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Path signatures have been proposed as a powerful representation of paths that efficiently captures the path's analytic and geometric characteristics, having useful algebraic properties including fast concatenation of paths through tensor…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-06-21 Motoya Ohnishi , Iretiayo Akinola , Jie Xu , Ajay Mandlekar , Fabio Ramos

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

Signature is an infinite graded sequence of statistics known to characterize geometric rough paths, which includes the paths with bounded variation. This object has been studied successfully for machine learning with mostly applications in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-19 Ming Min , Tomoyuki Ichiba

We introduce a novel approach to options trading strategies using a highly scalable and data-driven machine learning algorithm. In contrast to traditional approaches that often require specifications of underlying market dynamics or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Wee Ling Tan , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

Sequential and temporal data arise in many fields of research, such as quantitative finance, medicine, or computer vision. A novel approach for sequential learning, called the signature method and rooted in rough path theory, is considered.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Adeline Fermanian

Pre-training Transformer models is resource-intensive, and recent studies have shown that sign momentum is an efficient technique for training large-scale deep learning models, particularly Transformers. However, its application in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Shuhua Yu , Ding Zhou , Cong Xie , An Xu , Zhi Zhang , Xin Liu , Soummya Kar

Changes in market conditions present challenges for investors as they cause performance to deviate from the ranges predicted by long-term averages of means and covariances. The aim of conditional asset allocation strategies is to overcome…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Reza Bradrania , Davood Pirayesh Neghab

Signed social networks are widely used to model the trust relationships among online users in security-sensitive systems such as cryptocurrency trading platforms, where trust prediction plays a critical role. In this paper, we investigate…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Yulin Zhu , Tomasz Michalak , Xiapu Luo , Xiaoge Zhang , Kai Zhou

The Transformer is a highly successful deep learning model that has revolutionised the world of artificial neural networks, first in natural language processing and later in computer vision. This model is based on the attention mechanism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Riccardo Ughi , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

To the naked eye, stock prices are considered chaotic, dynamic, and unpredictable. Indeed, it is one of the most difficult forecasting tasks that hundreds of millions of retail traders and professional traders around the world try to do…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Shuozhe Li , Zachery B Schulwol , Risto Miikkulainen

Derivatives, as a critical class of financial instruments, isolate and trade the price attributes of risk assets such as stocks, commodities, and indices, aiding risk management and enhancing market efficiency. However, traditional hedging…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-07 Yiheng Ding , Gangnan Yuan , Dewei Zuo , Ting Gao

We consider the task of building compact deep learning pipelines suitable for deployment on storage and power constrained mobile devices. We propose a unified framework to learn a broad family of structured parameter matrices that are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-07 Vikas Sindhwani , Tara N. Sainath , Sanjiv Kumar

Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Stefan Feuerriegel , Ralph Fehrer

This paper addresses the critical disconnect between prediction and decision quality in portfolio optimization by integrating Large Language Models (LLMs) with decision-focused learning. We demonstrate both theoretically and empirically…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-04 Yoontae Hwang , Yaxuan Kong , Stefan Zohren , Yongjae Lee

Performance analysis, from the external point of view of a client who would only have access to returns and holdings of a fund, evolved towards exact attribution made in the context of portfolio optimisation, which is the internal point of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-08 Bruno Durin

In this paper, we propose a machine learning algorithm for time-inconsistent portfolio optimization. The proposed algorithm builds upon neural network based trading schemes, in which the asset allocation at each time point is determined by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Kristoffer Andersson , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Signed Graph Neural Networks (SGNNs) have been shown to be effective in analyzing complex patterns in real-world situations where positive and negative links coexist. However, SGNN models suffer from poor explainability, which limit their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Lu Li , Jiale Liu , Xingyu Ji , Maojun Wang , Zeyu Zhang

This study explores the use of Transformer-based models to predict both covariance and semi-covariance matrices for ETF portfolio optimization. Traditional portfolio optimization techniques often rely on static covariance estimates or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Jiahao Zhu , Hengzhi Wu

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Yaodong Yang , Alisa Kolesnikova , Stefan Lessmann , Tiejun Ma , Ming-Chien Sung , Johnnie E. V. Johnson

Many machine learning tasks such as multiple instance learning, 3D shape recognition, and few-shot image classification are defined on sets of instances. Since solutions to such problems do not depend on the order of elements of the set,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-28 Juho Lee , Yoonho Lee , Jungtaek Kim , Adam R. Kosiorek , Seungjin Choi , Yee Whye Teh