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First-principles Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling is used to investigate uncertainty quantification and uncertainty propagation in parameters describing hydrogen kinetics. Specifically, we sample the posterior distribution of thirty-one…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-12 John Bell , Marcus Day , Jonathan Goodman , Ray Grout , Matthias Morzfeld

Core-collapse supernovae, occurring at the end of massive star evolution, produce heavy elements, including those in the iron peak. Although the explosion mechanism is not yet fully understood, theoretical models can reproduce optical…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-24 Nobuya Nishimura , Carla Froehlich , Thomas Rauscher

Based on a simple site-independent approach, we attempt to reproduce the solar $r$-process abundance with four nuclear mass models, and investigate the impact of the nuclear mass uncertainties on the $r$ process. In this paper, we first…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2019-02-05 Z. Y. Wang , Q. G. Wen , T. H. Heng

We present a novel approach to calculating theoretical uncertainties in few-nucleon calculations, making use of automatic differentiation via backpropagation, which is particularly efficient when there are many input variables but only a…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-05-09 K. Topolnicki , R. Skibiński , J. Golak

Although uncertainty quantification has been making its way into nuclear theory, these methods have yet to be explored in the context of reaction theory. For example, it is well known that different parameterizations of the optical…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-03-01 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes , J. Sarich , S. M. Wild

Several methodologies using different levels of approximations have been developed for propagating nuclear data uncertainties in nuclear burn-up simulations. Most methods fall into the two broad classes of Monte Carlo approaches, which are…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-01-08 Carlos Javier Diez , Oliver Buss , Axel Hoefer , Dieter Porsch , Oscar Cabellos

The r-process involves neutron-rich nuclei far off stability for which no experimental cross sections are known. Therefore, one has to rely on theory. The difficulties in the predictions are briefly addressed. To investigate the impact of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 T. Rauscher

The rapid-neutron capture process ($r$ process) is identified as the producer of about 50\% of elements heavier than iron. This process requires an astrophysical environment with an extremely high neutron flux over a short amount of time…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2019-06-26 A. C. Larsen , A. Spyrou , S. N. Liddick , M. Guttormsen

The main s-process taking place in low mass stars produces about half of the elements heavier than iron. It is therefore very important to determine the importance and impact of nuclear physics uncertainties on this process. We have…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-28 G. Cescutti , R. Hirschi , N. Nishimura , J. W. den Hartogh , T. Rauscher , A. St. J. Murphy , S. Cristallo

Based on Monte Carlo approach and conventional error analysis theory, taking the heaviest doubly magic nucleus $^{208}$Pb as an example, we firstly evaluate the propagated uncertainties of universal potential parameters for three typical…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-02-02 Zhen-Zhen Zhang , Hua-Lei Wang , Hai-Yan Meng , Min-Liang Liu

Being able to rigorously quantify the uncertainties in reaction models is crucial to moving this field forward. Even though Bayesian methods are becoming increasingly popular in nuclear theory, they are yet to be implemented and applied in…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-07-18 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes

Fast and accurate predictions of uncertainties in the computed dose are crucial for the determination of robust treatment plans in radiation therapy. This requires the solution of particle transport problems with uncertain parameters or…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Pia Stammer , Lucas Burigo , Oliver Jäkel , Martin Frank , Niklas Wahl

We propose a novel approach to intranuclear cascades which takes as input quantum MonteCarlo nuclear configurations and uses a semi-classical, impact-parameter based algorithm to modelthe propagation of protons and neutrons in the nuclear…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-02-03 Joshua Isaacson , William I. Jay , Alessandro Lovato , Pedro A. N. Machado , Noemi Rocco

The prediction of cross sections for nuclei far off stability is crucial in the field of nuclear astrophysics. For spherical nuclei close to the dripline the statistical model (Hauser-Feshbach) approach is not applicable and direct…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-10-30 T. Rauscher , K. -L. Kratz , H. Oberhummer , J. Dobaczewski , P. Moeller , M. Sharma

Background: Uncertainty quantification for nuclear theories has gained a more prominent role in the field, with more and more groups attempting to understand the uncertainties on their calculations. However, recent studies have shown that…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-12-03 M. Catacora-Rios , G. B. King , A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes

Rapid compression machines (RCMs) have been widely used in the combustion literature to study the low-to-intermediate temperature ignition of many fuels. In a typical RCM, the pressure during and after the compression stroke is measured.…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2017-06-15 Bryan W. Weber , Chih-Jen Sung , Michael W. Renfro

A comprehensive uncertainty estimation is vital for the precision program of the LHC. While experimental uncertainties are often described by stochastic processes and well-defined nuisance parameters, theoretical uncertainties lack such a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-05-08 Aishik Ghosh , Benjamin Nachman , Tilman Plehn , Lily Shire , Tim M. P. Tait , Daniel Whiteson

The sources of nuclear uncertainties in nova nucleosynthesis have been identified using hydrodynamical nova models. Experimental efforts have followed and significantly reduced those uncertainties. This is important for the evaluation of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-06-23 Alain Coc

Our understanding of the rapid neutron capture nucleosynthesis process in universe depends on the reliability of nuclear mass predictions. Initiated by the newly developed mass table in the relativistic mean field theory (RMF), in this…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-05-12 Sun Baohua , Meng Jie

To achieve its design goals, the next generation of neutrino-oscillation accelerator experiments requires percent-level predictions of neutrino-nucleus cross sections supplemented by robust estimates of the theoretical uncertainties…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-11-08 Daniel Simons , Noah Steinberg , Alessandro Lovato , Yannick Meurice , Noemi Rocco , Michael Wagman