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In this paper we develop statistical methods for causal inference in epidemics. Our focus is in estimating the effect of social mobility on deaths in the Covid-19 pandemic. We propose a marginal structural model motivated by a modified…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-25 Matteo Bonvini , Edward Kennedy , Valerie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

The COVID-19 pandemic reshaped human mobility through policy interventions and voluntary behavioral changes. Mobility adaptions helped mitigate pandemic spread, however our knowledge which environmental, social, and demographic factors…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-30 Sydney Paltra , Jonas Dehning , Viola Priesemann , Kai Nagel

We study the distributional features and inequality of consumption expenditure across India, for different states, castes, religion and urban-rural divide. We find that even though the aggregate measures of inequality are fairly diversified…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-29 Arnab Chatterjee , Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Asim Ghosh , Anirban Chakraborti , Tushar K. Nandi

The concept of transportation demand management (TDM) upholds the development of sustainable mobility through the triumph of optimally balanced transport modal share in cities. The modal split management directly reflects on TDM of each…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-09 Janak Parmar , Gulnazbanu Saiyed , Sanjaykumar Dave

To optimize mobile health interventions and advance domain knowledge on intervention design, it is critical to understand how the intervention effect varies over time and with contextual information. This study aims to assess how a push…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Jiaxin Yu , Tianchen Qian

Wearable devices are often used in clinical and epidemiological studies to monitor physical activity behavior and its influence on health outcomes. These devices are worn over multiple days to record activity patterns, such as step counts…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Heyang Ji , Lan Xue , Ufuk Beyaztas , Roger S. Zoh , Jeff Goldsmith , Mark E. Benden , Carmen D. Tekwe

The Covid-19 pandemic drastically changed urban mobility, both during the height of the pandemic with government lockdowns, but also in the longer term with the adoption of working-from-home policies. To understand its effects on rail…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-21 Hugues Moreau , Étienne Côme , Allou Samé , Latifa Oukhellou

Understanding influencing factors is essential for the surveillance and prevention of infectious diseases, and the factors are likely to vary spatially and temporally as the disease progresses. Taking daily cases and deaths data during the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-28 Lu Ling , Xinwu Qian , Satish V. Ukkusuri , Shuocheng Guo

In this work we propose a novel space-dependent multiscale model for the spread of infectious diseases in a two-dimensional spatial context on realistic geographical scenarios. The model couples a system of kinetic transport equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Walter Boscheri , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

It is often necessary to introduce the main characteristics of population mobility dynamics to model critical social phenomena such as the economy, violence, transmission of information, or infectious diseases. In this work, we focus on…

Marginal structural models are a popular method for estimating causal effects in the presence of time-varying exposures. In spite of their popularity, no scalable non-parametric estimator exist for marginal structural models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Axel Martin , Michele Santacatterina , Iván Díaz

The NEXT Generation Health study investigates the dating violence of adolescents using a survey questionnaire. Each student is asked to affirm or deny multiple instances of violence in his/her dating relationship. There is, however,…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-02 Kara A. Fulton , Danping Liu , Denise L. Haynie , Paul S. Albert

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

We build a deep-learning-based SEIR-AIM model integrating the classical Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed epidemiology model with forecast modules of infection, community mobility, and unemployment. Through linking Google's…

General Economics · Economics 2021-09-22 Lin William Cong , Ke Tang , Bing Wang , Jingyuan Wang

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

COVID-19 has disrupted society and changed how people learn, work and live. The availability of vaccines in the spring of 2021, however, led to a gradual return of many pre-pandemic activities in Massachusetts in the fall of 2021.…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-13 Yunhan Zheng , Nicholas Caros , Jim Aloisi , Jinhua Zhao

Social distancing (SD) has been critical in the fight against the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19). To aid SD monitoring, many technology companies have made available mobility data, the most prominent example being the community…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-23 Gabriela Cavalcante da Silvaa , Sabrina Oliveirab , Elizabeth F. Wanner , Leonardo C. T. Bezerra

Mobile sensing has played a key role in providing digital solutions to aid with COVID-19 containment policies. These solutions include, among other efforts, enforcing social distancing and monitoring crowd movements in indoor spaces.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Camellia Zakaria , Amee Trivedi , Emmanuel Cecchet , Michael Chee , Prashant Shenoy , Rajesh Balan

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a long-term impact on industries worldwide, with the hospitality and food industry facing significant challenges, leading to the permanent closure of many restaurants and the loss of jobs. In this study, we…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-16 H. Hinduja , N. Mandal