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Numerical algebraic geometry provides a number of efficient tools for approximating the solutions of polynomial systems. One such tool is the parameter homotopy, which can be an extremely efficient method to solve numerous polynomial…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Daniel J. Bates , Danielle Brake , Matthew Niemerg

We present a new procedure to determine Parton Distribution Functions (PDFs), based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. The aim of this paper is to show that we can replace the standard $\chi^2$ minimization by procedures grounded…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-11-07 Yémalin Gabin Gbedo , Mariane Mangin-Brinet

We present ProFit, a new code for Bayesian two-dimensional photometric galaxy profile modelling. ProFit consists of a low-level C++ library (libprofit), accessible via a command-line interface and documented API, along with high-level R…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-18 A. S. G. Robotham , D. S. Taranu , R. Tobar , A. Moffett , S. P. Driver

$\texttt{HEPfit}$ is a flexible open-source tool which, given the Standard Model or any of its extensions, allows to $\textit{i)}$ fit the model parameters to a given set of experimental observables; $\textit{ii)}$ obtain predictions for…

A Bayesian framework is attractive in the context of prediction, but a fast recursive update of the predictive distribution has apparently been out of reach, in part because Monte Carlo methods are generally used to compute the predictive.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 P. Richard Hahn , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

A robust uncertainty estimate in global analyses of Parton Distribution Functions (PDFs) is essential at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC), especially in view of the high-precision data anticipated by experimentalists in the High-Luminosity…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-04-14 Mark N. Costantini , Luca Mantani , James M. Moore , Maria Ubiali

Frequentist profile likelihoods have seen a resurgence in cosmology, offering an alternative to Bayesian methods as they can circumvent the impact of prior-volume effects. This paper presents Procoli, a fast and accessible package to obtain…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-01-26 Tanvi Karwal , Yashvi Patel , Alexa Bartlett , Vivian Poulin , Tristan L. Smith , Daniel N. Pfeffer

ABCpy is a highly modular scientific library for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) written in Python. The main contribution of this paper is to document a software engineering effort that enables domain scientists to easily apply ABC…

Most scientific domains elicit the development of efficient algorithms and accessible scientific software. This thesis unifies our developments in three broad domains: Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for efficient high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Aleksei G. Sorokin

A method to approximate continuous multi-dimensional probability density functions (PDFs) using their projections and correlations is described. The method is particularly useful for event classification when estimates of systematic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 Dean Karlen

Bayesian optimization provides sample-efficient global optimization for a broad range of applications, including automatic machine learning, engineering, physics, and experimental design. We introduce BoTorch, a modern programming framework…

The paper proposes a Riemannian Manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampler to resolve the shortcomings of existing Monte Carlo algorithms when sampling from target densities that may be high dimensional and exhibit strong correlations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-18 Mark Girolami , Ben Calderhead , Siu A. Chin

We present PDFFlow, a new software for fast evaluation of parton distribution functions (PDFs) designed for platforms with hardware accelerators. PDFs are essential for the calculation of particle physics observables through Monte Carlo…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-12-16 Marco Rossi , Stefano Carrazza , Juan M. Cruz-Martinez

PHYSBO (optimization tools for PHYSics based on Bayesian Optimization) is a Python library for fast and scalable Bayesian optimization. It has been developed mainly for application in the basic sciences such as physics and materials…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-05-26 Yuichi Motoyama , Ryo Tamura , Kazuyoshi Yoshimi , Kei Terayama , Tsuyoshi Ueno , Koji Tsuda

BayesPy is an open-source Python software package for performing variational Bayesian inference. It is based on the variational message passing framework and supports conjugate exponential family models. By removing the tedious task of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-08 Jaakko Luttinen

We investigate the Monte Carlo approach to propagation of experimental uncertainties within the context of the established "MSTW 2008" global analysis of parton distribution functions (PDFs) of the proton at next-to-leading order in the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2012-08-13 G. Watt , R. S. Thorne

We present an extensible software framework, hIPPYlib, for solution of large-scale deterministic and Bayesian inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with infinite-dimensional parameter fields (which are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Umberto Villa , Noemi Petra , Omar Ghattas

We present a new software package designed to reduce the computational burden of hadron collider measurements in Parton Distribution Function (PDF) fits. The APFELgrid package converts interpolated weight tables provided by APPLgrid files…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-01-04 Valerio Bertone , Stefano Carrazza , Nathan P. Hartland

In many classification problems it is desirable to output well-calibrated probabilities on the different classes. We propose a robust, non-parametric method of calibrating probabilities called SplineCalib that utilizes smoothing splines to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-21 Brian Lucena

Phylodynamics focuses on the problem of reconstructing past population size dynamics from current genetic samples taken from the population of interest. This technique has been extensively used in many areas of biology, but is particularly…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-23 Shiwei Lan , Julia A. Palacios , Michael Karcher , Vladimir N. Minin , Babak Shahbaba