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Applications of large language models often involve the generation of free-form responses, in which case uncertainty quantification becomes challenging. This is due to the need to identify task-specific uncertainties (e.g., about the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Ziyu Wang , Chris Holmes

Understanding material failure is critical for designing stronger and lighter structures by identifying weaknesses that could be mitigated. Existing full-physics numerical simulation techniques involve trade-offs between speed, accuracy,…

Accurately predicting the dynamic responses of building structures under seismic loads is essential for ensuring structural safety and minimizing potential damage. This critical aspect of structural analysis allows engineers to evaluate how…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Shiqiao Meng , Ying Zhou , Qinghua Zheng , Bingxu Liao , Mushi Chang , Tianshu Zhang , Abderrahim Djerrad

Parameters of the mathematical model describing many practical dynamical systems are prone to vary due to aging or renewal, wear and tear, as well as changes in environmental or service conditions. These variabilities will adversely affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Hang Geng , Mulugeta A. Haile , Huazhen Fang

Identifying a coupled dynamical system out of many plausible candidates, each of which could serve as the underlying generator of some observed measurements, is a profoundly ill posed problem that commonly arises when modelling real world…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-17 Amirhossein Jafarian , Peter Zeidman , Vladimir Litvak , Karl Friston

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

It is necessary to estimate the expected energy usage of a building to determine how to reduce energy usage. The expected energy usage of a building can be reliably simulated using a Building Energy Model (BEM). Many of the numerous input…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Arpan Mukherjee , Anna Kuechle Szweda , Andrew Alegria , Rahul Rai , Tarunraj Singh

Computer vision leveraging deep learning has achieved significant success in the last decade. Despite the promising performance of the existing deep models in the recent literature, the extent of models' reliability remains unknown.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Seyed Omid Sajedi , Xiao Liang

Modeling buildings' heat dynamics is a complex process which depends on various factors including weather, building thermal capacity, insulation preservation, and residents' behavior. Gray-box models offer a causal inference of those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Nilavra Pathak , James Foulds , Nirmalya Roy , Nilanjan Banerjee , Ryan Robucci

Stochastic simulation is widely used to study complex systems composed of various interconnected subprocesses, such as input processes, routing and control logic, optimization routines, and data-driven decision modules. In practice, these…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-19 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

Wide-area data and algorithms in large power systems are creating new opportunities for implementation of measurement-based dynamic load modeling techniques. These techniques improve the accuracy of dynamic load models, which are an…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-24 Phylicia Cicilio , Eduardo Cotilla-Sanchez

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

A computation-oriented representation of uncertain kinetic systems is introduced and analysed in this paper. It is assumed that the monomial coefficients of the ODEs belong to a polytopic set, which defines a set of dynamical systems for an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Bernadett Ács , Gergely Szlobodnyik , Gábor Szederkényi

A crucial step in fitting a regression model to data is determining the model's structure, i.e., the subset of explanatory variables to be included. However, the uncertainty in this step is often overlooked due to a lack of satisfactory…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Ryan Martin , Naomi Singer , Jonathan Williams

Electronic devices exhibit changes in electrical resistance over time at varying rates, depending on the configuration of certain components. Since measuring overall electrical resistance requires partial disassembly, only a limited number…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-24 Federico Mattia Stefanini , Nedka Dechkova Nikiforova , Rossella Berni

Strong-motion duration and number of cycles of motion are the well-known parameters with which earthquake engineers currently use to take into account the influence of motion duration for the dynamic analysis of structures. In addition to…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-06-09 Mohammadreza Mashayekhi , Mojtaba Harati , Homayoon E. Estekanchi

Buildings are a promising source of flexibility for the application of demand response. In this work, we introduce a novel battery model formulation to capture the state evolution of a single building. Being fully data-driven, the battery…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-10 Paul Scharnhorst , Baptiste Schubnel , Rafael E. Carrillo , Pierre-Jean Alet , Colin N. Jones

Before autonomous systems can be deployed in safety-critical applications, we must be able to understand and verify the safety of these systems. For cases where the risk or cost of real-world testing is prohibitive, we propose a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Charles Dawson , Chuchu Fan

As machine learning-based prediction systems are increasingly used in high-stakes situations, it is important to understand how such predictive models will perform upon deployment. Distribution-free uncertainty quantification techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

Since forced oscillations are exogenous to dynamic power system models, the models by themselves cannot predict when or where a forced oscillation will occur. Locating the sources of these oscillations, therefore, is a challenging problem…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Samuel Chevalier , Petr Vorobev , Konstantin Turitsyn