Choudhari , Udit Bhatia , Avijit Maji

A mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic spread, which integrates age-structured Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased dynamics with real mobile phone data accounting for the population mobility, is presented. The dynamical…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 Ritabrata Dutta , Susana Gomes , Dante Kalise , Lorenzo Pacchiardi

We consider the problem of inferring the mobility map, which is the distribution of the building occupants at each timestamp, from the temperatures of the rooms. We also want to explore the effects of noise in the temperature measurement,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Risul Islam , Andrey Lokhov , Nathan Lemons , Michalis Faloutsos

Socio-economic constructs and urban topology are crucial drivers of human mobility patterns. During the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, these patterns were reshaped in their components: the spatial dimension represented by the daily…

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, National governments have applied lockdown restrictions to reduce the infection rate. We perform a massive analysis on near real-time Italian data provided by Facebook to investigate how lockdown…

The spread of COVID-19 and ensuing containment measures have accentuated the profound interdependence among nations or regions. This has been particularly evident in tourism, one of the sectors most affected by uncoordinated mobility…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-02 Manuel Chica , Juan M. Hernandez , Francisco C. Santos

Social distancing has been the only effective way to contain the spread of an infectious disease prior to the availability of the pharmaceutical treatment. It can lower the infection rate of the disease at the economic cost. A pandemic…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-07 Kexin Chen , Chi Seng Pun , Hoi Ying Wong

Electronic health records and other sources of observational data are increasingly used for drawing causal inferences. The estimation of a causal effect using these data not meant for research purposes is subject to confounding and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-19 Janie Coulombe , Shu Yang

Claim frequency data in insurance records the number of claims on insurance policies during a finite period of time. Given that insurance companies operate with multiple lines of insurance business where the claim frequencies on different…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-05 Pengcheng Zhang , David Pitt , Xueyuan Wu

Implementing a lockdown for disease mitigation is a balancing act: Non-pharmaceutical interventions can reduce disease transmission significantly, but interventions also have considerable societal costs. Therefore, decision-makers need near…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-02-01 Andreas Koher , Frederik Jørgensen , Michael Bang Petersen , Sune Lehmann

We study the effect of localized housing price hikes on renters' mobility, consumption, and credit outcomes. Consistent with a spatial equilibrium model, we find that the consumption responses vary greatly for movers and stayers. While…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-10 Giacomo De Giorgi , Enrico Moretti , Harrison Wheeler

The implementation of efficient demand response (DR) programs for household electricity consumption would benefit from data-driven methods capable of simulating the impact of different tariffs schemes. This paper proposes a novel method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-15 Margaux Brégère , Ricardo J. Bessa

This paper relies on a microsimulation framework to undertake an analysis of the distributional implications of the COVID-19 crisis over three waves. Given the lack of real-time survey data during the fast moving crisis, it applies a…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-16 Cathal O'Donoghue , Denisa M. Sologon , Iryna Kyzyma , John McHale

We decompose the U.S. consumption inequality distributional changes during the COVID-19 phase. Analyzing the Consumption Expenditure Interview Survey data, we decompose observed changes in consumption inequality into components attributable…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Utkarsh Anand , Xin Liu

When considering airborne epidemic spreading in social systems, a natural connection arises between mobility and epidemic contacts. As individuals travel, possibilities to encounter new people either at the final destination or during the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-10 Jesús A. Moreno López , Sandro Meloni , Jose J. Ramasco

We investigate spatial confounding in the presence of multivariate disease dependence. In the "analysis model perspective" of spatial confounding, adding a spatially dependent random effect can lead to significant variance inflation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-13 Kyle Lin Wu , Sudipto Banerjee

The COVID-19 pandemic has severely affected many aspects of people's daily lives. While many countries are in a re-opening stage, some effects of the pandemic on people's behaviors are expected to last much longer, including how they choose…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-19 Mark Beliaev , Erdem Bıyık , Daniel A. Lazar , Woodrow Z. Wang , Dorsa Sadigh , Ramtin Pedarsani

In the absence of neither an effective treatment or vaccine and with an incomplete understanding of the epidemiological cycle, Govt. has implemented a nationwide lockdown to reduce COVID-19 transmission in India. To study the effect of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-26 Tridip Sardar , Sk Shahid Nadim , Sourav Rana , Joydev Chattopadhyay

This paper develops a microsimulation model to simulate the distributional impact of price changes using Household Budget Survey data, income survey data and an Input Output Model. The primary purpose is to describe the model components.…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-26 Cathal ODonoghue , Beenish Amjad , Jules Linden , Nora Lustig , Denisa Sologon , Yang Wang

Over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, Generalised Additive Models (GAMs) have been successfully employed on numerous occasions to obtain vital data-driven insights. In this paper we further substantiate the success story of GAMs,…

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