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Generalized polynomial chaos expansions are a powerful tool to study differential equations with random coefficients, allowing in particular to efficiently approximate random invariant sets associated to such equations. In this work, we use…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-07 Maxime Breden

Sensitivity analysis plays an important role in the development of computer models/simulators through identifying the contribution of each (uncertain) input factor to the model output variability. This report investigates different aspects…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-24 Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor , Clémentine Prieur

Numerical simulators are widely used to model physical phenomena and global sensitivity analysis (GSA) aims at studying the global impact of the input uncertainties on the simulator output. To perform GSA, statistical tools based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Anouar Meynaoui , Amandine Marrel , Béatrice Laurent

The chaos expansion of a general non-linear function of a Gaussian stationary increment process conditioned on its past realizations is derived. This work combines Wiener chaos expansion approach to study the dynamics of a stochastic system…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Daniel Alpay , Alon Kipnis

This paper presents the generalized spatial autoregression (GSAR) model, a significant advance in spatial econometrics for non-normal response variables belonging to the exponential family. The GSAR model extends the logistic SAR, probit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 N. A. Cruz , J. D. Toloza-Delgado , O. O. Melo

This paper develops methodology for local sensitivity analysis based on directional derivatives associated with spatial processes. Formal gradient analysis for spatial processes was elaborated in previous papers, focusing on distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Maria A. Terres , Alan E. Gelfand

We consider multiple stochastic integrals with respect to c\`adl\`ag martingales, which approximate a cylindrical Wiener process. We define a chaos expansion, analogous to the case of multiple Wiener stochastic integrals, for these…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-26 Paolo Grazieschi , Konstantin Matetski , Hendrik Weber

Sensitivity analysis is an important tool used in many domains of computational science to either gain insight into the mathematical model and interaction of its parameters or study the uncertainty propagation through the input-output…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-02 Juraj Kardos , Wouter Edeling , Diana Suleimenova , Derek Groen , Olaf Schenk

We formulate nonlinear perturbations of a scalar field dominated universe on super-horizon scales. We consider the case of a single scalar field. We take the gradient expansion approach. We adopt the uniform Hubble slicing and derive the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Yoshiharu Tanaka , Misao Sasaki

We investigate a gradient-enhanced $\ell_1$-minimization for constructing sparse polynomial chaos expansions. In addition to function evaluations, measurements of the function gradient is also included to accelerate the identification of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-09 Ling Guo , Akil Narayan , Tao Zhou

We treat some classes of linear and semilinear stochastic partial differential equations of Schr\"odinger type on $\mathbb{R}^d$, involving a non-flat Laplacian, within the framework of white noise analysis, combined with Wiener-It\^o chaos…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Sandro Coriasco , Stevan Pilipović , Dora Seleši

New global sensitivity measures based on quantiles of the output are introduced. Such measures can be used for global sensitivity analysis of problems in which quantiles are explicitly the functions of interest and for identification of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-09 Sergei Kucherenko , Shufang Song

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based surrogate modeling framework for uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional stochastic systems. Our first goal is to perform data mining on the available simulation data to identify a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , Michael D. Shields

We study the sensitivity of infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with respect to modeling uncertainties. In particular, we consider derivative-based sensitivity analysis of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Abhijit Chowdhary , Shanyin Tong , Georg Stadler , Alen Alexanderian

Scalable spatial GPs for massive datasets can be built via sparse Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) where a small number of directed edges is sufficient to flexibly characterize spatial dependence. The DAG can be used to devise fast algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Michele Peruzzi , Sudipto Banerjee , David B. Dunson , Andrew O. Finley

Stochastic simulators such as Monte-Carlo estimators are widely used in science and engineering to study physical systems through their probabilistic representation. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the input parameters which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-03 Loic Le Gratiet

Results from global sensitivity analysis (GSA) often guide the understanding of complicated input-output systems. Kernel-based GSA methods have recently been proposed for their capability of treating a broad scope of complex systems. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 John Barr , Herschel Rabitz

Simultaneous perturbation stochastic approximation (SPSA) is an approach to gradient-free optimization introduced by Spall as a simplification of the approach of Kiefer and Wolfowitz. In many cases the most attractive option is the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-05 Caio Kalil Lauand , Sean Meyn

In pharmaceutical research and development decision-making related to drug candidate selection, efficacy and safety is commonly supported through modelling and simulation (M\&S). Among others, physiologically-based pharmacokinetic models…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-07 Nicola Melillo , Adam S. Darwich

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) allow us to propagate uncertainties in the coefficients of differential equations to the statistics of their solutions. Their main advantage is that they replace stochastic equations by systems of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-04-25 H. Cagan Ozen , Guillaume Bal
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