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Drought is a serious natural disaster that has a long duration and a wide range of influence. To decrease the drought-caused losses, drought prediction is the basis of making the corresponding drought prevention and disaster reduction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo

Extreme floods pose escalating risks in a changing climate, yet forecasting remains challenging due to peak flow underestimation and high uncertainty. We introduce DRUM, a diffusion-based probabilistic deep learning approach that advances…

Droughts and flash droughts (rapidly developing droughts; FDs) remain impactful events that are known to desiccate landscape and destroy crops. In particular, droughts in Africa are often more impactful than in other locations, such as the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-08 Stuart Edris , Amy McGovern , Jason Hickey

A precise forecast for droughts is of considerable value to scientific research, agriculture, and water resource management. With emerging developments of data-driven approaches for hydro-climate modeling, this paper investigates an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Shiheng Duan , Xiurui Zhang

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

Advanced machine learning models have recently achieved high predictive accuracy for weather and climate prediction. However, these complex models often lack inherent transparency and interpretability, acting as "black boxes" that impede…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-29 Ruyi Yang , Jingyu Hu , Zihao Li , Jianli Mu , Tingzhao Yu , Jiangjiang Xia , Xuhong Li , Aritra Dasgupta , Haoyi Xiong

Drought is a complex natural hazard that affects ecological and human systems, often resulting in substantial environmental and economic losses. Recent increases in drought severity, frequency, and duration underscore the need for effective…

Drought is one of the most destructive and expensive natural disasters, severely impacting natural resources and risks by depleting water resources and diminishing agricultural yields. Under climate change, accurately predicting drought is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Xuwei Tan , Qian Zhao , Yanlan Liu , Xueru Zhang

The problem of high-quality drought forecasting up to a year in advance is critical for agriculture planning and insurance. Yet, it is still unsolved with reasonable accuracy due to data complexity and aridity stochasticity. We tackle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Alexander Marusov , Vsevolod Grabar , Yury Maximov , Nazar Sotiriadi , Alexander Bulkin , Alexey Zaytsev

Water is essential for agricultural productivity. Assessing water shortages and reduced yield potential is a critical factor in decision-making for ensuring agricultural productivity and food security. Crop simulation models, which align…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Miro Miranda , Marcela Charfuelan , Matias Valdenegro Toro , Andreas Dengel

Early detection of drought stress is critical for taking timely measures for reducing crop loss before the drought impact becomes irreversible. The subtle phenotypical and physiological changes in response to drought stress are captured by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Aswini Kumar Patra , Ankit Varshney , Lingaraj Sahoo

Reliable forecasting is critical for early warning systems and adaptive drought management. Most previous deep learning approaches focus solely on homogeneous regions and rely on single-structured data. This paper presents a hybrid neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Julian Agudelo , Vincent Guigue , Cristina Manfredotti , Hadrien Piot

Precipitation nowcasting is crucial across various industries and plays a significant role in mitigating and adapting to climate change. We introduce an efficient deep learning model for precipitation nowcasting, capable of predicting…

Climate change and increases in drought conditions affect the lives of many and are closely tied to global agricultural output and livestock production. This research presents a novel approach utilizing machine learning frameworks for…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-02 Veronica Wairimu Muriga , Benjamin Rich , Francesco Mauro , Alessandro Sebastianelli , Silvia Liberata Ullo

Climate models (CM) are used to evaluate the impact of climate change on the risk of floods and strong precipitation events. However, these numerical simulators have difficulties representing precipitation events accurately, mainly due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-02-15 Rilwan Adewoyin , Peter Dueben , Peter Watson , Yulan He , Ritabrata Dutta

Electrical energy is essential in today's society. Accurate electrical load forecasting is beneficial for better scheduling of electricity generation and saving electrical energy. In this paper, we propose theory-guided deep-learning load…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Jiaxin Gao , Wenbo Hu , Dongxiao Zhang , Yuntian Chen

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

Acquiring a better understanding of drought impacts becomes increasingly vital under a warming climate. Traditional drought indices describe mainly biophysical variables and not impacts on social, economic, and environmental systems. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-12-09 Beichen Zhang , Frank Schilder , Kelly Helm Smith , Michael J. Hayes , Sherri Harms , Tsegaye Tadesse

Typical deep learning approaches to modeling high-dimensional data often result in complex models that do not easily reveal a new understanding of the data. Research in the deep learning field is very actively pursuing new methods to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-16 Charles Anderson , Jason Stock , David Anderson

Extreme weather events are increasing in frequency and intensity due to climate change. This, in turn, is exacting a significant toll in communities worldwide. While prediction skills are increasing with advances in numerical weather…

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